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RVPH Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 31 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-10 → 2025-01-22

⚠️ Small sample size (31 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Reviva Pharmaceuticals Holdings, Inc. Common Stock PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 15, 2020 🔗 www.revivapharma.com
💰 Market Cap: $38.1M 👥 Employees: 14
Reviva Pharmaceuticals Holdings Inc is a late-stage pharmaceutical company that discovers, develops, and seeks to commercialize therapeutics for diseases. The current pipeline of the company focuses on the central nervous system, inflammatory, and cardiometabolic diseases. The company uses a chemical genomics-driven technology platform and proprietary chemistry to develop new medicines. The company's pipeline currently has two drug candidates, Brilaroxazine (RP5063) which is intended to treat multiple neuropsychiatric indications, including schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, depressive disorder, attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder, behavioral and psychotic symptoms of dementia or Alzheimer's disease and Parkinson's disease psychosis and its other drug candidate is RP1208.
📊
31
Total Alerts
🎯
35.5%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
-2.31%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+10.89%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.8%
Avg Gain: -1.28%
Avg Winner: +2.70%
Avg Loser: -2.66%
Best: +9.09%
Worst: -10.38%
Trades: 8/23

15MIN

Win Rate: 29.0%
Avg Gain: -2.20%
Avg Winner: +3.83%
Avg Loser: -4.88%
Best: +7.53%
Worst: -22.16%
Trades: 9/21

30MIN

Win Rate: 32.3%
Avg Gain: -2.50%
Avg Winner: +4.55%
Avg Loser: -5.86%
Best: +11.81%
Worst: -26.40%
Trades: 10/21

60MIN

Win Rate: 35.5%
Avg Gain: -2.31%
Avg Winner: +4.51%
Avg Loser: -6.74%
Best: +12.49%
Worst: -26.30%
Trades: 11/18

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 35.5%
Avg Gain: -1.60%
Avg Winner: +9.05%
Avg Loser: -7.46%
Best: +36.36%
Worst: -31.84%
Trades: 11/20

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +10.89%
Best MFE: +49.09%
Avg Time to MFE: 109 min

On average, RVPH alerts reach +10.89% profit potential within 109 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -5.27%
Worst MAE: -31.98%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 5.27%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.07:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.07x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 31 alerts, RVPH typically reaches +10.89% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.7% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 31
Gap Up % 32.3%
Avg Gap -0.73%
Best Gap +3.14%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How RVPH compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
RVPH: -1.28% Sector: -0.32% -0.96%
EOD Gain
RVPH: -1.60% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480412.82%
Avg MFE
RVPH: +10.89% Sector: +7.56% +3.33%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical RVPH alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-22 09:25:02 $2.05 -0.98% -5.61% -8.05% -7.80% -5.37% +0.03% +0.03% -1.46% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:27:16 $1.85 +1.84% +1.12% +4.26% +4.05% +8.11% +11.29% -1.62% -1.08% WIN
2025-01-13 09:25:25 $2.04 -4.90% -6.13% -2.94% - -6.37% +2.45% -8.33% -4.90% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:28:03 $1.91 +0.52% -1.05% +2.09% -1.06% -1.57% +10.99% -2.62% +3.14% WIN
2024-12-20 09:28:33 $1.51 -2.04% -1.00% -1.32% -4.97% -11.26% - -1.32% -0.66% LOSS
2024-12-19 09:29:31 $1.47 +1.70% - -1.70% +2.03% +2.04% +6.80% -0.68% -0.68% WIN
2024-12-18 09:26:17 $1.44 +1.74% +7.53% +11.81% +12.49% -0.35% +21.53% -0.69% - WIN
2024-12-17 09:26:04 $1.43 +9.09% -2.82% -5.94% -9.44% -2.10% +11.19% -0.70% +0.70% WIN
2024-12-16 09:28:19 $2.66 -5.73% -6.08% -8.27% -4.70% -13.53% +3.01% -14.07% +0.38% LOSS
2024-12-13 09:26:33 $2.92 -3.35% -0.86% -5.44% -10.62% -10.62% +1.03% +1.03% +0.34% LOSS
2024-12-12 09:27:59 $2.78 +4.10% +1.08% -3.60% +3.24% -0.36% +6.12% -1.08% -0.72% WIN
2024-12-11 09:25:26 $2.7 +2.22% -6.67% +3.70% -1.48% +4.26% +10.00% -7.04% - WIN
2024-12-10 09:27:22 $2.4 -0.21% -4.56% -2.05% - +5.00% +24.58% -7.92% - LOSS
2024-08-21 09:27:33 $0.92 -4.63% -1.09% -3.26% -5.35% -7.87% +0.54% -2.17% -1.09% LOSS
2024-03-28 09:26:28 $3.88 -6.19% -4.12% -5.67% -8.51% -2.58% +1.03% -11.34% -2.58% LOSS
2023-12-22 09:25:00 $4.4 -1.58% -3.41% -2.27% -1.59% +5.45% +7.27% -4.77% -2.27% LOSS
2023-12-07 09:25:00 $4.04 -2.18% +1.49% -2.23% -0.74% +1.24% +2.72% -3.47% -1.98% LOSS
2023-11-16 09:29:00 $4.79 -0.42% -2.09% -4.80% -4.18% -4.49% +0.42% -1.88% +0.21% LOSS
2023-10-31 09:28:00 $5.56 -1.08% -2.79% -4.14% +1.33% -15.65% +8.99% -5.04% +1.08% LOSS
2023-10-30 09:25:00 $5.19 -10.38% -22.16% -26.40% -26.30% +5.78% +31.02% -31.98% -3.47% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ RVPH Shows Negative Expectancy

With 35.5% win rate and -2.31% average gain, RVPH alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider RVPH for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze RVPH with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for RVPH. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, RVPH historically offers an average upside of +10.89% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 RVPH Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 35.5%, RVPH shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests RVPH may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: RVPH shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 60MIN at -2.31%). This suggests RVPH is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.