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LXP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2024-03-08

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Oct 12, 1993 🔗 www.lxp.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.91B 👥 Employees: 59
LXP Industrial Trust is a real estate investment trust principally involved in the ownership of equity and debt investments in single-tenant properties and land throughout the United States. The majority of the revenue is earned through rental revenue.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.30%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.12%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +0.49%
Avg Loser: -1.88%
Best: +1.07%
Worst: -3.56%
Trades: 4/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.32%
Avg Winner: +0.62%
Avg Loser: -3.26%
Best: +1.32%
Worst: -7.77%
Trades: 3/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.98%
Avg Winner: +1.37%
Avg Loser: -2.87%
Best: +1.67%
Worst: -6.24%
Trades: 2/3

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.35%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -1.33%
Best: +1.28%
Worst: -2.90%
Trades: 2/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.14%
Avg Winner: +1.09%
Avg Loser: -2.26%
Best: +1.90%
Worst: -3.87%
Trades: 2/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.12%
Best MFE: +2.34%
Avg Time to MFE: 94 min

On average, LXP alerts reach +1.12% profit potential within 94 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.28%
Worst MAE: -1.75%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.28%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.98:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.98x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, LXP typically reaches +1.12% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.69%
Best Gap +1.22%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How LXP compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
LXP: -0.30% Sector: -0.14% -0.16%
EOD Gain
LXP: -1.14% Sector: +296893.71% -296894.86%
Avg MFE
LXP: +1.12% Sector: +2.11% -1.00%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical LXP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-03-08 09:25:05 $8.97 +0.67% +0.45% +1.67% +1.28% +1.90% +2.34% +0.28% +0.89% WIN
2023-01-10 09:28:00 $10.62 +0.14% +0.09% - - +0.28% +0.56% -0.71% - WIN
2022-12-30 09:25:00 $10.15 -0.20% -0.64% -0.99% -0.49% -1.28% - -0.69% -0.30% LOSS
2022-04-08 09:25:00 $13.96 +1.07% -7.77% -6.24% -2.90% -3.87% +2.08% +1.58% +1.22% WIN
2022-04-05 09:25:00 $15.48 +0.06% +1.32% +1.07% +0.58% -0.32% +1.65% -0.39% -0.39% WIN
2022-02-08 09:25:00 $15.99 -3.56% -1.38% -1.38% -0.59% -3.56% +0.06% -1.75% -5.57% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ LXP Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 66.7% win rate, LXP has -0.30% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making LXP profitable.

🔧 Fix LXP Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze LXP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for LXP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, LXP historically offers an average upside of +1.12% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 LXP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, LXP shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.88%) outweigh average wins (+0.49%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: LXP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.30%). This suggests LXP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.