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SAFE Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-03-03 → 2023-08-08

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 22, 2017 🔗 www.safeholdinc.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.01B 👥 Employees: 74
Safehold Inc is a REIT that operates its business by acquiring, managing, and capitalizing ground leases. Ground leases are long-term contracts between the landlord (the Company) and a tenant or leaseholder. Ground leases generally represent ownership of the land underlying commercial real estate projects that are net leased by the fee owner of the land to the owners/operators of the real estate projects built thereon.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (60MIN)
💰
+0.84%
Avg Gain (60MIN)
🚀
+6.11%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.14%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.21%
Best: +0.00%
Worst: -0.24%
Trades: 0/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.90%
Avg Winner: +0.53%
Avg Loser: -1.61%
Best: +0.53%
Worst: -2.12%
Trades: 1/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.45%
Avg Winner: +0.29%
Avg Loser: -0.82%
Best: +0.29%
Worst: -0.96%
Trades: 1/2

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.84%
Avg Winner: +1.81%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: +3.09%
Worst: -1.09%
Trades: 2/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: +2.33%
Avg Winner: +10.12%
Avg Loser: -1.56%
Best: +10.12%
Worst: -2.74%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +6.11%
Best MFE: +16.06%
Avg Time to MFE: 147 min

On average, SAFE alerts reach +6.11% profit potential within 147 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.42%
Worst MAE: -2.38%
Avg Time to MAE: 7 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.42%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.3:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.3x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, SAFE typically reaches +6.11% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.35%
Best Gap -0.08%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How SAFE compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SAFE: -0.14% Sector: -0.14% -0.00%
EOD Gain
SAFE: +2.33% Sector: +296893.71% -296891.38%
Avg MFE
SAFE: +6.11% Sector: +2.11% +3.99%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SAFE alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-08-08 09:26:00 $20.91 -0.24% +0.53% +0.29% +0.53% -0.38% +2.06% -1.63% -0.72% LOSS
2022-08-11 09:25:00 $41.1 - -2.12% -0.68% +3.09% +10.12% +16.06% -2.38% -0.24% -
2022-03-03 09:25:00 $59.55 -0.18% -1.11% -0.96% -1.09% -2.74% +0.20% -0.25% -0.08% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 66.7% Baseline on SAFE

The 66.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SAFE's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SAFE Strategy →

Why Analyze SAFE with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SAFE. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SAFE historically offers an average upside of +6.11% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SAFE Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, SAFE shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SAFE performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.84%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.