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PUMP Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-01-18 → 2024-12-10
⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, PUMP alerts reach +3.36% profit potential within 89 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.04%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.22x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, PUMP typically reaches +3.36% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: OIL & GAS FIELD SERVICES, NEC
How PUMP compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical PUMP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-10 | 09:28:11 | $8.49 | +0.21% | +0.47% | +2.59% | +5.12% | +9.42% | +13.72% | -1.30% | - | WIN |
| 2023-09-26 | 09:28:00 | $10.28 | -0.10% | +1.11% | -0.29% | -0.78% | -1.46% | +1.26% | -1.65% | -1.65% | LOSS |
| 2023-01-24 | 09:25:00 | $9.48 | -0.96% | -1.27% | -0.50% | -1.05% | -2.11% | +0.37% | -2.32% | -0.74% | LOSS |
| 2023-01-19 | 09:29:00 | $9.5 | -0.86% | -2.00% | -0.79% | -1.26% | -2.84% | - | -0.53% | -0.53% | LOSS |
| 2023-01-18 | 09:27:00 | $10.33 | +0.39% | +0.48% | +0.10% | -0.10% | -8.13% | +1.45% | +0.58% | +0.68% | WIN |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ PUMP Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 60.0% win rate, PUMP has -0.24% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making PUMP profitable.
🔧 Fix PUMP Risk/Reward →Why Analyze PUMP with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for PUMP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, PUMP historically offers an average upside of +3.36% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 PUMP Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 60.0%, PUMP shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-1.63%) outweigh average wins (+0.69%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: PUMP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.24%). This suggests PUMP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.