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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$LII

Trade-Ideas alerts 60.0% at 60-min n=5 2022-12-16 → 2026-07-29

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 5 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 29, 1999 🔗 www.lennox.com
💰 Market Cap: $12.31B 👥 Employees: 12,900
Lennox manufactures and distributes heating, ventilating, air conditioning, and refrigeration products for the North American replacement (75% of sales) and new construction (25% of sales) markets. Residential HVAC (home comfort solutions) accounts for 67% of sales and commercial HVAC (building climate solutions) accounts for the remaining 33% of sales. Lennox's commercial exposure is what its peers refer to as residential and light commercial, and lacks the scale and complexity of what is referred to as an applied solution. The company goes to market with multiple brands, but Lennox is its flagship HVAC brand.
Total alerts
5
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
60.0%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
-1.53%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.23%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading LII on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.47%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: +0.64%
Worst: -2.62%
Trades: 2/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -2.11%
Avg Winner: +0.69%
Avg Loser: -3.05%
Best: +0.69%
Worst: -6.30%
Trades: 1/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.98%
Avg Winner: +0.52%
Avg Loser: -2.82%
Best: +0.52%
Worst: -7.63%
Trades: 1/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: -1.53%
Avg Winner: +0.92%
Avg Loser: -5.21%
Best: +1.58%
Worst: -10.27%
Trades: 3/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -2.33%
Avg Winner: +0.83%
Avg Loser: -4.43%
Best: +1.20%
Worst: -12.24%
Trades: 2/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.23%
Best MFE: +2.64%
Avg Time to MFE: 147 min

On average, LII alerts reach +1.23% profit potential within 147 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.55%
Worst MAE: -4.04%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.55%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.79:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, LII typically reaches +1.23% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap -0.29%
Best Gap +1.36%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIR-COND & WARM AIR HEATG EQUIP & COMM & INDL REFRIG EQUIP

How LII compares to 6 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LII: -0.58% Sector: -0.28% -0.29%
EOD Gain
LII: -2.86% Sector: -0.35% -2.51%
Avg MFE
LII: +1.35% Sector: +2.31% -0.96%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LII alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-07-29 09:25:00 $490.0 +0.20% -6.30% -7.63% -10.27% -12.24% +0.39% -4.04% +0.20% WIN
2026-03-27 09:25:00 $435.86 +0.64% +0.69% -0.06% +1.58% +0.46% +2.64% -0.41% +1.36% WIN
2023-08-23 09:29:00 $360.49 -2.62% -2.31% -0.76% -0.16% +1.20% +1.30% -2.62% -2.42% LOSS
2023-08-11 09:26:00 $371.72 -0.05% - - +0.40% -0.19% +0.79% -0.05% -0.05% LOSS
2022-12-16 09:25:00 $248.64 -0.53% -0.53% +0.52% +0.78% -0.86% +1.06% -0.65% -0.53% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ LII Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 60.0% win rate, LII has -1.53% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve win size or reduce loss size, making LII profitable.

🔧 Fix LII Risk / Reward →

Why Analyze LII with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LII. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LII historically offers an average upside of +1.23% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LII Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, LII shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-5.21%) outweigh average wins (+0.92%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: LII shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -1.53%). This suggests LII is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.