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MTCH Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 59 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-02 → 2024-12-23
⚠️ Small sample size (59 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, MTCH alerts reach +2.01% profit potential within 99 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.03%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 59 alerts, MTCH typically reaches +2.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.6% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
How MTCH compares to 40 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical MTCH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-23 | 09:27:49 | $33.5 | +0.33% | +0.66% | +0.82% | -0.60% | -1.91% | +1.04% | -0.03% | +0.12% | WIN |
| 2024-12-11 | 09:29:53 | $31.39 | +1.98% | +4.32% | +1.75% | +0.40% | +0.29% | +4.43% | -0.64% | +0.22% | WIN |
| 2024-11-18 | 09:27:26 | $30.66 | -0.03% | -0.68% | -1.55% | -1.27% | -0.49% | -0.03% | -0.52% | -0.36% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-07 | 09:26:23 | $32.95 | -3.02% | -4.55% | -3.25% | -4.57% | -5.58% | +0.06% | -2.82% | -2.61% | LOSS |
| 2024-11-01 | 09:28:21 | $36.04 | +0.80% | +0.58% | +0.03% | +0.61% | -0.97% | +0.87% | +0.25% | +0.42% | WIN |
| 2024-08-13 | 09:29:29 | $33.7 | +0.80% | +0.62% | +0.39% | -0.46% | +2.55% | +2.74% | -1.01% | -0.12% | WIN |
| 2024-08-01 | 09:26:03 | $38.36 | -0.63% | -2.53% | -3.81% | -3.75% | -2.06% | +0.42% | -0.78% | +0.42% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-31 | 09:29:46 | $38.01 | -2.83% | -1.71% | -1.04% | -0.39% | +0.34% | +2.18% | -4.95% | -0.03% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-16 | 09:27:01 | $34.31 | -0.90% | -0.45% | +1.25% | +0.12% | +0.29% | +2.13% | -1.84% | -0.26% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-12 | 09:26:11 | $31.55 | - | +2.25% | +2.88% | +3.01% | +2.31% | +4.06% | -0.41% | +0.38% | - |
| 2024-05-08 | 09:26:02 | $29.48 | -1.59% | -3.56% | -3.29% | -1.15% | +1.15% | +2.44% | -6.19% | -1.78% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-22 | 09:29:32 | $32.5 | -0.82% | +0.06% | -0.18% | -0.92% | -1.66% | +0.46% | -1.05% | +0.09% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-18 | 09:26:26 | $31.36 | +0.49% | +2.09% | +3.44% | +3.35% | +2.74% | +4.82% | +0.16% | +0.45% | WIN |
| 2024-04-09 | 09:25:11 | $34.0 | +0.71% | +1.47% | +2.03% | +3.88% | +3.26% | +5.16% | +0.59% | +0.74% | WIN |
| 2024-03-25 | 09:26:48 | $35.84 | +0.17% | -1.34% | -0.81% | -0.73% | -1.40% | +0.61% | - | +0.31% | WIN |
| 2023-12-28 | 09:27:00 | $35.8 | +0.75% | +0.75% | +1.06% | +1.54% | +2.60% | +2.89% | -0.25% | +0.03% | WIN |
| 2023-12-13 | 09:29:00 | $31.92 | +0.49% | +0.96% | +1.66% | +2.51% | +4.79% | +5.44% | +0.06% | +0.22% | WIN |
| 2023-11-16 | 09:26:00 | $31.79 | -0.91% | -0.31% | -0.85% | -2.01% | -0.66% | +0.35% | -1.18% | -0.31% | LOSS |
| 2023-11-13 | 09:28:00 | $29.5 | +0.39% | -0.44% | -0.37% | +0.24% | -1.29% | +1.63% | +0.31% | +0.44% | WIN |
| 2023-11-01 | 09:27:00 | $31.52 | -6.41% | -4.90% | -5.92% | -8.20% | -7.07% | +0.10% | -4.12% | -4.19% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ MTCH Shows Negative Expectancy
With 45.8% win rate and -0.23% average gain, MTCH alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MTCH for short-selling strategies.
📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →Why Analyze MTCH with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MTCH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, MTCH historically offers an average upside of +2.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 MTCH Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 45.8%, MTCH shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MTCH may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: MTCH shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.23%). This suggests MTCH is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.