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SES Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 51 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-04-25 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (51 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Feb 04, 2022 🔗 www.ses.ai
💰 Market Cap: $876.2M 👥 Employees: 250
SES AI Corp is a developer and manufacturer of high-performance, AI-enhanced Lithium-Metal (Li-Metal) and Lithium-ion (Li-ion) rechargeable battery technologies for electric vehicles (EVs), Urban Air Mobility (UAM), drones, robotics, Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) and other applications. It includes Software and Hardware products that are EV, UAM, Drone, Molecular Universe, and Avatar.
📊
51
Total Alerts
🎯
33.3%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-1.21%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+9.31%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 33.3%
Avg Gain: -1.21%
Avg Winner: +2.31%
Avg Loser: -3.07%
Best: +7.17%
Worst: -9.47%
Trades: 17/33

15MIN

Win Rate: 25.5%
Avg Gain: -2.26%
Avg Winner: +3.77%
Avg Loser: -4.33%
Best: +10.57%
Worst: -14.04%
Trades: 13/38

30MIN

Win Rate: 29.4%
Avg Gain: -2.07%
Avg Winner: +6.84%
Avg Loser: -5.78%
Best: +22.93%
Worst: -20.93%
Trades: 15/36

60MIN

Win Rate: 27.5%
Avg Gain: -1.48%
Avg Winner: +9.77%
Avg Loser: -6.06%
Best: +27.36%
Worst: -20.07%
Trades: 14/35

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 27.5%
Avg Gain: -2.23%
Avg Winner: +11.79%
Avg Loser: -8.20%
Best: +43.19%
Worst: -18.97%
Trades: 14/34

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.31%
Best MFE: +91.59%
Avg Time to MFE: 61 min

On average, SES alerts reach +9.31% profit potential within 61 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.70%
Worst MAE: -12.74%
Avg Time to MAE: 5 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.70%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.52:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.52x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 51 alerts, SES typically reaches +9.31% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.4% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 51
Gap Up % 29.4%
Avg Gap -0.77%
Best Gap +2.85%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MISCELLANEOUS ELECTRICAL MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES

How SES compares to 24 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SES: -1.21% Sector: -0.46% -0.75%
EOD Gain
SES: -2.23% Sector: +197.82% -200.05%
Avg MFE
SES: +9.31% Sector: +6.28% +3.03%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SES alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:27:19 $1.05 -0.48% -0.95% -0.91% -1.90% -2.86% +1.90% -0.92% +0.02% LOSS
2025-02-13 09:25:59 $1.07 -1.87% -2.79% -3.27% -1.87% -2.80% +0.93% +0.47% - LOSS
2025-02-12 09:29:47 $1.05 - +0.93% -0.95% +0.99% - +4.76% -4.76% -0.48% -
2025-02-11 09:29:19 $1.14 -0.84% -3.51% -4.82% -2.19% -5.26% - -0.88% - LOSS
2025-02-10 09:29:25 $1.26 -3.97% -5.63% -7.07% -6.38% -7.94% - -3.14% - LOSS
2025-02-07 09:29:42 $1.33 -3.85% -2.26% -7.51% -6.01% -5.26% -0.38% -4.51% -1.50% LOSS
2025-02-06 09:27:15 $1.14 +1.75% +4.38% +4.82% +8.92% +14.91% +17.98% -0.88% -0.88% WIN
2025-02-05 09:25:06 $1.27 -7.09% -8.66% -9.45% -8.66% -12.60% +0.76% -1.57% -1.57% LOSS
2025-02-04 09:25:33 $1.23 +3.32% +10.57% +7.31% - -2.44% +13.82% -0.81% +0.81% WIN
2025-02-03 09:26:52 $1.06 +1.92% +7.63% +8.02% +9.91% +9.43% +13.21% -1.89% -1.89% WIN
2025-01-31 09:28:08 $1.03 +2.96% +5.34% +7.28% +10.79% +14.56% +20.39% - +0.97% WIN
2025-01-30 09:27:59 $1.05 -0.50% -1.90% -2.86% -3.33% - +0.95% - +0.95% LOSS
2025-01-29 09:28:30 $1.09 -2.29% -2.79% -3.67% -5.50% -2.75% +1.83% +0.88% +0.92% LOSS
2025-01-28 09:28:19 $1.14 -5.70% -8.75% -7.46% -6.61% -3.51% - -0.91% -1.75% LOSS
2025-01-27 09:26:16 $1.13 +1.73% -0.43% -0.89% +9.73% -2.65% +14.16% -5.31% +0.82% WIN
2025-01-24 09:28:48 $1.25 -4.36% -8.79% -7.53% -4.82% -9.60% +4.40% -0.80% +0.40% LOSS
2025-01-23 09:29:03 $1.08 -4.17% +5.47% +18.61% +26.81% +1.85% +38.89% -11.09% - LOSS
2025-01-22 09:27:46 $0.92 -1.85% -5.12% -3.88% -2.82% -9.51% +1.22% -0.59% -0.13% LOSS
2025-01-21 09:25:55 $0.9 -1.74% -8.53% -6.54% -1.47% -1.57% +2.11% -9.79% +0.38% LOSS
2025-01-17 09:25:57 $1.11 -1.80% -3.86% -9.06% -14.25% -16.22% +1.80% -9.01% -4.50% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SES Shows Negative Expectancy

With 33.3% win rate and -1.21% average gain, SES alerts have historically faded. Use the app to find specific filters that might reverse this pattern, or consider SES for short-selling strategies.

📉 Turn Negative Expectancy Positive →

Why Analyze SES with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SES. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SES historically offers an average upside of +9.31% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SES Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 33.3%, SES shows negative momentum - the stock tends to fade after alerts. This pattern suggests SES may be better suited for contrarian strategies or avoiding altogether.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SES shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -1.21%). This suggests SES is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.