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PECO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-05-22 → 2024-09-23

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Phillips Edison & Company, Inc. Common Stock REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (SIC 6798)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jan 22, 2016 🔗 www.phillipsedison.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.44B 👥 Employees: 300
Phillips Edison & Co Inc is a real estate investment trust. The company also operates a third-party investment management business providing property management and advisory services to four unconsolidated institutional joint ventures, in which it has a partial ownership interests, and one private fund. It invests in well-occupied, grocery-anchored neighborhood and community shopping centers. It holds an integrated in-house operating platform built on market of expertise designed to optimize property value and consistently deliver a great shopping experience.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+0.48%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+0.82%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.45%
Avg Winner: +0.73%
Avg Loser: -0.13%
Best: +0.76%
Worst: -0.13%
Trades: 2/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.48%
Avg Winner: +0.48%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.78%
Worst: +0.16%
Trades: 3/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.23%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -0.16%
Best: +0.65%
Worst: -0.16%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.27%
Avg Winner: +0.46%
Avg Loser: -0.11%
Best: +0.81%
Worst: -0.11%
Trades: 2/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.28%
Avg Loser: -0.32%
Best: +0.38%
Worst: -0.32%
Trades: 2/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.82%
Best MFE: +1.12%
Avg Time to MFE: 89 min

On average, PECO alerts reach +0.82% profit potential within 89 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: +0.27%
Worst MAE: -0.44%
Avg Time to MAE: 59 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.27%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.97:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.97x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, PECO typically reaches +0.82% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.39%
Best Gap +0.76%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How PECO compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PECO: +0.45% Sector: -0.14% +0.59%
EOD Gain
PECO: +0.08% Sector: +296893.71% -296893.63%
Avg MFE
PECO: +0.82% Sector: +2.11% -1.30%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PECO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-09-23 09:26:11 $38.37 +0.76% +0.78% +0.65% +0.81% +0.18% +1.12% +0.76% +0.76% WIN
2024-05-24 09:26:44 $31.53 +0.71% +0.51% +0.19% -0.11% -0.32% +0.73% +0.51% +0.51% WIN
2024-05-22 09:26:11 $31.83 -0.13% +0.16% -0.16% +0.11% +0.38% +0.60% -0.44% -0.09% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on PECO

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PECO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PECO Strategy →

Why Analyze PECO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PECO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PECO historically offers an average upside of +0.82% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PECO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, PECO shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PECO performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.48%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.