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MOH Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-30 β†’ 2023-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏒 Company Profile

πŸ“ NYSE πŸ“… IPO: Jul 02, 2003 πŸ”— www.molinahealthcare.com
πŸ’° Market Cap: $10.38B πŸ‘₯ Employees: 18,000
Molina provides medical insurance plans through Medicaid, the individual exchanges, and Medicare. It manages health benefit risks for more than 5 million people, with more than 85% of those members coming through contracts with state governments for their Medicaid programs. Medicaid contracts in just four statesβ€”California, New York, Texas, and Washingtonβ€”account for over half of its enrollees.
πŸ“Š
6
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (30MIN)
πŸ’°
+0.28%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
πŸš€
+1.32%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

πŸ“ˆ Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 60.0%
Avg Gain: -0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.46%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: +0.68%
Worst: -1.25%
Trades: 3/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.22%
Avg Winner: +1.30%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +1.97%
Worst: -1.73%
Trades: 3/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.28%
Avg Winner: +0.73%
Avg Loser: -0.61%
Best: +1.50%
Worst: -0.86%
Trades: 4/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.93%
Avg Loser: -0.78%
Best: +2.21%
Worst: -1.59%
Trades: 3/3

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 16.7%
Avg Gain: +0.24%
Avg Winner: +3.67%
Avg Loser: -0.45%
Best: +3.67%
Worst: -0.66%
Trades: 1/5

πŸš€ Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

πŸ“ˆ MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.32%
Best MFE: +4.07%
Avg Time to MFE: 101 min

On average, MOH alerts reach +1.32% profit potential within 101 minutes.

πŸ“‰ MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.47%
Worst MAE: -1.87%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.47%.

βš–οΈ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.8:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.8x the typical drawdown.

πŸ’‘ Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, MOH typically reaches +1.32% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.1% to capture most of the move.

πŸŒ… Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 β†’ 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap +0.05%
Best Gap +0.93%

🏭 Sector Comparison: HOSPITAL & MEDICAL SERVICE PLANS

How MOH compares to 10 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MOH: -0.04% Sector: -0.05% +0.01%
EOD Gain
MOH: +0.41% Sector: +0.06% +0.35%
Avg MFE
MOH: +1.29% Sector: +2.93% -1.64%

πŸ“‹ Last 20 Alerts

Historical MOH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-02-14 09:27:00 $299.7 -0.32% -0.47% +0.36% +0.51% -0.60% +0.99% -0.65% -0.02% LOSS
2022-11-22 09:25:00 $316.89 +0.62% +0.59% +0.37% +0.06% -0.11% +0.92% +0.57% +0.91% WIN
2022-11-21 09:25:00 $317.75 +0.08% -0.38% -0.36% -0.38% -0.27% +0.41% - - WIN
2022-11-15 09:25:00 $314.01 - +1.33% +0.69% -0.37% -0.63% +1.44% +0.38% +0.93% -
2022-07-28 09:25:00 $305.85 +0.68% +1.97% +1.50% +2.21% +3.67% +4.07% -1.26% -0.25% WIN
2022-06-30 09:25:00 $281.46 -1.25% -1.73% -0.86% -1.59% -0.66% +0.07% -1.87% -1.25% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

πŸš€ Beat the 66.7% Baseline on MOH

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push MOH's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MOH Strategy β†’

Why Analyze MOH with FILTRIX?

πŸ›‘οΈ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MOH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

πŸ’° Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MOH historically offers an average upside of +1.32% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

πŸ“Š MOH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, MOH shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MOH performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.28%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.