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ONL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-25 → 2023-01-19

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Nov 01, 2021 🔗 www.onlreit.com
💰 Market Cap: $113.2M 👥 Employees: 40
Orion Properties Inc is a internally-managed REIT engaged in the ownership, acquisition, and management of a diversified portfolio of mission-critical and headquarters office buildings located in high quality suburban markets across the U.S. and leased on a single-tenant net lease basis to creditworthy clients. The portfolio of the company includes traditional office buildings, governmental offices, medical offices, laboratories, and others. The Company operates in one business segment: direct ownership and operation of commercial real estate.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+1.60%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+2.89%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.03%
Avg Winner: +2.08%
Avg Loser: -0.07%
Best: +3.60%
Worst: -0.07%
Trades: 2/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.96%
Avg Winner: +2.03%
Avg Loser: -0.20%
Best: +3.49%
Worst: -0.20%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.60%
Avg Winner: +1.60%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.49%
Worst: +0.45%
Trades: 4/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +2.40%
Avg Winner: +2.40%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.14%
Worst: +1.71%
Trades: 3/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.33%
Avg Winner: +1.33%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.79%
Worst: +0.34%
Trades: 4/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.89%
Best MFE: +4.48%
Avg Time to MFE: 93 min

On average, ONL alerts reach +2.89% profit potential within 93 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.29%
Worst MAE: -1.54%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.29%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

10.1:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 10.1x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, ONL typically reaches +2.89% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 75.0%
Avg Gap +1.15%
Best Gap +3.72%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How ONL compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ONL: +1.37% Sector: -0.14% +1.51%
EOD Gain
ONL: +1.65% Sector: +296893.71% -296892.06%
Avg MFE
ONL: +3.29% Sector: +2.11% +1.17%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ONL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-01-19 09:28:00 $8.6 +3.60% +3.49% +3.49% +3.14% +2.79% +4.48% +3.02% +3.72% WIN
2023-01-18 09:26:00 $8.87 +0.56% +0.56% +1.24% +2.37% +0.90% +2.71% +0.11% +0.11% WIN
2023-01-17 09:25:00 $8.84 - - +0.45% - +0.34% +1.70% -0.45% -0.45% -
2022-03-25 09:25:00 $14.94 -0.07% -0.20% +1.20% +1.71% +1.27% +2.68% -1.54% +1.20% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on ONL

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ONL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ONL Strategy →

Why Analyze ONL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ONL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ONL historically offers an average upside of +2.89% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ONL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, ONL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ONL performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.60%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.