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MCRB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 51 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-07 → 2025-01-17

⚠️ Small sample size (51 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Seres Therapeutics, Inc. PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 26, 2015 🔗 www.serestherapeutics.com
💰 Market Cap: $136.2M 👥 Employees: 103
Seres Therapeutics Inc is a microbiome therapeutics platform company operating in the United States. The company is engaged in developing biological drugs which are referred as ecobiotic microbiome therapeutics. The drugs discovered by the company are designed to restore health by repairing the function of a dysbiotic microbiome. The company focuses on implementing its microbiome therapeutics platform to develop ecobiotic microbiome therapeutics that treat dysbiosis in the colonic microbiome. SER-109, the company's product, is designed to prevent further recurrences of Clostridium difficile infection (CDI), a debilitating infection of the colon. In addition, the company is involved in developing SER-262, SER-287, and SER-401.
📊
51
Total Alerts
🎯
82.4%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1266.01%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+6.69%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.95%
Avg Winner: +2.25%
Avg Loser: -2.63%
Best: +9.43%
Worst: -12.95%
Trades: 17/33

15MIN

Win Rate: 45.1%
Avg Gain: -0.85%
Avg Winner: +3.57%
Avg Loser: -4.47%
Best: +19.76%
Worst: -11.14%
Trades: 23/28

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.0%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +5.19%
Avg Loser: -5.53%
Best: +36.80%
Worst: -16.76%
Trades: 25/26

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.2%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +7.01%
Avg Loser: -5.36%
Best: +55.38%
Worst: -22.05%
Trades: 21/30

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 82.4%
Avg Gain: +1266.01%
Avg Winner: +1538.50%
Avg Loser: -5.60%
Best: +2584.29%
Worst: -16.03%
Trades: 42/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.69%
Best MFE: +60.02%
Avg Time to MFE: 96 min

On average, MCRB alerts reach +6.69% profit potential within 96 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.11%
Worst MAE: -17.48%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.11%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.15:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.15x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 51 alerts, MCRB typically reaches +6.69% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 51
Gap Up % 17.6%
Avg Gap -0.73%
Best Gap +3.82%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How MCRB compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MCRB: -0.95% Sector: -0.32% -0.63%
EOD Gain
MCRB: +1266.01% Sector: +4480411.22% -4479145.21%
Avg MFE
MCRB: +6.69% Sector: +7.56% -0.87%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MCRB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-17 09:28:09 $0.76 +1.04% +1.05% +1.79% -0.71% +1918.41% +3.50% -2.83% -2.83% WIN
2025-01-16 09:27:05 $0.75 +5.46% +1.21% -1.31% -2.95% -2.00% +6.67% -1.33% - WIN
2024-12-10 09:26:00 $0.85 -1.30% +2.81% +6.38% +9.52% +10.38% +11.43% -1.54% -1.54% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:29:04 $0.92 -4.32% -2.81% +1.35% -5.63% +1759.52% +3.04% -6.49% -1.99% LOSS
2024-11-14 09:25:40 $0.6 -0.02% -0.53% -1.69% -0.47% +1873.01% +2.40% -2.52% -1.70% LOSS
2024-11-13 09:27:52 $0.65 -0.40% -0.40% +5.26% +0.64% -9.56% +5.26% -1.93% -0.40% LOSS
2024-11-07 09:28:29 $0.73 +1.03% +4.02% +2.25% +0.52% -2.44% +4.30% +1.03% +1.88% WIN
2024-10-01 09:27:35 $0.83 +0.47% +1.36% +3.84% +0.01% +15.82% +16.39% -3.61% -1.20% WIN
2024-09-30 09:26:54 $1.0 -1.95% +2.54% +2.05% +2.04% +1792.96% +7.04% -3.96% -2.96% LOSS
2024-09-26 09:26:46 $0.96 -1.45% -3.44% -6.54% -9.04% +1626.14% +1.66% -1.45% +1.66% LOSS
2024-09-25 09:29:59 $1.09 -4.64% -4.59% -9.16% -5.96% -16.03% +0.92% -6.42% - LOSS
2024-09-12 09:25:07 $1.11 -0.46% -6.76% -14.13% -13.29% +1629.73% +8.11% -0.90% -0.90% LOSS
2024-09-09 09:25:16 $0.98 -1.02% -5.45% -6.73% +0.67% +1999.90% +13.15% -7.16% -2.14% LOSS
2024-08-07 09:26:20 $1.01 -2.14% -3.00% -2.86% -4.97% +1642.57% - -1.14% - LOSS
2024-08-06 09:26:39 $1.03 -12.95% -11.14% -1.93% -4.93% -1.94% +3.88% -17.48% -4.85% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:28:47 $1.1 -0.91% +1.82% +6.36% +8.64% +16.36% +18.18% -2.27% -1.82% LOSS
2023-12-28 09:25:00 $1.48 -2.66% +0.71% -4.10% -4.39% +1791.89% +2.03% -3.32% - LOSS
2023-12-27 09:28:00 $1.38 +0.01% +3.62% +8.70% +7.25% +1943.48% +10.87% -2.17% - WIN
2023-12-26 09:29:00 $1.34 -3.73% -3.73% -2.24% +0.81% +1900.00% +2.99% -5.22% -0.75% LOSS
2023-12-08 09:26:00 $1.13 -3.82% -3.58% -0.89% +3.10% +1829.20% +3.54% -5.31% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 82.4% Baseline on MCRB

The 82.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MCRB's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MCRB Strategy →

Why Analyze MCRB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MCRB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MCRB historically offers an average upside of +6.69% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MCRB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 82.4%, MCRB shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MCRB performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1266.01%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.