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PACB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 89 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-11 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (89 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Pacific Biosciences of California, Inc. LABORATORY ANALYTICAL INSTRUMENTS (SIC 3826)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 27, 2010 🔗 www.pacb.com
💰 Market Cap: $778.9M 👥 Employees: 575
Pacific Biosciences of California Inc is a biotechnology company focused on designing, developing, and manufacturing sequencing solutions that enable scientists and clinical researchers to improve their understanding of the genome and ultimately, resolve genetically complex problems. It operates in, one reportable segment: the development, manufacturing, and marketing of an integrated platform for genetic analysis. The majority of the company's revenue is derived from Americas, followed by Asia-Pacific and Europe Middle East, and Africa.
📊
89
Total Alerts
🎯
40.4%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-0.25%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+6.00%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 34.8%
Avg Gain: -0.80%
Avg Winner: +3.13%
Avg Loser: -3.07%
Best: +20.87%
Worst: -8.51%
Trades: 31/55

15MIN

Win Rate: 32.6%
Avg Gain: -0.95%
Avg Winner: +3.84%
Avg Loser: -3.38%
Best: +19.31%
Worst: -10.12%
Trades: 29/58

30MIN

Win Rate: 39.3%
Avg Gain: -0.53%
Avg Winner: +4.29%
Avg Loser: -3.66%
Best: +28.92%
Worst: -9.42%
Trades: 35/54

60MIN

Win Rate: 40.4%
Avg Gain: -0.25%
Avg Winner: +5.36%
Avg Loser: -4.15%
Best: +41.01%
Worst: -15.14%
Trades: 36/52

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.4%
Avg Gain: -0.30%
Avg Winner: +6.42%
Avg Loser: -4.95%
Best: +27.59%
Worst: -14.51%
Trades: 36/52

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.00%
Best MFE: +78.62%
Avg Time to MFE: 103 min

On average, PACB alerts reach +6.00% profit potential within 103 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.66%
Worst MAE: -11.01%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.66%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.26:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.26x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 89 alerts, PACB typically reaches +6.00% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 89
Gap Up % 23.6%
Avg Gap -0.48%
Best Gap +2.36%

🏭 Sector Comparison: LABORATORY ANALYTICAL INSTRUMENTS

How PACB compares to 17 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PACB: -0.80% Sector: -0.56% -0.24%
EOD Gain
PACB: -0.30% Sector: +21808.61% -21808.90%
Avg MFE
PACB: +6.00% Sector: +3.87% +2.13%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PACB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:31 $1.45 +8.28% +19.31% +28.92% +28.97% +27.59% +42.07% -1.38% -1.38% WIN
2025-02-13 09:29:01 $1.38 -3.99% -3.26% -4.34% -4.35% +7.25% +10.14% -5.07% - LOSS
2025-02-12 09:28:59 $1.35 -4.48% -2.59% -2.22% +0.37% +0.74% +6.67% -5.93% -1.48% LOSS
2025-02-11 09:26:56 $1.37 -0.77% -1.46% +3.28% +1.09% -2.92% +4.38% -2.92% - LOSS
2025-02-10 09:29:37 $1.55 -6.45% -7.74% -8.71% -9.06% -14.19% +0.65% -4.52% - LOSS
2025-02-06 09:27:35 $1.64 +0.07% +2.73% +5.79% +1.52% -2.44% +6.71% - +1.22% WIN
2025-02-04 09:29:29 $1.47 -1.70% -1.70% -2.38% -3.91% -2.04% +0.68% -2.04% - LOSS
2025-02-03 09:25:52 $1.5 -5.33% -5.00% -4.33% -4.00% -2.67% +0.62% -4.00% - LOSS
2025-01-29 09:29:39 $1.62 -2.47% -2.78% -2.78% -1.24% -3.70% +0.62% -3.09% - LOSS
2025-01-27 09:29:52 $1.64 -0.61% +0.09% -0.91% -1.83% +1.83% +2.13% -3.66% - LOSS
2025-01-24 09:25:59 $1.69 -4.09% -1.81% -2.07% -0.89% - +1.48% -4.73% - LOSS
2025-01-23 09:28:07 $1.77 -8.51% -7.63% -8.47% -10.73% -6.78% - - -0.56% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:28:36 $1.71 -1.06% -0.29% +2.96% +9.06% +5.85% +9.36% -1.17% +0.58% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:27:28 $1.67 -2.32% -1.80% -1.17% -2.69% -1.80% +0.30% -2.99% -0.60% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:28:14 $1.77 -4.52% -5.12% -7.34% -4.84% -9.60% - -0.56% -0.56% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:29:39 $1.95 -0.51% - -0.77% +0.26% -10.51% +3.08% -1.03% -1.03% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:26:15 $1.98 +1.07% +3.28% -2.06% +0.42% -6.57% +4.80% -3.54% -2.53% WIN
2025-01-13 09:26:06 $2.14 -5.70% -7.01% -3.97% -7.01% -6.07% -1.87% -7.94% -2.80% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:25:23 $2.13 -4.23% -4.23% -2.82% -4.23% -1.41% +0.94% -7.51% -1.88% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:27:32 $2.08 -2.40% -2.40% +0.24% +1.68% +0.96% +6.73% -5.05% -2.40% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ PACB Shows Negative Expectancy

With 40.4% win rate and -0.25% average gain, PACB alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider PACB for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze PACB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PACB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PACB historically offers an average upside of +6.00% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PACB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 40.4%, PACB shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests PACB may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: PACB shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.25%). This suggests PACB is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.