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SERV Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 128 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2024-04-24 → 2025-02-14

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Mar 06, 2024 🔗 www.serverobotics.com
💰 Market Cap: $948.9M 👥 Employees: 121
Serve Robotics Inc is developing next-generation robots for last-mile delivery services. It design, develop and operate low-emissions robots on AI-powered robotics mobility platform, that serve people in public spaces, starting with food delivery. Its first product is a zero-emission robot that serves people in public areas, Starting with food delivery. It has developed an AI-robotics mobility platform, with last-mile delivery in cities as its first application.
📊
128
Total Alerts
🎯
49.2%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
-0.08%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+8.79%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -0.44%
Avg Winner: +2.44%
Avg Loser: -2.22%
Best: +10.07%
Worst: -6.51%
Trades: 48/78

15MIN

Win Rate: 43.8%
Avg Gain: -0.35%
Avg Winner: +3.19%
Avg Loser: -3.11%
Best: +11.45%
Worst: -13.74%
Trades: 56/72

30MIN

Win Rate: 49.2%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +3.68%
Avg Loser: -3.84%
Best: +16.73%
Worst: -12.56%
Trades: 63/63

60MIN

Win Rate: 46.9%
Avg Gain: +0.36%
Avg Winner: +5.72%
Avg Loser: -4.37%
Best: +20.60%
Worst: -14.21%
Trades: 60/68

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.7%
Avg Gain: +0.64%
Avg Winner: +8.87%
Avg Loser: -6.97%
Best: +75.17%
Worst: -30.78%
Trades: 61/66

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +8.79%
Best MFE: +108.12%
Avg Time to MFE: 107 min

On average, SERV alerts reach +8.79% profit potential within 107 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.19%
Worst MAE: -11.80%
Avg Time to MAE: 11 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.19%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.75:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.75x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 128 alerts, SERV typically reaches +8.79% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 128
Gap Up % 26.6%
Avg Gap -0.42%
Best Gap +1.35%

🏭 Sector Comparison: GENERAL INDUSTRIAL MACHINERY & EQUIPMENT, NEC

How SERV compares to 8 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SERV: -0.44% Sector: -0.71% +0.27%
EOD Gain
SERV: +0.64% Sector: +96.00% -95.36%
Avg MFE
SERV: +8.79% Sector: +9.16% -0.37%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SERV alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:49 $14.46 -0.38% -9.52% -8.27% -1.24% -4.22% +7.33% -3.11% +1.24% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:25:23 $20.2 -0.35% -2.04% +3.24% +7.39% +13.47% +14.36% -3.86% -1.09% LOSS
2025-02-12 09:27:06 $18.3 +1.78% -0.27% +2.08% +5.30% +6.94% +10.03% -1.26% -0.14% WIN
2025-02-11 09:27:05 $20.26 +1.92% +1.42% +1.58% -0.42% -7.01% +3.83% -0.74% +0.22% WIN
2025-02-10 09:26:10 $19.94 -1.71% -3.07% +0.80% +4.01% +5.82% +7.47% -3.76% -0.45% LOSS
2025-02-07 09:26:55 $17.36 +7.20% +6.28% +7.20% +7.26% +12.15% +16.88% -1.15% -0.63% WIN
2025-02-06 09:25:15 $16.49 +0.18% +1.43% +0.54% +2.49% +1.27% +4.79% -2.79% -1.46% WIN
2025-02-05 09:29:42 $16.04 +0.69% -0.37% +0.37% -0.75% +0.06% +5.56% -2.28% -0.56% WIN
2025-02-04 09:28:00 $16.18 +0.85% +0.37% +2.45% -0.37% -0.74% +3.83% -1.67% +0.19% WIN
2025-02-03 09:25:35 $15.5 +1.61% +0.94% +1.35% +0.97% +1.81% +4.65% -2.39% - WIN
2025-01-31 09:29:54 $16.42 +4.98% +3.98% +5.42% +8.82% +1.04% +11.02% -0.24% -0.24% WIN
2025-01-30 09:27:59 $16.51 -0.30% +0.18% -0.12% -0.24% -1.03% +1.57% -1.39% -0.06% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:25:47 $17.16 +1.51% +2.39% +1.34% -0.31% -6.12% +3.26% -2.74% -0.64% WIN
2025-01-28 09:25:33 $17.45 -2.52% -6.59% -2.98% -1.03% +0.34% +0.86% -7.74% +0.17% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:25:05 $18.03 -1.28% -3.72% -3.58% -4.38% -8.10% +1.05% -1.72% -0.17% LOSS
2025-01-24 09:25:26 $17.95 +1.21% +4.77% +3.29% +9.58% +7.30% +18.25% +0.08% +0.33% WIN
2025-01-23 09:27:49 $17.76 +2.31% +0.65% +1.13% +2.22% +0.34% +6.48% -2.82% +0.39% WIN
2025-01-22 09:28:53 $19.42 +0.36% +0.39% -0.93% -3.60% -7.78% +6.59% -0.93% - WIN
2025-01-21 09:28:47 $18.63 -5.37% -3.95% -2.58% -4.94% +4.19% +6.98% -9.50% -0.21% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:29:30 $19.06 +2.31% -0.30% -1.10% -2.07% -4.20% +4.46% -4.51% -0.58% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SERV Shows Negative Expectancy

With 49.2% win rate and -0.08% average gain, SERV alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SERV for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SERV with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SERV. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SERV historically offers an average upside of +8.79% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SERV Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 49.2%, SERV shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SERV may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SERV shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 30MIN at -0.08%). This suggests SERV is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.