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MVST Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 130 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-20 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jul 26, 2021 🔗 www.microvast.com
💰 Market Cap: $987.8M 👥 Employees: 1,921
Microvast Holdings Inc is a technology innovator that designs, develops, and manufactures lithium-ion battery solutions. It is renowned for its cutting-edge cell technology and its vertical integration capabilities which extends from core battery chemistry to battery packs.
📊
130
Total Alerts
🎯
46.9%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.17%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+8.61%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 35.4%
Avg Gain: -0.52%
Avg Winner: +2.50%
Avg Loser: -2.33%
Best: +9.26%
Worst: -6.28%
Trades: 46/78

15MIN

Win Rate: 43.1%
Avg Gain: -0.19%
Avg Winner: +3.67%
Avg Loser: -3.25%
Best: +22.45%
Worst: -10.95%
Trades: 56/71

30MIN

Win Rate: 46.9%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +4.31%
Avg Loser: -4.45%
Best: +23.78%
Worst: -16.08%
Trades: 61/64

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.4%
Avg Gain: +0.99%
Avg Winner: +7.53%
Avg Loser: -4.51%
Best: +124.94%
Worst: -12.87%
Trades: 59/70

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.1%
Avg Gain: +0.42%
Avg Winner: +8.99%
Avg Loser: -6.60%
Best: +70.33%
Worst: -21.59%
Trades: 56/68

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.61%
Best MFE: +124.94%
Avg Time to MFE: 98 min

On average, MVST alerts reach +8.61% profit potential within 98 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.15%
Worst MAE: -14.02%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.15%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.73:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.73x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 130 alerts, MVST typically reaches +8.61% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 130
Gap Up % 35.4%
Avg Gap -0.23%
Best Gap +3.19%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MISCELLANEOUS ELECTRICAL MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES

How MVST compares to 24 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
MVST: -0.52% Sector: -0.46% -0.05%
EOD Gain
MVST: +0.42% Sector: +197.82% -197.40%
Avg MFE
MVST: +8.61% Sector: +6.28% +2.32%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical MVST alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:23 $2.0 +2.50% +2.75% +4.00% +3.25% +4.50% +5.50% +1.00% +1.50% WIN
2025-02-13 09:25:41 $2.1 +0.48% -2.91% -5.25% -5.48% -2.86% +0.95% -2.62% -0.10% WIN
2025-02-12 09:25:22 $1.76 -0.57% -1.14% +0.28% +1.42% +12.50% +13.07% -2.27% +0.57% LOSS
2025-02-10 09:29:12 $1.62 +0.31% -2.47% - +0.62% +3.70% +4.32% -2.47% +0.62% WIN
2025-02-06 09:26:11 $1.65 +2.42% +2.12% -0.51% -1.82% +1.82% +3.64% -1.21% -1.21% WIN
2025-02-04 09:27:12 $1.6 -0.94% +0.31% +3.65% +6.09% +5.62% +9.06% -2.50% - LOSS
2025-02-03 09:29:36 $1.4 +1.43% +0.71% +3.93% +7.14% +12.14% +15.71% -2.14% +1.07% WIN
2025-01-31 09:29:51 $1.56 -1.42% -5.77% -5.21% -0.32% -3.21% +3.53% -7.05% -0.64% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:29:42 $1.88 -4.25% -5.59% -5.11% -8.61% -13.03% -0.53% -3.72% -1.06% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:27:43 $1.93 +4.04% +2.59% +4.92% +2.07% +2.59% +6.48% -1.55% -0.52% WIN
2025-01-24 09:28:19 $2.0 +3.50% +2.50% +5.08% +11.50% +9.00% +14.00% -0.50% - WIN
2025-01-23 09:27:35 $2.02 +0.99% +0.25% -1.73% -1.73% -1.49% +2.48% +0.49% +0.99% WIN
2025-01-22 09:26:04 $2.05 +1.22% -4.88% -2.73% -1.53% +1.46% +2.87% - +0.49% WIN
2025-01-21 09:28:42 $2.1 -1.95% -1.19% -0.94% - +1.90% +2.86% -3.33% +0.48% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:26:41 $2.22 -2.70% -4.50% +1.58% -5.18% -7.21% +3.60% -4.73% -2.70% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:28:59 $2.06 -0.62% -3.40% -2.43% -1.70% +4.85% +7.77% -4.37% +0.97% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:27:26 $2.1 -2.54% -0.48% +0.95% +6.46% -1.90% +10.95% -4.19% -2.38% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:26:31 $2.11 +0.04% +4.50% +1.47% +2.13% -2.84% +5.21% -2.37% -0.47% WIN
2025-01-13 09:28:01 $2.18 -3.67% -4.59% -10.09% -10.78% -8.72% +0.46% - - LOSS
2025-01-10 09:28:05 $2.56 +6.84% -1.12% +1.84% +8.07% -8.20% +12.11% -9.77% -0.39% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ MVST Shows Negative Expectancy

With 46.9% win rate and -0.17% average gain, MVST alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider MVST for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze MVST with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for MVST. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, MVST historically offers an average upside of +8.61% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 MVST Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 46.9%, MVST shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests MVST may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: MVST shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.17%). This suggests MVST is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.