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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$MRK

Trade-Ideas alerts 54.4% at EOD n=160 2022-01-05 → 2026-09-24

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 20, 1949 🔗 www.merck.com
💰 Market Cap: $356.01B 👥 Employees: 75,000
Merck makes pharmaceutical products to treat several conditions in a number of therapeutic areas, including cardiometabolic disease, cancer, and infections. In cancer, the firm's immuno-oncology platform, led by Keytruda, is a major contributor to overall sales. The company also has a substantial vaccine business aimed at preventing pediatric diseases, as well as Gardasil for human papillomavirus. Additionally, Merck sells animal health-related drugs. From a geographical perspective, 53% of the company's 2025 sales were generated from US human health (pharmaceuticals and vaccines).
Total alerts
160
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
54.4%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+0.10%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.17%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading MRK on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +0.51%
Avg Loser: -0.37%
Best: +3.24%
Worst: -1.76%
Trades: 76/83

15MIN

Win Rate: 52.5%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.71%
Avg Loser: -0.60%
Best: +5.34%
Worst: -2.66%
Trades: 84/76

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.1%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -0.73%
Best: +4.94%
Worst: -3.40%
Trades: 85/74

60MIN

Win Rate: 49.4%
Avg Gain: +0.09%
Avg Winner: +0.98%
Avg Loser: -0.81%
Best: +4.87%
Worst: -5.74%
Trades: 79/78

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 54.4%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +1.02%
Avg Loser: -0.98%
Best: +4.03%
Worst: -6.60%
Trades: 87/73

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.17%
Best MFE: +6.21%
Avg Time to MFE: 118 min

On average, MRK alerts reach +1.17% profit potential within 118 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.41%
Worst MAE: -3.78%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.41%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.85:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.85x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 160 alerts, MRK typically reaches +1.17% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 160
Gap Up % 56.2%
Avg Gap +0.07%
Best Gap +3.18%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How MRK compares to 456 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MRK: +0.05% Sector: -0.28% +0.33%
EOD Gain
MRK: +0.10% Sector: +2912438.65% -2912438.55%
Avg MFE
MRK: +1.17% Sector: +7.28% -6.11%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MRK alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-09-24 09:25:00 $147.63 +0.40% +2.09% +2.16% +2.06% +0.24% +2.59% +0.25% +0.36% WIN
2026-09-09 09:25:00 $148.52 -0.01% +0.14% +0.30% -0.53% -0.67% +0.93% +0.22% +0.30% LOSS
2026-08-24 09:25:00 $152.16 -1.04% -0.94% -0.94% -1.51% -0.98% +0.03% -0.13% -0.94% LOSS
2026-08-21 09:25:00 $149.1 -0.01% +0.81% +1.75% +3.19% +2.31% +3.62% -0.34% +0.01% LOSS
2026-08-20 09:25:00 $150.05 +0.21% -0.41% +0.26% +0.14% -0.71% +1.64% -1.02% +0.49% WIN
2026-08-19 09:25:00 $146.31 +0.13% +1.32% +2.98% +2.26% +4.03% +4.91% -0.96% +0.43% WIN
2026-08-07 09:25:00 $127.96 -0.47% -0.18% -0.18% -0.79% +0.48% +0.62% -1.00% -0.09% LOSS
2026-08-06 09:25:00 $129.82 +0.76% +0.20% -0.45% -0.98% -1.12% +0.97% +0.09% +0.88% WIN
2026-07-15 09:25:00 $124.3 -0.14% -0.39% +0.37% -0.51% -0.56% +0.48% -0.77% -0.04% LOSS
2026-07-07 09:25:00 $129.07 -0.19% -0.03% -0.29% -0.15% -0.16% +0.48% -0.82% -0.23% LOSS
2026-05-22 09:25:00 $120.44 +0.43% +0.06% +0.39% +1.14% +1.64% +1.84% -0.35% +0.09% WIN
2026-05-20 09:25:00 $114.46 +0.09% -0.11% +0.25% -0.11% -1.28% +0.43% -0.21% +0.15% WIN
2026-05-11 09:25:00 $111.84 +0.47% +0.92% +1.01% +1.41% -0.50% +1.65% +0.00% +0.28% WIN
2026-05-08 09:25:00 $112.31 +0.31% -0.17% -0.21% -0.33% -0.83% +0.62% -0.18% +0.06% WIN
2026-05-05 09:25:00 $113.3 +0.44% +0.06% +0.11% -0.08% -0.13% +0.68% -0.27% +0.33% WIN
2026-04-30 09:25:00 $108.0 +3.24% +2.34% +2.66% +3.79% +1.09% +3.93% -0.56% +1.24% WIN
2026-04-29 09:25:00 $108.59 -0.40% +0.59% +0.13% +0.82% +2.17% +2.43% -0.64% -0.04% LOSS
2026-04-23 09:25:00 $113.08 +0.34% +0.52% +0.65% +0.95% +1.36% +1.72% -0.13% +0.25% WIN
2026-04-14 09:25:00 $119.24 +0.04% -0.69% -0.18% +0.75% +0.60% +0.94% -0.91% -0.18% WIN
2026-03-30 09:25:00 $121.0 -0.22% +0.12% +0.19% -0.98% -2.40% +0.53% -0.69% -0.36% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 54.4% Baseline on MRK

The 54.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push MRK's performance to 75%+.

Optimize MRK Strategy →

Why Analyze MRK with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MRK. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MRK historically offers an average upside of +1.17% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MRK Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 54.4%, MRK shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show MRK performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.10%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.