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RVLV Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 6 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2024-02-28

⚠️ Small sample size (6 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 07, 2019 🔗 www.revolve.com
💰 Market Cap: $2.09B 👥 Employees: 1,632
Revolve Group Inc is an emerging e-commerce retailer, selling women's dresses, handbags, shoes, beauty products, and incidentals across its marketplace properties, Revolve and FWRD. The platform is built to suit the "next-generation customer," emphasizing mobile commerce, influencer marketing, and occupying an aspirational but attainable luxury niche. With $1.1 billion in 2024 net sales, the firm sits just outside the top 30 apparel retailers (by sales) in the U.S, but has consistently generated robust top-line growth as the industry continues to favor digital channels. Revolve generates approximately 18% of sales from private-label offerings, while focusing on building an inventory of distinctive products from emerging fashion brands with less than $10 million in annual sales.
📊
6
Total Alerts
🎯
83.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.91%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+5.58%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 83.3%
Avg Gain: +0.91%
Avg Winner: +1.71%
Avg Loser: -3.09%
Best: +3.24%
Worst: -3.09%
Trades: 5/1

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.90%
Avg Winner: +4.60%
Avg Loser: -0.79%
Best: +9.96%
Worst: -1.67%
Trades: 3/3

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +2.11%
Avg Winner: +3.81%
Avg Loser: -1.29%
Best: +12.50%
Worst: -1.51%
Trades: 4/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +1.26%
Avg Winner: +2.70%
Avg Loser: -1.64%
Best: +5.58%
Worst: -2.98%
Trades: 4/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 83.3%
Avg Gain: +2.15%
Avg Winner: +3.18%
Avg Loser: -2.98%
Best: +4.15%
Worst: -2.98%
Trades: 5/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.58%
Best MFE: +14.41%
Avg Time to MFE: 144 min

On average, RVLV alerts reach +5.58% profit potential within 144 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.68%
Worst MAE: -4.00%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.68%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.32:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.32x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 6 alerts, RVLV typically reaches +5.58% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 6
Gap Up % 66.7%
Avg Gap +0.71%
Best Gap +2.89%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES

How RVLV compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RVLV: +0.91% Sector: -0.09% +0.99%
EOD Gain
RVLV: +2.15% Sector: +4.48% -2.33%
Avg MFE
RVLV: +5.58% Sector: +3.91% +1.67%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RVLV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-02-28 09:29:13 $20.5 +2.68% +1.90% +0.29% -2.98% +4.15% +4.93% -3.95% +2.54% WIN
2023-11-02 09:27:00 $12.82 +3.24% -0.62% +1.09% -0.30% +4.13% +5.30% - +2.89% WIN
2023-08-03 09:26:00 $16.86 +0.83% +9.96% +12.50% +5.58% +3.56% +14.41% -0.36% +0.37% WIN
2022-08-04 09:25:00 $27.5 -3.09% -1.67% -1.51% +0.76% -2.98% +1.09% -4.00% -3.02% LOSS
2022-07-26 09:25:00 $24.85 +0.40% +1.93% +1.37% +0.68% +2.50% +3.52% -0.72% -0.24% WIN
2022-01-03 09:25:00 $56.05 +1.37% -0.08% -1.07% +3.79% +1.55% +4.25% -1.07% +1.71% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 83.3% Baseline on RVLV

The 83.3% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push RVLV's performance to 75%+.

Optimize RVLV Strategy →

Why Analyze RVLV with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RVLV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RVLV historically offers an average upside of +5.58% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RVLV Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 83.3%, RVLV shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show RVLV performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.91%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.