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PII Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-26 → 2025-01-28

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 16, 1987 🔗 www.polaris.com
💰 Market Cap: $3.89B 👥 Employees: 15,000
Polaris designs and manufactures off-road vehicles, including all-terrain vehicles and side-by-side vehicles for recreational and utility purposes, snowmobiles, and on-road vehicles, along with the related replacement parts, garments, and accessories. The firm entered the marine market after acquiring Boat Holdings in 2018, offering exposure to another segment of the outdoor lifestyle market. It is slated to divest its Indian motorcycle brand to Carolwood in the first quarter of 2026. Polaris products are retailed through more than 2,500 dealers in North America and 1,500 international dealers as well as more than 25 subsidiaries and 90 distributors in more than 100 countries outside North America.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.67%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+6.11%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +1.67%
Avg Winner: +2.77%
Avg Loser: -1.63%
Best: +4.00%
Worst: -1.63%
Trades: 3/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.81%
Avg Winner: +3.93%
Avg Loser: -2.31%
Best: +4.95%
Worst: -2.87%
Trades: 2/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +1.74%
Avg Winner: +3.60%
Avg Loser: -3.84%
Best: +4.89%
Worst: -3.84%
Trades: 3/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.15%
Avg Winner: +4.13%
Avg Loser: -1.84%
Best: +4.64%
Worst: -3.36%
Trades: 2/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.79%
Avg Winner: +4.17%
Avg Loser: -2.58%
Best: +7.75%
Worst: -5.14%
Trades: 2/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.11%
Best MFE: +11.25%
Avg Time to MFE: 89 min

On average, PII alerts reach +6.11% profit potential within 89 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.53%
Worst MAE: -4.82%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.53%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

11.51:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 11.51x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, PII typically reaches +6.11% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +1.64%
Best Gap +2.88%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MISCELLANEOUS TRANSPORTATION EQUIPMENT

How PII compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
PII: +1.67% Sector: -0.42% +2.08%
EOD Gain
PII: +0.79% Sector: +943.97% -943.18%
Avg MFE
PII: +6.11% Sector: +3.56% +2.55%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical PII alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-28 09:25:05 $54.12 -1.63% -2.87% -3.84% -3.36% -5.14% +1.46% -4.82% +0.33% LOSS
2024-07-23 09:29:04 $72.56 +4.00% +2.90% +4.89% +4.64% +7.75% +11.25% +1.31% +2.32% WIN
2022-06-28 09:25:00 $103.35 +2.95% +4.95% +4.51% +3.62% +0.59% +5.35% +2.88% +2.88% WIN
2022-04-26 09:25:00 $98.52 +1.35% -1.75% +1.39% -0.31% -0.03% +6.37% -1.49% +1.04% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on PII

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push PII's performance to 75%+.

Optimize PII Strategy →

Why Analyze PII with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PII. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, PII historically offers an average upside of +6.11% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 PII Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, PII shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show PII performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.67%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.