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OHI Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-17 → 2024-09-18

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Omega Healthcare Investors Inc. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (SIC 6798)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Aug 07, 1992 🔗 www.omegahealthcare.com
💰 Market Cap: $12.91B 👥 Employees: 60
Omega Healthcare Investors Inc is a healthcare facility real estate investment trust that invests in the United States real estate markets. Omega's portfolio focuses on long-term healthcare facilities. Omega has one reportable segment consisting of investments in healthcare-related real estate properties located in the United States and the United Kingdom. Its core business is to provide financing and capital to the long-term healthcare industry with a particular focus on skilled nursing facilities (SNFs), assisted living facilities (ALFs), and to a lesser extent, independent living facilities (ILFs), rehabilitation and acute care facilities (specialty facilities) and medical office buildings (MOBs).
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-1.00%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+0.75%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +0.41%
Avg Loser: -0.95%
Best: +0.44%
Worst: -1.49%
Trades: 3/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -1.00%
Avg Winner: +0.40%
Avg Loser: -3.79%
Best: +0.87%
Worst: -4.75%
Trades: 4/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 16.7%
Avg Gain: -0.92%
Avg Winner: +0.59%
Avg Loser: -1.22%
Best: +0.59%
Worst: -3.46%
Trades: 1/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.14%
Avg Winner: +0.38%
Avg Loser: -1.90%
Best: +0.69%
Worst: -3.60%
Trades: 2/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 16.7%
Avg Gain: -1.21%
Avg Winner: +1.82%
Avg Loser: -1.82%
Best: +1.82%
Worst: -3.70%
Trades: 1/5

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.75%
Best MFE: +2.42%
Avg Time to MFE: 60 min

On average, OHI alerts reach +0.75% profit potential within 60 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.29%
Worst MAE: -1.18%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.29%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.55:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.55x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, OHI typically reaches +0.75% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 16.7%
Avg Gap -0.17%
Best Gap +0.49%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How OHI compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
OHI: -0.27% Sector: -0.14% -0.13%
EOD Gain
OHI: -1.21% Sector: +296893.71% -296894.93%
Avg MFE
OHI: +0.75% Sector: +2.11% -1.37%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical OHI alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-09-18 09:26:43 $40.55 +0.44% +0.64% +0.59% +0.69% +1.82% +2.42% -0.07% +0.49% WIN
2024-03-08 09:27:09 $30.84 -0.26% +0.03% -0.16% +0.06% -0.32% +0.19% -0.62% -0.29% LOSS
2023-01-10 09:25:00 $27.49 -1.11% -4.75% -3.46% -3.60% -1.96% +0.22% - -0.29% LOSS
2022-04-12 09:25:00 $28.15 -1.49% -2.84% -1.67% -1.74% -2.91% +0.21% +0.21% -0.28% LOSS
2022-04-05 09:25:00 $30.23 +0.36% +0.07% -0.79% -2.17% -3.70% +0.50% -0.10% -0.10% WIN
2022-02-17 09:25:00 $28.88 +0.42% +0.87% -0.03% -0.09% -0.21% +0.93% -1.18% -0.55% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ OHI Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 66.7% win rate, OHI has -1.00% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making OHI profitable.

🔧 Fix OHI Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze OHI with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for OHI. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, OHI historically offers an average upside of +0.75% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 OHI Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, OHI shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-3.79%) outweigh average wins (+0.40%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: OHI shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -1.00%). This suggests OHI is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.