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HPP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-07-14 → 2025-02-07

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. REAL ESTATE (SIC 6500)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 24, 2010 🔗 www.hudsonpacificproperties.com
💰 Market Cap: $509.6M 👥 Employees: 740
Hudson Pacific Properties Inc is a real estate investment trust that acquires, operates, and owns office buildings and media and entertainment properties, such as sound stages, on America's West Coast. The company focuses on developed, urban markets in Northern California, Southern California, and the Pacific Northwest. In terms of total square footage, the vast majority of Hudson Pacific's real estate portfolio is composed of office properties located in the Greater Seattle, San Francisco, and Los Angeles areas. The company operates in two reportable segments; office properties & related operations; and studio properties & related operations. The majority of revenue is derived from the office properties & related operations segment.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.68%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.88%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.68%
Avg Winner: +0.80%
Avg Loser: -2.15%
Best: +1.52%
Worst: -2.35%
Trades: 2/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.95%
Avg Winner: +0.72%
Avg Loser: -1.50%
Best: +0.72%
Worst: -2.35%
Trades: 1/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.61%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: -2.13%
Best: +0.94%
Worst: -2.89%
Trades: 2/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.20%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.20%
Best: -0.29%
Worst: -3.62%
Trades: 0/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +2.72%
Avg Loser: -3.27%
Best: +4.49%
Worst: -3.80%
Trades: 2/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.88%
Best MFE: +4.93%
Avg Time to MFE: 194 min

On average, HPP alerts reach +1.88% profit potential within 194 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.49%
Worst MAE: -4.79%
Avg Time to MAE: 37 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.49%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.54:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, HPP typically reaches +1.88% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.81%
Best Gap +0.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE

How HPP compares to 14 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
HPP: -0.68% Sector: -0.30% -0.38%
EOD Gain
HPP: -0.28% Sector: +499.57% -499.85%
Avg MFE
HPP: +1.88% Sector: +8.13% -6.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical HPP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-07 09:26:06 $3.18 +0.08% -0.79% +0.94% -0.31% +0.94% +2.20% -3.22% - WIN
2023-11-13 09:28:00 $5.11 -1.96% -1.37% -1.37% -0.59% -2.74% +1.47% -4.79% -1.37% LOSS
2023-09-08 09:29:00 $6.9 +1.52% +0.72% +0.87% -0.29% +4.49% +4.93% -3.04% -0.43% WIN
2023-07-14 09:27:00 $5.53 -2.35% -2.35% -2.89% -3.62% -3.80% -1.08% -2.89% -1.45% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ HPP Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.68% average gain, HPP alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider HPP for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze HPP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for HPP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, HPP historically offers an average upside of +1.88% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 HPP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, HPP shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests HPP may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: HPP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.68%). This suggests HPP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.