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SFIX Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 24 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-06 → 2024-12-12

⚠️ Small sample size (24 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Stitch Fix, Inc. Class A Common Stock RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES (SIC 5961)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 17, 2017 🔗 www.stitchfix.com
💰 Market Cap: $671.0M 👥 Employees: 4,165
Stitch Fix Inc offers personal style services for men and women. The company engages in delivering one-to-one personalization to clients through the combination of data science and human judgment. It provides a shipment service called A FIX where the stylist's hand selects items from several merchandise with analysis of client and merchandise data to provide a personalized shipment of apparel, shoes, and accessories suited to the client's needs. The company offers products across categories, brands, product types, and price points including Women's, Petite, Maternity, Men's, and Plus. It also offers various product types, including denim, dresses, blouses, skirts, shoes, jewelry, and handbags and sells merchandise across various ranges of price points.
📊
24
Total Alerts
🎯
62.5%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
+1.67%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+10.67%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -0.47%
Avg Winner: +3.36%
Avg Loser: -2.96%
Best: +10.85%
Worst: -15.63%
Trades: 9/14

15MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +1.67%
Avg Winner: +5.37%
Avg Loser: -4.48%
Best: +16.91%
Worst: -15.01%
Trades: 15/9

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.89%
Avg Winner: +5.89%
Avg Loser: -4.49%
Best: +18.63%
Worst: -15.17%
Trades: 12/11

60MIN

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +1.86%
Avg Winner: +6.47%
Avg Loser: -5.84%
Best: +19.13%
Worst: -18.25%
Trades: 15/9

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 62.5%
Avg Gain: +2.72%
Avg Winner: +9.88%
Avg Loser: -9.22%
Best: +17.11%
Worst: -29.44%
Trades: 15/9

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +10.67%
Best MFE: +25.49%
Avg Time to MFE: 138 min

On average, SFIX alerts reach +10.67% profit potential within 138 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.70%
Worst MAE: -9.55%
Avg Time to MAE: 8 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.70%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.95:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.95x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 24 alerts, SFIX typically reaches +10.67% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 8.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 24
Gap Up % 45.8%
Avg Gap -0.22%
Best Gap +4.17%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-CATALOG & MAIL-ORDER HOUSES

How SFIX compares to 16 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SFIX: -0.47% Sector: -0.09% -0.38%
EOD Gain
SFIX: +2.72% Sector: +4.48% -1.77%
Avg MFE
SFIX: +10.67% Sector: +3.91% +6.75%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SFIX alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-12 09:28:17 $6.59 -15.63% -15.01% -15.17% -18.25% -29.44% -0.23% -9.55% -1.67% LOSS
2024-12-11 09:25:24 $5.67 +10.85% -2.47% - +6.89% +17.11% +23.19% -6.00% +1.38% WIN
2024-09-26 09:29:37 $2.27 -0.42% +1.54% +4.01% +5.70% +11.45% +14.80% -2.64% +0.44% LOSS
2024-09-25 09:26:33 $2.73 -8.47% -9.58% -8.97% -8.24% -16.85% +0.37% -0.73% -1.47% LOSS
2024-06-05 09:27:22 $3.13 +7.51% +13.74% +7.67% +10.06% +10.38% +23.64% -0.64% +0.32% WIN
2024-03-05 09:25:32 $2.84 - +0.18% -2.84% -4.22% -8.80% +3.87% -7.39% -4.58% -
2023-06-08 09:25:00 $4.79 -2.30% -4.07% -4.38% -4.59% +2.30% +5.11% -5.43% +0.84% LOSS
2023-06-07 09:27:00 $4.08 +4.41% +16.91% +18.63% +19.13% +15.44% +25.49% -0.25% +4.17% WIN
2023-03-08 09:29:00 $4.38 +2.28% -1.05% -1.71% -0.80% +13.01% +13.47% -3.77% +0.46% WIN
2022-12-20 09:25:00 $2.98 -0.17% -1.68% -1.87% +0.84% -6.04% +2.52% -1.01% -0.34% LOSS
2022-12-13 09:25:00 $4.19 +0.95% +6.09% +7.38% +6.01% -2.63% +9.90% -2.15% -1.67% WIN
2022-12-07 09:25:00 $3.55 -1.83% +12.96% +6.48% -1.97% +3.94% +20.28% -3.38% +0.56% LOSS
2022-12-06 09:25:00 $4.04 -0.99% -4.70% -7.67% -9.18% -9.16% +0.00% +0.00% -0.25% LOSS
2022-09-21 09:25:00 $4.5 -1.11% +1.78% +5.56% +10.69% +7.78% +19.56% -2.22% - LOSS
2022-07-14 09:25:00 $5.77 -1.20% -1.21% -1.04% -1.91% -1.56% +1.91% -3.12% -1.04% LOSS
2022-07-13 09:25:00 $5.58 -1.63% +1.79% +2.51% +6.27% +4.66% +13.44% -3.58% +0.54% LOSS
2022-06-15 09:25:00 $6.32 -1.54% +6.33% +3.64% +3.80% +7.75% +9.34% -1.74% -1.27% LOSS
2022-06-10 09:25:00 $6.54 -2.14% +4.20% -3.73% +0.61% -3.06% +5.66% -5.50% -0.15% LOSS
2022-04-25 09:25:00 $8.88 +0.45% +3.60% +3.38% +4.28% +8.11% +8.61% -0.11% +0.23% WIN
2022-04-05 09:25:00 $11.25 -1.78% -0.53% -1.91% -3.38% -5.42% - - -0.71% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 62.5% Baseline on SFIX

The 62.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SFIX's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SFIX Strategy →

Why Analyze SFIX with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SFIX. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SFIX historically offers an average upside of +10.67% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SFIX Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.5%, SFIX shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SFIX performs best on the 15MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.67%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.