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MAC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-07 → 2024-11-26

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Mar 09, 1994 🔗 www.macerich.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.70B 👥 Employees: 615
Macerich invests in premium mall assets. The company owns 27 regional malls in its consolidated portfolio and 10 regional malls in its unconsolidated portfolio along with a power center and seven other real estate assets. The company's total portfolio has 39.9 million square feet of gross leasable area and averaged $867 sales per square foot over the 12 months ended in September 2025.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.51%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.88%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.51%
Avg Winner: +1.34%
Avg Loser: -1.17%
Best: +1.42%
Worst: -1.17%
Trades: 2/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.59%
Avg Winner: +1.39%
Avg Loser: -1.01%
Best: +2.48%
Worst: -1.01%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +1.08%
Avg Winner: +2.15%
Avg Loser: -1.06%
Best: +2.91%
Worst: -1.06%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.41%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -0.53%
Best: +0.90%
Worst: -0.53%
Trades: 2/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -2.00%
Avg Winner: +0.58%
Avg Loser: -3.29%
Best: +0.58%
Worst: -3.30%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.88%
Best MFE: +3.22%
Avg Time to MFE: 15 min

On average, MAC alerts reach +1.88% profit potential within 15 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.77%
Worst MAE: -2.02%
Avg Time to MAE: 3 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.77%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.44:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.44x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, MAC typically reaches +1.88% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.35%
Best Gap +1.16%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How MAC compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MAC: +0.51% Sector: -0.14% +0.65%
EOD Gain
MAC: -2.00% Sector: +296893.71% -296895.71%
Avg MFE
MAC: +1.88% Sector: +2.11% -0.24%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MAC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-26 09:29:16 $20.81 +1.42% +0.29% +1.39% +0.86% +0.58% +2.84% -0.29% +1.06% WIN
2022-06-28 09:25:00 $9.46 +1.27% +2.48% +2.91% +0.90% -3.28% +3.22% - +1.16% WIN
2022-01-07 09:25:00 $18.79 -1.17% -1.01% -1.06% -0.53% -3.30% -0.43% -2.02% -1.17% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on MAC

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MAC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MAC Strategy →

Why Analyze MAC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MAC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MAC historically offers an average upside of +1.88% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MAC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, MAC shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MAC performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.51%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.