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ITRM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 51 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-10 → 2025-02-10

⚠️ Small sample size (51 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Iterum Therapeutics plc Ordinary Share PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: May 25, 2018 🔗 www.iterumtx.com
💰 Market Cap: $19.3M 👥 Employees: 9
Iterum Therapeutics PLC is a pharmaceutical company dedicated to maximizing the commercial potential of Orlynvah, an oral-branded penem available in the United States and potentially the first and only oral and intravenous (IV) branded penem available globally. Its product Orlynvah has the potential to be a treatment for complicated urinary tract infections caused by the designated microorganisms, without the presence of known toxicities of some other antibiotics. The company operates in a single business segment, which is the development and commercialization of treatments for drug-resistant bacterial infections.
📊
51
Total Alerts
🎯
54.9%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+406.03%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+6.49%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.3%
Avg Gain: -0.80%
Avg Winner: +2.45%
Avg Loser: -2.81%
Best: +11.11%
Worst: -9.64%
Trades: 19/31

15MIN

Win Rate: 37.3%
Avg Gain: -1.24%
Avg Winner: +2.03%
Avg Loser: -3.19%
Best: +5.58%
Worst: -7.69%
Trades: 19/32

30MIN

Win Rate: 29.4%
Avg Gain: -1.77%
Avg Winner: +2.25%
Avg Loser: -3.45%
Best: +6.52%
Worst: -14.03%
Trades: 15/36

60MIN

Win Rate: 29.4%
Avg Gain: -1.37%
Avg Winner: +5.29%
Avg Loser: -4.26%
Best: +42.84%
Worst: -17.95%
Trades: 15/35

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.9%
Avg Gain: +406.03%
Avg Winner: +745.58%
Avg Loser: -7.67%
Best: +1560.64%
Worst: -22.28%
Trades: 28/22

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.49%
Best MFE: +88.62%
Avg Time to MFE: 91 min

On average, ITRM alerts reach +6.49% profit potential within 91 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.96%
Worst MAE: -12.84%
Avg Time to MAE: 24 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.96%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.64:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 51 alerts, ITRM typically reaches +6.49% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 51
Gap Up % 31.4%
Avg Gap -1.16%
Best Gap +8.00%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How ITRM compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ITRM: -0.80% Sector: -0.32% -0.48%
EOD Gain
ITRM: +406.03% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480005.19%
Avg MFE
ITRM: +6.49% Sector: +7.56% -1.06%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ITRM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-10 09:29:34 $1.35 -1.48% -1.39% -0.37% +1.47% +2.96% +5.16% -2.59% -1.48% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:25:32 $1.58 -4.43% -4.43% -4.75% -4.92% -9.49% +1.27% -4.43% +1.27% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:28:43 $2.16 +1.94% +0.46% -6.94% -9.26% -8.33% +5.09% -2.31% -1.85% WIN
2024-12-10 09:25:41 $2.42 +7.44% +3.72% +3.55% +1.18% -4.96% +8.26% -2.89% -1.24% WIN
2024-12-03 09:27:49 $2.53 -2.32% -2.37% -4.75% -9.56% -11.46% -0.40% -1.19% -1.19% LOSS
2024-11-21 09:28:34 $1.73 -3.78% -2.32% -3.47% -8.09% +2.31% +5.78% -9.83% -1.16% LOSS
2024-11-15 09:29:19 $1.42 -2.46% -3.17% -2.13% -2.11% -3.52% - -3.52% -3.52% LOSS
2024-11-14 09:26:24 $1.31 +4.58% -1.77% -1.15% -0.77% +3.82% +6.11% -4.58% -4.58% WIN
2024-11-06 09:29:45 $1.24 +0.81% +0.81% +0.81% +1.61% -1.61% +2.42% -1.61% - WIN
2024-11-04 09:25:02 $1.2 +0.67% +4.17% +6.52% +5.83% +10.00% +12.50% -0.83% -0.83% WIN
2024-10-31 09:29:48 $1.28 +1.56% -0.71% -0.01% +1.57% +0.78% +3.84% -3.12% +1.56% WIN
2024-10-30 09:28:46 $1.4 -5.71% -5.04% -5.39% -2.77% -13.57% +2.86% +0.71% +2.86% LOSS
2024-10-29 09:27:24 $1.44 +1.39% +1.74% +4.84% +4.20% +0.69% +6.94% -0.69% +0.69% WIN
2024-10-28 09:28:35 $1.84 -9.64% -7.07% -9.80% -14.67% -22.28% - -4.35% -1.09% LOSS
2024-10-25 09:28:44 $1.23 -2.85% -4.88% -4.86% -6.67% +52.85% +88.62% -8.94% -3.25% LOSS
2024-09-10 09:25:28 $1.17 -4.27% -5.14% -14.03% -17.95% -18.80% -2.56% -3.42% -7.69% LOSS
2022-12-16 09:25:00 $1.17 -2.56% -7.69% -7.23% -7.69% -6.84% -1.71% -2.56% -2.56% LOSS
2022-12-15 09:25:00 $1.43 +2.10% -2.80% -3.49% -4.89% -15.38% +3.50% -3.50% -1.40% WIN
2022-08-17 09:25:00 $0.23 -0.51% +1.91% -1.02% -0.77% -5.49% +6.85% -4.26% - LOSS
2022-08-12 09:25:00 $0.26 -3.82% -3.02% -1.56% -1.98% +1389.12% +0.19% -4.50% -3.82% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 54.9% Baseline on ITRM

The 54.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ITRM's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ITRM Strategy →

Why Analyze ITRM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ITRM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ITRM historically offers an average upside of +6.49% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ITRM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.9%, ITRM shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ITRM performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +406.03%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.