FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

SIGA Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 82 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-19 → 2024-08-22

⚠️ Small sample size (82 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 09, 1997 🔗 www.siga.com
💰 Market Cap: $475.5M 👥 Employees: 45
SIGA Technologies Inc is a commercial-stage pharmaceutical company focused on the health security market. The company's main product is TPOXX, an oral formulation antiviral drug for the treatment of human smallpox disease caused by the variola virus. The company derives maximum revenue from United States.
📊
82
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+1.34%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+7.44%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 41.5%
Avg Gain: +0.02%
Avg Winner: +1.74%
Avg Loser: -1.21%
Best: +5.01%
Worst: -5.31%
Trades: 34/48

15MIN

Win Rate: 42.7%
Avg Gain: -0.24%
Avg Winner: +3.62%
Avg Loser: -3.12%
Best: +10.54%
Worst: -8.28%
Trades: 35/47

30MIN

Win Rate: 43.9%
Avg Gain: -0.41%
Avg Winner: +3.97%
Avg Loser: -3.84%
Best: +11.60%
Worst: -18.19%
Trades: 36/46

60MIN

Win Rate: 47.6%
Avg Gain: -0.22%
Avg Winner: +4.89%
Avg Loser: -4.86%
Best: +16.56%
Worst: -22.73%
Trades: 39/43

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +1.34%
Avg Winner: +8.82%
Avg Loser: -6.14%
Best: +35.30%
Worst: -26.48%
Trades: 41/41

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.44%
Best MFE: +41.85%
Avg Time to MFE: 117 min

On average, SIGA alerts reach +7.44% profit potential within 117 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.93%
Worst MAE: -8.41%
Avg Time to MAE: 12 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.93%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.86:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.86x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 82 alerts, SIGA typically reaches +7.44% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 82
Gap Up % 28.0%
Avg Gap -0.35%
Best Gap +2.45%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How SIGA compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SIGA: +0.02% Sector: -0.32% +0.33%
EOD Gain
SIGA: +1.34% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480409.88%
Avg MFE
SIGA: +7.44% Sector: +7.56% -0.12%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SIGA alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-08-22 09:27:28 $9.69 -1.24% -1.55% -4.33% -7.95% -3.61% +0.31% -3.51% -2.48% LOSS
2024-08-19 09:29:26 $10.54 -5.31% -5.69% -7.16% -7.02% -0.95% +2.18% -0.28% -0.09% LOSS
2024-08-16 09:25:03 $10.15 +3.34% +10.54% +7.85% +12.32% +3.35% +17.34% -1.48% -1.38% WIN
2024-08-15 09:25:14 $7.11 +4.29% -4.29% +0.28% +13.36% +35.30% +36.43% -4.36% -2.25% WIN
2024-03-13 09:28:37 $5.99 +5.01% +3.51% +6.26% +4.92% +7.68% +10.56% -1.17% - WIN
2024-03-12 09:25:27 $5.26 -1.90% +2.28% +3.23% +3.04% +1.14% +6.84% -1.90% -0.38% LOSS
2023-07-31 09:26:00 $5.48 -1.06% -2.53% -0.90% +2.19% +4.74% +7.30% -4.20% -0.36% LOSS
2023-07-28 09:25:00 $6.4 -0.94% +4.30% -7.03% -10.78% -13.59% +4.69% -2.19% -0.62% LOSS
2022-09-29 09:25:00 $10.79 -0.93% -5.65% -6.86% -8.11% -5.47% +0.74% +0.09% -0.28% LOSS
2022-09-16 09:25:00 $12.68 -0.47% -2.12% -2.37% -3.23% -6.78% +0.24% -1.26% -0.95% LOSS
2022-09-15 09:25:00 $12.99 -0.65% -2.39% +0.06% -0.54% -2.00% +0.69% -3.16% -0.83% LOSS
2022-09-13 09:25:00 $13.55 +2.57% -0.18% -0.06% -2.29% -1.55% +2.57% -0.74% +0.30% WIN
2022-09-06 09:25:00 $14.56 -2.34% -4.81% -4.87% -4.95% -7.83% -0.01% -1.10% -2.82% LOSS
2022-09-02 09:25:00 $14.71 -1.85% -1.22% +0.88% -0.34% -1.77% +1.77% -1.90% -0.88% LOSS
2022-09-01 09:25:00 $14.76 -0.49% -0.24% -0.03% -0.61% -3.46% +0.88% -1.56% +0.88% LOSS
2022-08-30 09:25:00 $16.46 -2.07% -4.73% -5.16% -4.98% -4.31% - -0.36% -1.76% LOSS
2022-08-29 09:25:00 $15.41 +2.86% +5.84% +6.29% +4.48% +4.02% +7.79% - +0.39% WIN
2022-08-26 09:25:00 $17.47 -0.31% +1.89% +0.26% -0.17% -5.90% +2.98% -0.69% - LOSS
2022-08-25 09:25:00 $21.16 -0.54% -6.09% -7.80% -8.01% -15.64% - -0.85% -0.57% LOSS
2022-08-24 09:25:00 $21.13 +0.67% +2.89% +3.55% +3.74% -0.43% +5.30% -0.61% +0.62% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on SIGA

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SIGA's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SIGA Strategy →

Why Analyze SIGA with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SIGA. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SIGA historically offers an average upside of +7.44% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SIGA Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, SIGA shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SIGA performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.34%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.