Latest signal:
PH Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 18 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2024-08-21
⚠️ Small sample size (18 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, PH alerts reach +0.88% profit potential within 189 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.88%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 18 alerts, PH typically reaches +0.88% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: MISCELLANEOUS FABRICATED METAL PRODUCTS
How PH compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical PH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-21 | 09:26:56 | $584.0 | +0.33% | +0.04% | +0.06% | +0.39% | +0.33% | +0.93% | -0.27% | +0.26% | WIN |
| 2024-06-10 | 09:27:31 | $517.0 | +0.67% | +0.75% | +0.37% | +0.79% | +1.74% | +1.76% | -0.07% | +0.13% | WIN |
| 2024-05-02 | 09:25:24 | $527.99 | -2.00% | -1.79% | -1.40% | -1.34% | +0.51% | +1.33% | -2.31% | -0.53% | LOSS |
| 2024-02-22 | 09:28:02 | $527.75 | +0.62% | +0.67% | +1.30% | +1.02% | +0.43% | +1.48% | +0.10% | +0.80% | WIN |
| 2023-11-06 | 09:25:00 | $403.56 | -0.39% | -1.06% | -0.49% | +0.18% | +0.64% | +0.71% | -1.08% | -0.39% | LOSS |
| 2023-09-26 | 09:28:00 | $391.51 | -0.61% | -0.18% | -0.75% | -1.20% | -1.95% | -0.17% | -0.65% | -0.65% | LOSS |
| 2023-08-17 | 09:29:00 | $408.75 | +0.07% | -0.24% | -0.17% | -0.03% | -2.37% | +0.19% | -0.28% | -0.14% | WIN |
| 2023-06-06 | 09:25:00 | $340.0 | -1.66% | -0.47% | -0.22% | +0.52% | +1.94% | +2.05% | -1.74% | -1.34% | LOSS |
| 2023-05-30 | 09:25:00 | $333.13 | +0.62% | -0.64% | +0.11% | -0.23% | -0.86% | +0.80% | +0.45% | +0.50% | WIN |
| 2023-05-03 | 09:29:00 | $325.5 | +0.71% | +0.35% | +0.93% | +0.70% | -0.70% | +1.48% | -0.34% | +0.28% | WIN |
| 2023-04-17 | 09:26:00 | $321.54 | -0.36% | +0.51% | +0.79% | +0.71% | +1.20% | +1.30% | -0.63% | -0.30% | LOSS |
| 2022-08-03 | 09:25:00 | $285.59 | +0.36% | +0.64% | +0.23% | -0.36% | +1.57% | +1.95% | -0.53% | +0.36% | WIN |
| 2022-05-17 | 09:25:00 | $271.49 | +0.39% | +0.65% | +0.05% | -0.85% | +0.35% | +1.02% | +0.07% | +0.20% | WIN |
| 2022-04-27 | 09:25:00 | $274.94 | -1.64% | -1.14% | -0.63% | -1.18% | -1.18% | +0.30% | -1.82% | -0.98% | LOSS |
| 2022-04-26 | 09:25:00 | $278.26 | -1.13% | -0.70% | -0.62% | -0.70% | -2.47% | +0.42% | -1.45% | -1.13% | LOSS |
| 2022-03-14 | 09:25:00 | $284.2 | -4.09% | -4.32% | -3.85% | -2.82% | -3.60% | -2.24% | -4.64% | -3.37% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-15 | 09:25:00 | $301.15 | +1.08% | +2.10% | +2.06% | +1.69% | +1.72% | +2.61% | +1.08% | +1.20% | WIN |
| 2022-02-08 | 09:25:00 | $304.97 | -0.19% | -1.52% | -1.59% | -0.79% | -0.08% | +0.00% | -1.76% | -0.27% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ PH Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 55.6% win rate, PH has -0.15% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making PH profitable.
🔧 Fix PH Risk/Reward →Why Analyze PH with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, PH historically offers an average upside of +0.88% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 PH Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 55.6%, PH shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.65%) outweigh average wins (+1.04%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: PH shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.15%). This suggests PH is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.