Latest signal: August 23, 2023

LII Stock Analysis

Name: LII Trading Alert Analysis
Creator: FILTRIX

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-12-16 → 2023-08-23

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Lennox International Inc. AIR-COND & WARM AIR HEATG EQUIP & COMM & INDL REFRIG EQUIP (SIC 3585)

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 29, 1999 🔗 www.lennox.com

💰 Market Cap: $17.88B 👥 Employees: 14,200

Lennox International manufactures and distributes heating, ventilating, air conditioning, and refrigeration products to replacement (75% of sales) and new construction (25% of sales) markets. In fiscal 2024, residential HVAC was 67% of sales and commercial HVAC and Heatcraft refrigeration was 33% of sales. The company goes to market with multiple brands, but Lennox is the company's flagship HVAC brand. The Texas-based company is focused on North America after the sale of its European HVAC and refrigeration businesses in late 2023.

📊

Total Alerts

🎯

66.7%

Win Rate (60MIN)

💰

+0.34%

Avg Gain (60MIN)

🚀

+1.05%

Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%

Avg Gain: -1.06%

Avg Winner: +0.00%

Avg Loser: -1.06%

Best: -0.05%

Worst: -2.62%

Trades: 0/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%

Avg Gain: -1.42%

Avg Winner: +0.00%

Avg Loser: -1.42%

Best: -0.53%

Worst: -2.31%

Trades: 0/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%

Avg Gain: -0.12%

Avg Winner: +0.52%

Avg Loser: -0.76%

Best: +0.52%

Worst: -0.76%

Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%

Avg Gain: +0.34%

Avg Winner: +0.59%

Avg Loser: -0.16%

Best: +0.78%

Worst: -0.16%

Trades: 2/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%

Avg Gain: +0.05%

Avg Winner: +1.20%

Avg Loser: -0.53%

Best: +1.20%

Worst: -0.86%

Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.05%

Best MFE: +1.30%

Avg Time to MFE: 195 min

On average, LII alerts reach +1.05% profit potential within 195 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.11%

Worst MAE: -2.62%

Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.11%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.95:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, LII typically reaches +1.05% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3

Gap Up % 0.0%

Avg Gap -1.00%

Best Gap -0.05%

🏭 Sector Comparison: AIR-COND & WARM AIR HEATG EQUIP & COMM & INDL REFRIG EQUIP

How LII compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain

LII: -1.57% Sector: -0.16% -1.41%

EOD Gain

LII: +0.17% Sector: -0.34% +0.51%

Avg MFE

LII: +1.18% Sector: +1.43% -0.25%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LII alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date	Time	Price	5min	15min	30min	60min	EOD	MFE	MAE	Gap	Result
2023-08-23	09:29:00	$360.49	-2.62%	-2.31%	-0.76%	-0.16%	+1.20%	+1.30%	-2.62%	-2.42%	LOSS
2023-08-11	09:26:00	$371.72	-0.05%	-	-	+0.40%	-0.19%	+0.79%	-0.05%	-0.05%	LOSS
2022-12-16	09:25:00	$248.64	-0.53%	-0.53%	+0.52%	+0.78%	-0.86%	+1.06%	-0.65%	-0.53%	LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on LII

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push LII's performance to 75%+.

Optimize LII Strategy →

Why Analyze LII with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LII. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LII historically offers an average upside of +1.05% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LII Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, LII shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show LII performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.34%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.