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SBRA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-12 → 2024-03-22

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Sabra Healthcare REIT, Inc. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS (SIC 6798)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 08, 2010 🔗 www.sabrahealth.com
💰 Market Cap: $4.69B 👥 Employees: 50
Sabra Health Care REIT Inc is a healthcare facility real estate investment trust. The company operates one segment that owns and invests in healthcare real estate. All of the company's revenue is generated in the United States. Sabra's operations consist of nursing facilities, assisted living centers, and mental health facilities.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.01%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+1.07%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.17%
Avg Winner: +0.32%
Avg Loser: -0.41%
Best: +0.32%
Worst: -0.65%
Trades: 1/2

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.42%
Avg Loser: -0.88%
Best: +0.55%
Worst: -0.88%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.20%
Avg Loser: -0.76%
Best: +0.29%
Worst: -0.76%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.87%
Avg Loser: -0.55%
Best: +0.87%
Worst: -0.65%
Trades: 1/2

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -0.93%
Avg Winner: +0.94%
Avg Loser: -1.87%
Best: +0.94%
Worst: -2.59%
Trades: 1/2

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.07%
Best MFE: +1.45%
Avg Time to MFE: 30 min

On average, SBRA alerts reach +1.07% profit potential within 30 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.28%
Worst MAE: -0.61%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.28%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.85:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.85x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, SBRA typically reaches +1.07% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap +0.18%
Best Gap +0.61%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How SBRA compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SBRA: -0.17% Sector: -0.14% -0.03%
EOD Gain
SBRA: -0.93% Sector: +296893.71% -296894.64%
Avg MFE
SBRA: +1.07% Sector: +2.11% -1.04%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SBRA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-03-22 09:26:12 $14.66 +0.32% +0.55% +0.10% -0.44% -2.59% +0.68% +0.14% +0.61% WIN
2024-03-08 09:27:18 $13.78 -0.18% +0.29% +0.29% +0.87% +0.94% +1.09% -0.36% -0.07% LOSS
2022-04-12 09:25:00 $13.14 -0.65% -0.88% -0.76% -0.65% -1.14% +1.45% -0.61% - LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SBRA Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 66.7% win rate, SBRA has -0.01% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making SBRA profitable.

🔧 Fix SBRA Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze SBRA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SBRA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SBRA historically offers an average upside of +1.07% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SBRA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, SBRA shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.88%) outweigh average wins (+0.42%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SBRA shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.01%). This suggests SBRA is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.