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ROG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-16 → 2022-11-09

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.rogerscorp.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.71B 👥 Employees: 3,200
Rogers Corporation designs develop and manufacture engineered materials and components for sale to original equipment manufacturers and component suppliers. The firm operates in three business segments: Advanced Electronics Solutions, which manufactures circuit materials for applications in communications infrastructure, automotive, and consumer electronics markets; elastomeric material solutions, which provide cushioning, sealing, and impact protection in automotive, transportation, and construction applications; and Other, which consists of elastomer components for applications in the general industrial market, as well as elastomer floats for level sensing in fuel tanks, motors, and storage tanks applications in the general industrial and automotive markets.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.10%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.53%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.10%
Avg Winner: +1.10%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.74%
Worst: +0.05%
Trades: 3/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.25%
Avg Winner: +1.25%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.32%
Worst: +0.04%
Trades: 3/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.46%
Avg Winner: +1.46%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +3.09%
Worst: +0.03%
Trades: 3/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +1.34%
Avg Winner: +2.02%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.82%
Worst: +0.00%
Trades: 2/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +0.87%
Avg Winner: +3.16%
Avg Loser: -0.28%
Best: +3.16%
Worst: -0.52%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.53%
Best MFE: +5.20%
Avg Time to MFE: 129 min

On average, ROG alerts reach +2.53% profit potential within 129 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.49%
Worst MAE: -3.11%
Avg Time to MAE: 41 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.49%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

5.16:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 5.16x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, ROG typically reaches +2.53% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 100.0%
Avg Gap +1.06%
Best Gap +2.74%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PLASTIC MATERIALS, SYNTH RESINS & NONVULCAN ELASTOMERS

How ROG compares to 9 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ROG: +1.10% Sector: +0.11% +1.00%
EOD Gain
ROG: +0.87% Sector: -0.17% +1.04%
Avg MFE
ROG: +2.53% Sector: +2.36% +0.17%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ROG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2022-11-09 09:25:00 $99.34 +2.74% +3.32% +3.09% +2.82% +3.16% +5.20% +1.77% +2.74% WIN
2022-11-02 09:25:00 $128.5 +0.53% +0.39% +1.26% +1.21% -0.52% +2.27% -3.11% +0.39% WIN
2022-03-16 09:25:00 $273.2 +0.05% +0.04% +0.03% - -0.04% +0.11% -0.13% +0.05% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on ROG

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push ROG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize ROG Strategy →

Why Analyze ROG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ROG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ROG historically offers an average upside of +2.53% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ROG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, ROG shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show ROG performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.10%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.