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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$ORC

Trade-Ideas alerts 40.4% at EOD n=89 2022-01-14 → 2026-10-02

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 89 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Orchid Island Capital, Inc. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (SIC 6798)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jul 26, 2011 🔗 www.orchidislandcapital.com
💰 Market Cap: $996.9M
Orchid Island Capital Inc is a specialty finance company that invests in residential mortgage-backed securities. The principal and interest payments of its RMBS are guaranteed by the Federal National Mortgage Association, the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, or the Government National Mortgage Association, and are backed by single-family residential mortgage loans. The company's investment portfolio is divided into two categories namely traditional pass-through Agency RMBS; and structured Agency RMBS, such as collateralized mortgage obligations, interest-only securities, inverse interest-only securities, and principal-only securities, among other types of structured Agency RMBS.
Total alerts
89
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · EOD
40.4%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · EOD
+49.00%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.18%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading ORC on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 30.3%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +0.48%
Avg Loser: -0.66%
Best: +2.14%
Worst: -3.17%
Trades: 27/56

15MIN

Win Rate: 31.5%
Avg Gain: -0.26%
Avg Winner: +0.84%
Avg Loser: -0.83%
Best: +3.67%
Worst: -2.41%
Trades: 28/56

30MIN

Win Rate: 34.8%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +0.96%
Avg Loser: -1.02%
Best: +4.72%
Worst: -2.75%
Trades: 31/55

60MIN

Win Rate: 30.3%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +1.35%
Avg Loser: -1.00%
Best: +5.64%
Worst: -3.28%
Trades: 27/60

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.4%
Avg Gain: +49.00%
Avg Winner: +123.09%
Avg Loser: -1.43%
Best: +428.11%
Worst: -5.83%
Trades: 36/49

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.18%
Best MFE: +6.43%
Avg Time to MFE: 115 min

On average, ORC alerts reach +1.18% profit potential within 115 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.83%
Worst MAE: -4.72%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.83%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.43:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 89 alerts, ORC typically reaches +1.18% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 89
Gap Up % 24.7%
Avg Gap -0.21%
Best Gap +0.76%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How ORC compares to 142 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ORC: -0.27% Sector: -0.14% -0.13%
EOD Gain
ORC: +49.00% Sector: +193744.22% -193695.22%
Avg MFE
ORC: +1.18% Sector: +2.32% -1.14%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ORC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-02 09:25:00 $5.29 +0.28% -1.04% -2.17% -1.42% -3.40% +0.95% -0.19% +0.19% WIN
2026-09-30 09:25:00 $5.71 -0.18% -1.09% -0.88% -0.61% -4.90% +0.18% -0.35% -0.18% LOSS
2026-09-21 09:25:00 $6.09 -0.31% -0.29% -0.22% +0.02% -0.14% +0.52% -0.55% -0.14% LOSS
2026-09-17 09:25:00 $6.13 +0.08% -0.08% -0.49% -0.33% -0.65% +0.49% -0.16% +0.00% WIN
2026-09-14 09:25:00 $6.3 +0.08% +0.87% +0.16% -0.71% -1.11% +1.11% -0.24% +0.16% WIN
2026-09-10 09:25:00 $6.5 -0.54% -1.18% -1.38% -1.08% -2.38% +0.37% -0.54% -0.08% LOSS
2026-09-01 09:25:00 $6.58 -0.66% -0.99% -0.84% -0.67% -0.61% -0.01% -1.22% -0.46% LOSS
2026-08-31 09:25:00 $6.62 -1.21% -0.61% -0.63% -0.08% -0.45% +0.30% -1.36% -0.91% LOSS
2026-08-28 09:25:00 $6.74 +0.15% +0.22% +0.37% -0.22% -0.74% +0.59% -0.30% -0.30% WIN
2026-08-20 09:25:00 $6.76 +0.30% +0.15% +0.26% -0.37% -0.74% +0.44% +0.00% +0.15% WIN
2026-08-19 09:25:00 $6.69 +0.60% +0.67% +1.27% +1.66% +1.35% +1.79% -0.20% +0.15% WIN
2026-08-10 09:25:00 $6.53 -0.01% -0.24% -0.62% -0.93% -0.47% +0.15% -0.55% -0.01% LOSS
2026-07-31 09:25:00 $6.53 -0.31% -0.23% -1.25% -1.30% -0.61% +0.02% -0.54% -0.46% LOSS
2026-07-30 09:25:00 $6.59 +0.23% +0.83% +0.44% -0.36% +0.61% +0.91% +0.15% +0.30% WIN
2026-07-28 09:25:00 $6.55 -1.13% -0.59% -0.97% -0.90% +0.33% +0.71% -1.66% -0.90% LOSS
2026-07-27 09:25:00 $6.6 -0.07% +0.08% -0.91% -0.98% -1.67% +0.45% -0.30% -0.15% LOSS
2026-07-24 09:25:00 $6.64 -0.22% -0.15% +0.23% +0.12% -1.51% +0.45% -0.75% -0.30% LOSS
2026-07-08 09:25:00 $6.75 -0.41% +0.78% +0.32% +0.04% -0.18% +0.85% -0.48% -0.33% LOSS
2026-06-30 09:25:00 $6.87 -0.22% +0.50% +0.73% +1.02% +1.46% +2.18% -0.29% -0.15% LOSS
2026-06-26 09:25:00 $6.87 -0.20% -0.27% -0.20% +0.24% +1.19% +1.43% -0.56% -0.13% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

Beat the 40.4% Baseline on ORC

The 40.4% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and push ORC's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ORC Strategy →

Why Analyze ORC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ORC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ORC historically offers an average upside of +1.18% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ORC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 40.4%, ORC shows choppy price action, requiring strict filters or quick profit-taking.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ORC performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +49.00%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.