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NBY Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 47 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-09 → 2025-01-23

⚠️ Small sample size (47 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

NovaBay Pharmaceuticals, Inc. PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NYSE American 📅 IPO: Apr 26, 2000 🔗 www.novabay.com
💰 Market Cap: $594.3M 👥 Employees: 14
NovaBay Pharmaceuticals Inc is a biopharmaceutical company that develops and sells scientifically-created and clinically-proven eyecare, wound care, and skin care products. Its product, Avenova Antimicrobial Lid and Lash Solution (Avenova Spray), is laboratory tested to have broad antimicrobial properties as it removes foreign material, including microorganisms and debris from the skin around the eye, including the eyelid. Avenova Spray is available directly to consumers through online distribution channels and is also often prescribed and dispensed by eyecare professionals for blepharitis and dry-eye disease.
📊
47
Total Alerts
🎯
76.6%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+48275.83%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+6.32%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 34.8%
Avg Gain: -1.57%
Avg Winner: +1.53%
Avg Loser: -3.87%
Best: +4.34%
Worst: -12.60%
Trades: 16/25

15MIN

Win Rate: 30.2%
Avg Gain: -2.42%
Avg Winner: +3.01%
Avg Loser: -4.77%
Best: +8.29%
Worst: -15.47%
Trades: 13/30

30MIN

Win Rate: 27.3%
Avg Gain: -3.56%
Avg Winner: +2.25%
Avg Loser: -5.92%
Best: +5.11%
Worst: -26.04%
Trades: 12/31

60MIN

Win Rate: 28.6%
Avg Gain: -4.30%
Avg Winner: +2.02%
Avg Loser: -6.83%
Best: +8.37%
Worst: -29.57%
Trades: 12/30

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 76.6%
Avg Gain: +48275.83%
Avg Winner: +63028.80%
Avg Loser: -6.63%
Best: +145376.73%
Worst: -18.29%
Trades: 36/11

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.32%
Best MFE: +36.99%
Avg Time to MFE: 71 min

On average, NBY alerts reach +6.32% profit potential within 71 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.93%
Worst MAE: -26.73%
Avg Time to MAE: 26 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.93%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.61:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 47 alerts, NBY typically reaches +6.32% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 47
Gap Up % 42.6%
Avg Gap -1.11%
Best Gap +4.34%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How NBY compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NBY: -1.67% Sector: -0.32% -1.35%
EOD Gain
NBY: +42288.04% Sector: +4480411.22% -4438123.18%
Avg MFE
NBY: +6.64% Sector: +7.56% -0.92%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NBY alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-23 09:28:28 $0.79 +0.31% - -3.91% -3.08% -10.62% +0.69% -0.58% +0.69% WIN
2025-01-10 09:27:32 $0.66 +0.14% -0.64% -9.07% -9.32% +5.77% +7.69% -24.13% -5.30% WIN
2024-10-29 09:28:12 $0.65 -4.40% -1.20% -4.08% -5.85% +0.12% +10.62% -12.29% -3.08% LOSS
2024-09-23 09:29:23 $0.72 -2.22% +0.57% -2.99% -2.50% +4.34% +13.14% -6.41% +3.37% LOSS
2024-09-20 09:25:27 $0.84 -4.76% -8.51% +1.18% -2.69% -11.90% +20.23% -26.73% +3.57% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:28:42 $0.48 +1.22% +1.30% +4.11% -0.54% +4.13% +5.37% -0.66% - WIN
2024-07-30 09:26:08 $0.69 +0.29% -0.43% -1.41% -2.38% -6.49% +1.70% -0.42% +1.00% WIN
2024-07-26 09:29:03 $0.86 -6.63% +1.52% -5.15% -5.54% -18.29% +2.68% -6.93% -5.47% LOSS
2024-02-01 00:00:00 $0.18 - - - - +3081.10% +14.62% +0.67% +1.01% -
2023-12-29 09:27:00 $0.22 -0.42% -0.88% -0.65% -2.26% +3205.56% +3.24% +1.85% +3.24% LOSS
2023-09-19 09:29:00 $0.45 +2.31% +2.31% +0.16% +2.09% +2.31% +4.31% +1.20% +1.87% WIN
2023-09-15 09:28:00 $0.51 +1.94% +0.25% -1.45% +0.20% +3400.00% +3.90% -0.18% -0.18% WIN
2023-09-14 09:29:00 $0.55 - -5.44% -8.97% -2.69% +3130.08% +1.67% -1.78% -1.78% -
2023-09-13 09:28:00 $0.53 -2.82% -2.86% -2.90% -5.24% -4.69% +0.95% -2.84% -2.32% LOSS
2023-09-12 09:29:00 $0.58 -2.76% -1.32% -1.33% -3.05% -3.05% +1.42% - +0.42% LOSS
2023-09-11 09:26:00 $1.15 -1.82% -15.47% -26.04% -29.57% +2003.04% +11.30% -4.35% +0.87% LOSS
2023-06-26 09:26:00 $0.95 -5.26% -9.92% -12.07% -13.68% +3127.37% +2.93% -14.63% -9.47% LOSS
2023-05-22 09:26:00 $0.68 +0.03% +8.09% +2.75% +1.38% +4.43% +10.09% -1.47% -0.22% WIN
2023-05-19 09:25:00 $0.94 -1.62% +8.29% -8.24% -9.57% +2729.79% +14.89% -4.26% -1.47% LOSS
2023-05-15 09:29:00 $0.75 -2.67% -1.40% -4.67% +2.00% +2.33% +12.23% -4.67% -3.99% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 76.6% Baseline on NBY

The 76.6% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push NBY's performance to 75%+.

Optimize NBY Strategy →

Why Analyze NBY with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NBY. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NBY historically offers an average upside of +6.32% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NBY Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 76.6%, NBY shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show NBY performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +48275.83%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.