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Ticker Report — Active Last signal ·

$RITM

Trade-Ideas alerts 37.9% at 60-min n=29 2022-10-03 → 2026-10-01

⚠ SMALL SAMPLE · 29 alerts only. Statistics may have high variance — interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: May 02, 2013 🔗 www.rithmcap.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.86B 👥 Employees: 7,240
Rithm Capital Corp operates as a real estate investment trust that provides capital and services to the real estate and financial services industries. The company aims to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns in all interest-rate environments through a complementary portfolio of investments and operating businesses. Its investment portfolio is composed of mortgage servicing-related assets (full and excess MSRs and servicer advances), residential securities (and associated call rights), loans (including single-family rental), and consumer loans. Its operating segments are Origination and Servicing; Investment Portfolio; Residential Transitional Lending; and Asset Management.
Total alerts
29
Trade-Ideas signal history
Win rate · 60MIN
37.9%
Best timeframe baseline
Avg gain · 60MIN
-0.11%
Per-alert expectancy
Avg MFE
+1.15%
Max potential excursion

Practice trading RITM on historical setups — browse all patterns across all tickers →

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 27.6%
Avg Gain: -0.28%
Avg Winner: +0.61%
Avg Loser: -0.72%
Best: +1.87%
Worst: -1.93%
Trades: 8/18

15MIN

Win Rate: 27.6%
Avg Gain: -0.35%
Avg Winner: +1.34%
Avg Loser: -0.99%
Best: +3.43%
Worst: -5.02%
Trades: 8/21

30MIN

Win Rate: 34.5%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +1.31%
Avg Loser: -1.02%
Best: +3.89%
Worst: -4.28%
Trades: 10/17

60MIN

Win Rate: 37.9%
Avg Gain: -0.11%
Avg Winner: +1.47%
Avg Loser: -1.07%
Best: +4.85%
Worst: -2.97%
Trades: 11/18

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 27.6%
Avg Gain: -0.44%
Avg Winner: +1.67%
Avg Loser: -1.54%
Best: +4.36%
Worst: -4.03%
Trades: 8/17

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.15%
Best MFE: +4.90%
Avg Time to MFE: 83 min

On average, RITM alerts reach +1.15% profit potential within 83 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.84%
Worst MAE: -2.98%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.84%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.36:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 29 alerts, RITM typically reaches +1.15% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 29
Gap Up % 20.7%
Avg Gap -0.32%
Best Gap +0.65%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How RITM compares to 142 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RITM: -0.28% Sector: -0.14% -0.13%
EOD Gain
RITM: -0.44% Sector: +193744.22% -193744.66%
Avg MFE
RITM: +1.15% Sector: +2.32% -1.18%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RITM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2026-10-01 09:25:00 $8.75 -0.97% -0.97% -1.03% -1.43% +0.00% +0.57% -1.71% -0.80% LOSS
2026-07-28 09:25:00 $9.4 +0.49% +3.43% +3.89% +4.85% +4.05% +4.90% -1.48% -0.69% WIN
2026-07-27 09:25:00 $9.15 +0.44% +2.02% +1.91% +1.75% +0.87% +2.24% +0.00% +0.44% WIN
2026-07-23 09:25:00 $9.15 -1.07% -0.85% -0.98% -1.15% -1.86% -0.33% -0.33% -0.66% LOSS
2026-06-16 09:25:00 $9.23 +0.22% +0.70% +0.65% +0.87% +1.08% +1.50% -0.33% -0.33% WIN
2026-06-10 09:25:00 $9.27 +0.32% +0.22% +0.54% +0.27% -1.19% +0.86% +0.00% +0.65% WIN
2026-05-28 09:25:00 $9.3 -0.75% -0.65% -0.16% +0.03% -0.43% +0.48% -1.13% -0.75% LOSS
2026-05-11 09:25:00 $9.82 +0.00% -0.56% +0.05% +0.15% -1.22% +0.46% +0.00% +0.00% LOSS
2026-02-18 09:25:00 $10.62 +0.00% -0.28% +0.66% +0.52% +0.00% +1.32% -0.66% +0.00% LOSS
2026-02-03 09:25:00 $11.41 -0.44% +0.53% +0.00% -0.22% -4.03% +1.31% -2.98% -1.49% LOSS
2026-01-12 09:25:00 $11.52 -0.44% -0.74% -1.22% -0.83% -1.04% +0.08% -0.00% -0.26% LOSS
2026-01-06 09:25:00 $11.16 +0.18% -0.40% -0.67% -0.94% -0.09% +0.27% -0.31% -0.09% WIN
2024-10-29 09:27:54 $10.65 +0.75% -0.09% +0.52% +0.28% +0.47% +1.31% -1.50% -0.85% WIN
2024-10-01 09:29:42 $11.12 -0.54% -1.12% -1.48% -1.80% -1.62% +0.00% -0.45% -0.09% LOSS
2024-09-25 09:27:45 $11.38 -0.22% -0.40% -0.66% -1.13% -1.41% +0.26% -0.53% +0.09% LOSS
2024-08-05 09:26:10 $10.69 -0.94% -0.80% +0.00% +0.89% +0.75% +3.09% -1.40% -0.37% LOSS
2024-03-08 09:28:22 $11.07 -0.36% +0.41% +0.18% -0.05% -1.35% +0.50% -0.45% -0.45% LOSS
2024-02-13 09:28:01 $10.23 -0.59% -0.68% -1.07% -1.03% -0.68% -0.00% -1.66% -0.39% LOSS
2023-12-28 09:28:00 $10.83 -0.14% -0.18% -0.05% -0.23% +0.00% +0.14% -0.40% -0.28% LOSS
2023-10-27 09:26:00 $9.41 +0.64% -0.53% -0.11% -1.22% -2.87% +2.02% +0.00% +0.53% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠ RITM Shows Negative Expectancy

With 37.9% win rate and -0.11% average gain, RITM alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RITM for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze RITM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RITM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RITM historically offers an average upside of +1.15% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RITM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 37.9%, RITM shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RITM may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RITM shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -0.11%). This suggests RITM is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.