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NEOV Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-01-26 → 2024-11-08

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 21, 2019 🔗 www.neovolta.com
💰 Market Cap: $209.9M 👥 Employees: 17
NeoVolta Inc is engaged in designing, manufacturing and sale of high end Energy Storage System which can store and use solar energy via batteries and an inverter at a residential site. Its market place includes solar industry, installers, new construction homebuilders, home remodelers and homeowners.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-1.59%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+3.63%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.78%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.78%
Best: -0.71%
Worst: -0.85%
Trades: 0/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.59%
Avg Winner: +1.31%
Avg Loser: -4.49%
Best: +1.31%
Worst: -4.49%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -1.42%
Avg Winner: +1.86%
Avg Loser: -4.70%
Best: +1.86%
Worst: -4.70%
Trades: 1/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.64%
Avg Winner: +2.13%
Avg Loser: -3.41%
Best: +2.13%
Worst: -3.41%
Trades: 1/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.81%
Avg Winner: +6.40%
Avg Loser: -2.78%
Best: +6.40%
Worst: -2.78%
Trades: 1/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +3.63%
Best MFE: +6.40%
Avg Time to MFE: 196 min

On average, NEOV alerts reach +3.63% profit potential within 196 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.59%
Worst MAE: -1.90%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.59%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.28:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.28x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, NEOV typically reaches +3.63% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 50.0%
Avg Gap +0.31%
Best Gap +0.85%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MISCELLANEOUS ELECTRICAL MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES

How NEOV compares to 24 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
NEOV: -0.78% Sector: -0.46% -0.32%
EOD Gain
NEOV: +1.81% Sector: +197.82% -196.01%
Avg MFE
NEOV: +3.63% Sector: +6.28% -2.66%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical NEOV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-08 09:26:22 $4.22 -0.71% +1.31% +1.86% +2.13% +6.40% +6.40% -1.90% -0.24% LOSS
2023-01-26 09:25:00 $2.34 -0.85% -4.49% -4.70% -3.41% -2.78% +0.85% -1.28% +0.85% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ NEOV Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -1.59% average gain, NEOV alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider NEOV for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze NEOV with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for NEOV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, NEOV historically offers an average upside of +3.63% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 NEOV Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, NEOV shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests NEOV may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: NEOV shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -1.59%). This suggests NEOV is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.