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SENS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 217 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-03 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 18, 2016 🔗 www.senseonics.com
💰 Market Cap: $298.7M 👥 Employees: 117
Senseonics Holdings Inc is a medical technology company. It is focused on the design, development, and commercialization of glucose monitoring system, which helps people to manage their diabetes community with differentiated, long-term implantable glucose management technology. Its products and services include a Continuous glucose monitoring system, Sensor, Smart transmitter, and Mobile app. The firm has a Glucose monitoring product segment. The majority of the revenue is generated outside of the United States.
📊
217
Total Alerts
🎯
43.8%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.33%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+5.29%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 35.5%
Avg Gain: -0.50%
Avg Winner: +1.31%
Avg Loser: -1.69%
Best: +5.47%
Worst: -7.66%
Trades: 77/124

15MIN

Win Rate: 38.7%
Avg Gain: -0.55%
Avg Winner: +2.49%
Avg Loser: -2.50%
Best: +11.06%
Worst: -9.90%
Trades: 84/131

30MIN

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -0.33%
Avg Winner: +3.09%
Avg Loser: -3.04%
Best: +15.59%
Worst: -12.66%
Trades: 95/120

60MIN

Win Rate: 41.0%
Avg Gain: -0.46%
Avg Winner: +4.24%
Avg Loser: -3.85%
Best: +17.81%
Worst: -15.20%
Trades: 89/124

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 42.9%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +6.38%
Avg Loser: -4.86%
Best: +56.73%
Worst: -24.14%
Trades: 93/121

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +5.29%
Best MFE: +67.32%
Avg Time to MFE: 99 min

On average, SENS alerts reach +5.29% profit potential within 99 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.84%
Worst MAE: -17.19%
Avg Time to MAE: 9 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.84%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.88:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.88x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 217 alerts, SENS typically reaches +5.29% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 4.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 217
Gap Up % 32.7%
Avg Gap -0.29%
Best Gap +2.40%

🏭 Sector Comparison: INDUSTRIAL INSTRUMENTS FOR MEASUREMENT, DISPLAY, AND CONTROL

How SENS compares to 13 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SENS: -0.50% Sector: -0.36% -0.15%
EOD Gain
SENS: +0.03% Sector: +11.32% -11.30%
Avg MFE
SENS: +5.29% Sector: +4.19% +1.10%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SENS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:49 $1.4 -6.07% -8.93% -7.50% -8.57% -11.43% -0.01% -1.43% -2.14% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:28:14 $1.22 +1.64% +11.06% +4.50% +5.33% +7.38% +14.75% - +0.82% WIN
2025-02-12 09:27:36 $1.11 +0.85% +3.15% +7.16% +6.76% +5.41% +12.61% -1.46% +0.90% WIN
2025-02-10 09:27:58 $1.08 -1.91% -2.77% -3.75% -5.56% -5.56% +0.93% -0.93% - LOSS
2025-02-06 09:27:21 $0.93 +0.85% +0.50% -0.52% +0.02% -1.50% +1.80% +0.26% +0.61% WIN
2025-02-03 09:29:18 $0.84 -0.69% +0.44% +4.67% +7.91% +6.84% +11.90% -5.71% +0.26% LOSS
2025-01-31 09:26:14 $1.08 -1.85% -1.39% -4.17% -6.57% -11.04% +0.93% -2.78% - LOSS
2025-01-28 09:25:30 $1.11 +0.04% -2.62% -2.25% -1.70% - +2.70% - +0.90% WIN
2025-01-27 09:25:28 $1.08 -5.56% +1.39% +2.31% +4.17% -1.85% +11.11% -5.56% +0.93% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:26:25 $1.02 +2.94% +6.86% +5.88% +10.29% +10.78% +12.75% -0.98% - WIN
2025-01-23 09:29:44 $0.99 -3.07% -4.35% -4.06% -2.49% +2.24% +2.24% -5.86% -0.80% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:26:12 $0.92 -1.53% -0.88% +2.63% +7.03% +6.76% +13.29% -3.49% -0.38% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:26:57 $0.84 -2.33% -4.38% -2.64% -0.04% +7.80% +8.35% -9.30% +0.95% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:25:59 $0.93 -5.48% -2.25% -12.66% -11.91% -8.36% +0.52% -8.02% -3.75% LOSS
2025-01-16 09:25:44 $0.7 +1.83% +4.33% +8.53% +10.92% +25.05% +30.01% -1.21% +0.04% WIN
2025-01-15 09:26:03 $0.73 -1.50% -6.36% -3.28% -2.65% -2.74% +1.23% +0.79% +1.23% LOSS
2025-01-14 09:28:02 $0.77 +2.60% -3.64% -4.94% -2.10% -3.19% +3.87% -1.18% -0.82% WIN
2025-01-13 09:26:45 $0.75 -7.05% -6.85% -3.19% -9.87% +0.13% +8.14% -10.55% +0.13% LOSS
2025-01-10 09:26:58 $0.5 +4.80% -0.32% +0.20% +10.50% +56.73% +67.32% -3.00% +0.81% WIN
2025-01-08 09:29:16 $0.47 +0.39% -5.55% -6.68% -7.04% -8.45% +0.83% -0.45% +0.30% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SENS Shows Negative Expectancy

With 43.8% win rate and -0.33% average gain, SENS alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SENS for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SENS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SENS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SENS historically offers an average upside of +5.29% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SENS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 43.8%, SENS shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SENS may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SENS shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.33%). This suggests SENS is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.