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RC Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 5 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-12 → 2024-02-28

⚠️ Small sample size (5 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Ready Capital Corporation REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (SIC 6798)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 08, 2013 🔗 www.readycapital.com
💰 Market Cap: $374.5M 👥 Employees: 475
Ready Capital Corp is a real estate finance company. It acquires, manages, originates, and finances small-balance commercial loans to purchase small multi-family, office, retail, mixed-use, or warehouse properties. The company's segments consist of LMM Commercial Real Estate and Small Business Lending. It generates the majority of its revenue from LMM Commercial Real Estate.
📊
5
Total Alerts
🎯
40.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.41%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.82%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.41%
Avg Winner: +0.50%
Avg Loser: -1.03%
Best: +0.92%
Worst: -2.19%
Trades: 2/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: -0.64%
Avg Winner: +0.73%
Avg Loser: -1.55%
Best: +0.80%
Worst: -2.06%
Trades: 2/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -0.79%
Avg Winner: +0.55%
Avg Loser: -1.13%
Best: +0.55%
Worst: -1.41%
Trades: 1/4

60MIN

Win Rate: 20.0%
Avg Gain: -0.64%
Avg Winner: +0.60%
Avg Loser: -0.95%
Best: +0.60%
Worst: -2.20%
Trades: 1/4

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 40.0%
Avg Gain: +0.00%
Avg Winner: +2.29%
Avg Loser: -1.52%
Best: +2.29%
Worst: -2.41%
Trades: 2/3

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.82%
Best MFE: +3.30%
Avg Time to MFE: 142 min

On average, RC alerts reach +1.82% profit potential within 142 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.87%
Worst MAE: -3.30%
Avg Time to MAE: 19 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.87%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.97:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 5 alerts, RC typically reaches +1.82% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 5
Gap Up % 40.0%
Avg Gap -0.12%
Best Gap +0.91%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How RC compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RC: -0.41% Sector: -0.14% -0.27%
EOD Gain
RC: +0.00% Sector: +296893.71% -296893.71%
Avg MFE
RC: +1.82% Sector: +2.11% -0.29%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RC alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-02-28 09:29:09 $8.7 -0.63% +0.80% -0.92% -0.63% -2.41% +1.72% -2.99% +0.23% LOSS
2023-12-15 09:29:00 $10.98 +0.09% +0.66% +0.55% +0.60% -0.73% +1.55% -0.46% +0.91% WIN
2023-03-24 09:26:00 $9.6 -2.19% -1.88% -1.41% -0.52% +2.29% +2.47% -2.29% -1.04% LOSS
2023-02-27 09:27:00 $10.91 +0.92% -2.06% -1.37% -2.20% +2.29% +3.30% -3.30% -0.46% WIN
2022-01-12 09:25:00 $15.49 -0.26% -0.71% -0.81% -0.46% -1.42% +0.06% -0.32% -0.26% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ RC Shows Negative Expectancy

With 40.0% win rate and -0.41% average gain, RC alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RC for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze RC with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RC. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RC historically offers an average upside of +1.82% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RC Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 40.0%, RC shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RC may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RC shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.41%). This suggests RC is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.