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RUM Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 88 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-09-19 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (88 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 19, 2022 🔗 www.rumble.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.09B 👥 Employees: 135
Rumble Inc is a free-to-use video-sharing platform where users can watch, share, like, comment, and upload their own videos. Users can subscribe to channels to stay in touch with recent creator content and access video-on-demand uploaded, and live content streamed, by creators. Geographically, it generates a majority of its revenue from the United States.
📊
88
Total Alerts
🎯
43.2%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
-0.06%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+5.72%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.9%
Avg Gain: -0.48%
Avg Winner: +1.59%
Avg Loser: -1.77%
Best: +6.61%
Worst: -5.67%
Trades: 33/53

15MIN

Win Rate: 37.9%
Avg Gain: -0.83%
Avg Winner: +2.51%
Avg Loser: -2.92%
Best: +14.25%
Worst: -8.76%
Trades: 33/53

30MIN

Win Rate: 41.4%
Avg Gain: -0.59%
Avg Winner: +3.47%
Avg Loser: -3.45%
Best: +23.04%
Worst: -13.38%
Trades: 36/51

60MIN

Win Rate: 35.6%
Avg Gain: -0.89%
Avg Winner: +4.52%
Avg Loser: -4.11%
Best: +25.98%
Worst: -17.70%
Trades: 31/53

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 43.2%
Avg Gain: -0.06%
Avg Winner: +6.21%
Avg Loser: -5.03%
Best: +40.08%
Worst: -19.56%
Trades: 38/48

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.72%
Best MFE: +44.84%
Avg Time to MFE: 120 min

On average, RUM alerts reach +5.72% profit potential within 120 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.81%
Worst MAE: -11.14%
Avg Time to MAE: 16 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.81%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.03:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.03x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 88 alerts, RUM typically reaches +5.72% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.6% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 88
Gap Up % 26.1%
Avg Gap -0.32%
Best Gap +4.39%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

How RUM compares to 40 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RUM: -0.48% Sector: -0.08% -0.40%
EOD Gain
RUM: -0.02% Sector: +7112.19% -7112.21%
Avg MFE
RUM: +5.71% Sector: +3.14% +2.57%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RUM alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:25:55 $11.75 +0.26% -0.09% +0.13% +0.26% -1.96% +1.79% -1.66% -0.85% WIN
2025-02-12 09:29:37 $11.08 -1.53% -0.45% -2.35% -2.98% -2.62% +2.17% -5.05% -1.35% LOSS
2025-02-03 09:26:35 $11.58 +1.34% +1.47% +3.15% +4.62% +5.44% +7.25% -0.69% +0.17% WIN
2025-01-27 09:27:37 $12.7 +0.31% +0.12% +2.28% +2.56% -2.76% +4.36% -0.63% -0.63% WIN
2025-01-21 09:29:09 $12.97 +0.50% -4.27% -8.33% -7.71% -0.93% +1.62% -10.41% +0.23% WIN
2025-01-17 09:28:21 $12.48 +0.32% - -0.56% - +3.37% +4.73% -2.88% -0.24% WIN
2025-01-15 09:25:28 $10.79 +0.83% -0.18% +0.09% +3.29% +0.83% +4.36% -1.85% +0.93% WIN
2025-01-13 09:26:55 $11.45 -5.67% -2.71% -1.75% -2.18% -4.63% +1.70% -6.99% -1.18% LOSS
2025-01-08 09:26:02 $12.84 -0.70% -0.93% -3.31% -5.45% -9.27% +1.25% -0.31% +0.66% LOSS
2025-01-06 09:27:10 $13.64 -0.22% -0.51% +0.55% +1.69% +0.95% +4.25% -2.71% - LOSS
2024-12-30 09:25:32 $14.72 +1.94% -4.96% -6.25% -8.66% -5.98% +2.58% -0.75% +1.90% WIN
2024-12-27 09:25:27 $17.36 -5.55% -8.76% -11.57% -12.73% -12.27% +0.81% +0.06% -0.92% LOSS
2024-12-26 09:27:48 $12.63 +6.05% +14.25% +23.04% +24.23% +28.82% +37.61% -0.59% -0.24% WIN
2024-12-24 09:28:16 $12.79 +6.61% +10.36% +12.98% +8.98% -0.86% +19.39% -2.03% -0.47% WIN
2024-12-23 09:28:44 $10.1 +4.80% +0.40% +17.82% +25.98% +29.01% +44.84% -4.36% -0.99% WIN
2024-12-16 09:25:07 $8.2 -0.67% -1.89% -1.04% +0.40% +5.37% +8.78% -4.82% -0.73% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:26:28 $8.45 -1.24% +0.71% +1.18% -0.06% -3.79% +4.02% -2.72% -0.83% LOSS
2024-11-26 09:26:57 $7.45 +0.13% +1.61% +2.01% -2.69% -5.50% +4.47% -3.62% -2.01% WIN
2024-11-25 09:27:15 $6.62 -0.08% +0.45% +3.93% +7.40% +10.42% +14.80% -0.76% -0.30% LOSS
2024-11-20 09:27:10 $5.99 +1.80% +0.25% +4.01% +3.26% +0.67% +8.18% -2.17% -0.17% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ RUM Shows Negative Expectancy

With 43.2% win rate and -0.06% average gain, RUM alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RUM for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze RUM with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RUM. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RUM historically offers an average upside of +5.72% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RUM Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 43.2%, RUM shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RUM may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RUM shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: EOD (End of Day) at -0.06%). This suggests RUM is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.