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QDEL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-02-14 → 2024-11-20

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

QuidelOrtho Corporation Common Stock IN VITRO & IN VIVO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES (SIC 2835)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Aug 04, 1981 🔗 www.quidelortho.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.91B 👥 Employees: 6,600
QuidelOrtho Corp is engaged in the development, manufacturing and marketing of rapid diagnostic testing solutions. The company is engaged in immunoassay and molecular testing, clinical chemistry and transfusion medicine which helps clinicians and patients to make decisions across the globe. Geographically the company has its presence in North America, EMEA, China and Other countries. It generates majority if its revenue from North America.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1.01%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+4.38%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.25%
Avg Winner: +0.14%
Avg Loser: -1.94%
Best: +0.14%
Worst: -3.08%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -2.28%
Avg Winner: +0.76%
Avg Loser: -3.79%
Best: +0.76%
Worst: -5.56%
Trades: 1/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.23%
Avg Winner: +2.52%
Avg Loser: -3.10%
Best: +2.52%
Worst: -5.05%
Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.15%
Avg Winner: +1.78%
Avg Loser: -2.62%
Best: +1.78%
Worst: -3.43%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +1.01%
Avg Winner: +1.62%
Avg Loser: -0.22%
Best: +1.68%
Worst: -0.22%
Trades: 2/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.38%
Best MFE: +6.28%
Avg Time to MFE: 155 min

On average, QDEL alerts reach +4.38% profit potential within 155 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.96%
Worst MAE: -5.94%
Avg Time to MAE: 26 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.96%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.11:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, QDEL typically reaches +4.38% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.77%
Best Gap +1.98%

🏭 Sector Comparison: IN VITRO & IN VIVO DIAGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES

How QDEL compares to 13 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
QDEL: -1.25% Sector: -0.64% -0.61%
EOD Gain
QDEL: +1.01% Sector: +794.58% -793.57%
Avg MFE
QDEL: +4.38% Sector: +12.24% -7.86%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical QDEL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-20 09:27:30 $36.86 +0.14% +0.76% +2.52% +1.78% +1.68% +3.26% -0.98% +0.33% WIN
2024-05-02 09:26:09 $41.57 -3.08% -5.56% -5.05% -1.80% +1.56% +3.61% -5.94% - LOSS
2024-02-14 09:26:11 $45.37 -0.79% -2.03% -1.16% -3.43% -0.22% +6.28% -4.96% +1.98% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on QDEL

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push QDEL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize QDEL Strategy →

Why Analyze QDEL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for QDEL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, QDEL historically offers an average upside of +4.38% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 QDEL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, QDEL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show QDEL performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.01%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.