FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

ROIV Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 32 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-24 → 2024-12-03

⚠️ Small sample size (32 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Roivant Sciences Ltd. Common Shares PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Oct 01, 2021 🔗 www.roivant.com
💰 Market Cap: $15.70B 👥 Employees: 750
Roivant Sciences Ltd is a commercial-stage biopharmaceutical company dedicated to improving the delivery of healthcare to patients. It also incubates discovery-stage companies and health technology startups complementary to its biopharmaceutical business. Its drug candidate VTAMA (tapinarof) is a treatment of plaque psoriasis in adult patients and is in its commercial stage. The other drug candidates in their different stages of development are; Batoclimab, IMVT-1402, Brepocitinib, Namilumab, and others.
📊
32
Total Alerts
🎯
31.2%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-1.15%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+2.30%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 6.2%
Avg Gain: -1.98%
Avg Winner: +2.29%
Avg Loser: -2.27%
Best: +3.19%
Worst: -7.56%
Trades: 2/30

15MIN

Win Rate: 28.1%
Avg Gain: -1.54%
Avg Winner: +1.42%
Avg Loser: -2.95%
Best: +3.41%
Worst: -8.09%
Trades: 9/21

30MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -1.30%
Avg Winner: +2.25%
Avg Loser: -2.49%
Best: +5.94%
Worst: -6.75%
Trades: 8/24

60MIN

Win Rate: 28.1%
Avg Gain: -1.34%
Avg Winner: +2.07%
Avg Loser: -2.79%
Best: +5.74%
Worst: -10.00%
Trades: 9/22

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 31.2%
Avg Gain: -1.15%
Avg Winner: +2.78%
Avg Loser: -3.08%
Best: +7.44%
Worst: -15.57%
Trades: 10/21

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.30%
Best MFE: +9.28%
Avg Time to MFE: 102 min

On average, ROIV alerts reach +2.30% profit potential within 102 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.01%
Worst MAE: -11.80%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.01%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

0.76:1

Challenging risk/reward - consider tighter stops.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 32 alerts, ROIV typically reaches +2.30% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 32
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -0.62%
Best Gap +0.98%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How ROIV compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
ROIV: -1.98% Sector: -0.32% -1.66%
EOD Gain
ROIV: -1.15% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480412.37%
Avg MFE
ROIV: +2.30% Sector: +7.56% -5.26%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical ROIV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-03 09:27:05 $12.3 -0.98% -1.14% -2.44% -0.37% -1.46% +1.30% -0.08% - LOSS
2024-11-13 09:28:30 $11.75 -0.21% +0.26% -0.72% +1.11% +1.70% +2.55% - +0.64% LOSS
2024-09-18 09:26:55 $12.37 -1.54% -0.12% -1.09% -2.06% -2.99% +0.08% -1.62% -0.57% LOSS
2024-05-01 09:25:44 $10.9 +1.38% +2.43% +2.80% +2.06% +2.84% +4.08% - +0.92% WIN
2024-04-02 09:26:01 $11.0 -1.82% - +1.68% -1.95% -0.73% +2.36% -4.09% -0.64% LOSS
2024-03-27 09:25:23 $10.79 -1.39% -1.76% -0.60% - +0.46% +3.66% -2.60% -0.65% LOSS
2024-03-21 09:26:35 $10.65 -3.19% -3.33% -3.43% -3.71% -3.66% -0.47% -0.47% -1.60% LOSS
2023-12-21 09:27:00 $10.66 -0.94% -1.88% -1.03% -2.20% -1.13% -0.38% -3.12% -2.35% LOSS
2023-12-20 09:26:00 $10.2 -0.15% +0.74% +0.83% +1.76% -2.35% +2.99% -0.69% +0.98% LOSS
2023-11-28 09:29:00 $9.11 -0.99% -1.32% -1.32% -2.14% -0.22% +0.44% -2.63% -0.22% LOSS
2023-11-27 09:26:00 $8.95 -0.56% -2.23% -2.68% -3.02% +1.68% +1.96% -3.79% -1.34% LOSS
2023-11-01 09:26:00 $8.64 -0.58% -0.57% -0.98% -0.06% +4.86% +6.02% -1.79% -0.46% LOSS
2023-10-23 09:27:00 $10.18 -3.73% -4.62% -4.72% -4.37% -15.57% - -1.67% -1.47% LOSS
2023-09-29 09:27:00 $11.9 -0.92% +0.13% -0.80% -0.88% -1.85% +0.84% -3.03% -0.25% LOSS
2023-09-26 09:26:00 $11.74 +3.19% +3.41% +2.85% +2.26% +5.71% +9.28% - +0.51% WIN
2023-08-14 09:27:00 $11.82 -6.59% -5.75% -4.06% -2.88% -0.93% +1.18% -7.36% -2.28% LOSS
2023-07-17 09:29:00 $11.82 -1.89% -0.98% -1.14% +0.08% -0.17% +1.10% -2.62% -0.17% LOSS
2023-07-14 09:25:00 $12.07 -1.41% -2.94% -1.45% -1.37% -3.31% +0.75% -0.33% -0.66% LOSS
2023-07-12 09:29:00 $11.2 -0.36% - +1.61% +1.43% +1.96% +2.54% -0.80% +0.71% LOSS
2023-06-27 09:28:00 $9.15 -2.84% -3.66% -3.01% -6.45% -1.09% +1.42% +0.55% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ ROIV Shows Negative Expectancy

With 31.2% win rate and -1.15% average gain, ROIV alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider ROIV for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze ROIV with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for ROIV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, ROIV historically offers an average upside of +2.30% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 ROIV Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 31.2%, ROIV shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests ROIV may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: ROIV shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -1.15%). This suggests ROIV is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.