FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

REG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-07-25 → 2024-11-15

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Regency Centers Corporation REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (SIC 6798)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 29, 1993 🔗 www.regencycenters.com
💰 Market Cap: $13.01B 👥 Employees: 500
Regency Centers is one of the largest shopping center-focused retail REITs. The company's portfolio includes an interest in 483 properties, which includes over 57 million square feet of retail space following the completion of the Urstadt Biddle acquisition in August 2023. The portfolio is geographically diversified with 22 regional offices and no single market representing more than 12% of total company net operating income. Regency's retail portfolio is primarily composed of grocery-anchored centers, with 80% of properties featuring a grocery anchor and grocery stores representing 20% of annual base rent.
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.67%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+0.07%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.64%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.64%
Best: -0.03%
Worst: -1.25%
Trades: 0/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.67%
Avg Winner: +0.16%
Avg Loser: -1.50%
Best: +0.16%
Worst: -1.50%
Trades: 1/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.36%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.36%
Best: -0.06%
Worst: -0.66%
Trades: 0/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.29%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.29%
Best: -0.23%
Worst: -0.35%
Trades: 0/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -1.41%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -1.41%
Best: -0.32%
Worst: -2.49%
Trades: 0/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.07%
Best MFE: +0.31%
Avg Time to MFE: 82 min

On average, REG alerts reach +0.07% profit potential within 82 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.06%
Worst MAE: -1.61%
Avg Time to MAE: 27 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.06%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.07:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, REG typically reaches +0.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.42%
Best Gap -0.03%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How REG compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
REG: -0.64% Sector: -0.14% -0.50%
EOD Gain
REG: -1.41% Sector: +296893.71% -296895.12%
Avg MFE
REG: +0.07% Sector: +2.11% -2.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical REG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-11-15 09:25:29 $73.9 -0.03% +0.16% -0.06% -0.23% -0.32% +0.31% -0.51% -0.03% LOSS
2024-07-25 09:26:38 $65.8 -1.25% -1.50% -0.66% -0.35% -2.49% -0.16% -1.61% -0.81% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ REG Shows Negative Expectancy

With 50.0% win rate and -0.67% average gain, REG alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider REG for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze REG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for REG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, REG historically offers an average upside of +0.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 REG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, REG shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests REG may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: REG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.67%). This suggests REG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.