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RIGL Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 59 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-06-07 → 2024-06-25

⚠️ Small sample size (59 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Rigel Pharmaceuticals Inc. (New) PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 29, 2000 🔗 www.rigel.com
💰 Market Cap: $670.9M 👥 Employees: 164
Rigel Pharmaceuticals Inc develops small-molecule drugs for autoimmune, cancer-related, and viral diseases. The firm's primary drug is an oral rheumatoid arthritis drug candidate that has been licensed to AstraZeneca. Astra has taken overall responsibility for developing and marketing the drug and will pay Rigel royalties and milestone payments. Its pipeline product includes TAVALISSE (fostamatinib disodium hexahydrate) tablets, the only oral spleen tyrosine kinase (SYK) inhibitor, Fostamatinib, R289, R552, R835, DS-3032, THF-beta Inhibitors, and AZD0449- Inhaled JAK Inhibitor.
📊
59
Total Alerts
🎯
78.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+461.42%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+7.37%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 44.1%
Avg Gain: -0.21%
Avg Winner: +1.60%
Avg Loser: -1.87%
Best: +4.49%
Worst: -5.44%
Trades: 26/29

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.4%
Avg Gain: -0.63%
Avg Winner: +2.21%
Avg Loser: -2.72%
Best: +7.77%
Worst: -7.81%
Trades: 25/34

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.1%
Avg Gain: -0.66%
Avg Winner: +2.70%
Avg Loser: -3.52%
Best: +8.25%
Worst: -11.16%
Trades: 26/31

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: -0.23%
Avg Winner: +3.45%
Avg Loser: -4.07%
Best: +11.65%
Worst: -11.98%
Trades: 28/27

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 78.0%
Avg Gain: +461.42%
Avg Winner: +593.56%
Avg Loser: -6.68%
Best: +1084.47%
Worst: -22.55%
Trades: 46/12

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.37%
Best MFE: +30.49%
Avg Time to MFE: 143 min

On average, RIGL alerts reach +7.37% profit potential within 143 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.25%
Worst MAE: -12.16%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.25%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.28:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.28x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 59 alerts, RIGL typically reaches +7.37% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 5.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 59
Gap Up % 35.6%
Avg Gap -0.19%
Best Gap +3.59%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How RIGL compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RIGL: -0.21% Sector: -0.32% +0.10%
EOD Gain
RIGL: +461.42% Sector: +4480411.22% -4479949.80%
Avg MFE
RIGL: +7.37% Sector: +7.56% -0.18%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RIGL alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-06-25 09:25:05 $0.87 +1.16% -7.81% -9.09% -2.59% -3.14% +3.45% -1.15% +3.45% WIN
2023-12-08 09:26:00 $1.17 +2.56% +5.13% +2.57% +4.28% +1032.48% +14.10% -2.48% - WIN
2023-10-16 09:25:00 $0.95 - -0.55% -1.04% -1.94% +917.37% +5.26% -4.53% +1.61% -
2023-10-09 09:28:00 $0.96 +2.59% +1.79% -0.34% +0.21% +3.14% +5.21% -2.07% +0.97% WIN
2023-10-06 09:25:00 $1.02 +0.98% -2.94% -2.94% -4.54% - +2.94% -4.89% +0.98% WIN
2023-05-19 09:27:00 $1.44 -2.08% -6.97% - -1.42% +997.22% +13.89% -7.64% - LOSS
2023-04-11 09:28:00 $1.23 - -1.22% +0.07% +2.03% +900.00% +3.25% -1.63% -0.81% -
2023-03-20 09:27:00 $1.48 -3.38% -0.68% -1.01% - +852.70% +1.35% -3.38% -2.03% LOSS
2023-03-14 09:28:00 $1.6 -1.24% +1.88% +2.19% +0.31% +906.25% +2.50% -3.12% -1.25% LOSS
2023-03-13 09:26:00 $1.55 +0.65% -0.32% +3.87% +3.87% +1.94% +7.74% -1.94% -0.65% WIN
2023-03-10 09:25:00 $1.62 +1.23% -2.78% -2.78% - -2.16% +3.70% - - WIN
2023-03-09 09:27:00 $1.77 -2.26% -0.56% -1.69% +1.41% -5.08% +3.39% -0.56% +1.69% LOSS
2023-03-08 09:25:00 $1.79 -2.23% -6.15% -5.58% -2.26% +900.00% +2.23% -0.56% +1.12% LOSS
2023-02-27 09:29:00 $1.56 -1.28% -2.88% -3.53% -2.24% +874.36% +0.64% -1.28% +0.64% LOSS
2023-02-01 09:25:00 $1.6 +0.21% +0.62% +3.44% +2.19% +7.50% +10.01% -1.88% +0.62% WIN
2023-01-31 09:29:00 $1.75 +1.15% -2.57% -3.52% -4.86% +837.14% +1.71% -1.71% -1.71% WIN
2023-01-18 09:28:00 $1.85 -2.72% -2.70% -2.97% -1.17% +937.84% +5.41% -4.32% -2.70% LOSS
2023-01-06 09:25:00 $1.24 - -0.81% -4.03% +1.21% +0.81% +4.03% -4.03% - -
2023-01-03 09:28:00 $1.54 -0.01% +2.27% +0.65% -5.19% +770.13% +3.90% -1.95% -0.65% LOSS
2022-12-30 09:25:00 $1.33 - -2.18% - +3.01% +12.78% +13.91% -3.76% - -

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 78.0% Baseline on RIGL

The 78.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push RIGL's performance to 75%+.

Optimize RIGL Strategy →

Why Analyze RIGL with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RIGL. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RIGL historically offers an average upside of +7.37% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RIGL Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 78.0%, RIGL shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show RIGL performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +461.42%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.