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MAA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-01 → 2024-06-21

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (SIC 6798)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jan 28, 1994 🔗 www.maac.com
💰 Market Cap: $15.90B 👥 Employees: 2,532
Mid-America Apartment Communities Inc or MAA, is a real estate investment trust engaged in the acquisition, operation, and development of multifamily apartment communities located in the southeastern and southwestern United States. The company operates two reportable segments; Same Store includes communities that the Company has owned and have been stabilized for at least a full 12 months as of the first day of the calendar year and Non-Same Store and Other includes recently acquired communities, communities being developed or in lease-up, communities that have been disposed of or identified for disposition, communities that have experienced a casualty loss and stabilized communities that do not meet the requirements to be Same Store communities.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.35%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.87%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.35%
Avg Winner: +0.35%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.42%
Worst: +0.26%
Trades: 3/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.66%
Avg Winner: +1.01%
Avg Loser: -0.05%
Best: +1.86%
Worst: -0.05%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.48%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -0.24%
Best: +1.52%
Worst: -0.24%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.41%
Avg Winner: +1.14%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: +2.06%
Worst: -1.06%
Trades: 2/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.96%
Avg Winner: +1.93%
Avg Loser: -0.97%
Best: +3.30%
Worst: -0.97%
Trades: 2/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.87%
Best MFE: +4.61%
Avg Time to MFE: 133 min

On average, MAA alerts reach +1.87% profit potential within 133 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.21%
Worst MAE: -0.64%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.21%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

8.72:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 8.72x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, MAA typically reaches +1.87% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.29%
Best Gap +0.69%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How MAA compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MAA: +0.35% Sector: -0.14% +0.49%
EOD Gain
MAA: +0.96% Sector: +296893.71% -296892.75%
Avg MFE
MAA: +1.87% Sector: +2.11% -0.25%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MAA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-06-21 09:25:36 $140.19 +0.35% -0.05% +0.15% +0.22% +0.55% +0.69% +0.01% +0.69% WIN
2022-02-02 09:25:00 $205.25 +0.42% +1.86% +1.52% +2.06% +3.30% +4.61% -0.02% +0.36% WIN
2022-02-01 09:25:00 $207.27 +0.26% +0.16% -0.24% -1.06% -0.97% +0.29% -0.64% -0.18% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on MAA

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MAA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MAA Strategy →

Why Analyze MAA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MAA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MAA historically offers an average upside of +1.87% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MAA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, MAA shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MAA performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.35%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.