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SPB Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 3 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-12-02 → 2023-06-26

⚠️ Small sample size (3 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Sep 20, 1991 🔗 www.spectrumbrands.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.51B 👥 Employees: 3,000
Spectrum Brands Holdings Inc is consumer products and home essentials company. The company is a supplier of consumer batteries, residential locksets, residential builders' hardware, grooming products and personal care products. The company manages the businesses in product-focused segments; Home and Personal Care, global Pet Care, and Home and Garden. The Company manufactures, markets and distributes its products globally in the North America, Europe, Middle East & Africa, Latin America, and Asia-Pacific.
📊
3
Total Alerts
🎯
66.7%
Win Rate (15MIN)
💰
-0.42%
Avg Gain (15MIN)
🚀
+4.92%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 0.0%
Avg Gain: -0.65%
Avg Winner: +0.00%
Avg Loser: -0.65%
Best: -0.07%
Worst: -1.46%
Trades: 0/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: -0.42%
Avg Winner: +1.16%
Avg Loser: -3.57%
Best: +2.03%
Worst: -3.57%
Trades: 2/1

30MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +0.99%
Avg Winner: +2.49%
Avg Loser: -2.01%
Best: +3.58%
Worst: -2.01%
Trades: 2/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +2.19%
Avg Winner: +4.59%
Avg Loser: -2.62%
Best: +7.45%
Worst: -2.62%
Trades: 2/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 66.7%
Avg Gain: +3.35%
Avg Winner: +6.38%
Avg Loser: -2.70%
Best: +11.15%
Worst: -2.70%
Trades: 2/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.92%
Best MFE: +11.95%
Avg Time to MFE: 145 min

On average, SPB alerts reach +4.92% profit potential within 145 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.81%
Worst MAE: -1.07%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.81%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

6.05:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 6.05x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 3 alerts, SPB typically reaches +4.92% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.9% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 3
Gap Up % 33.3%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +0.08%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MISCELLANEOUS ELECTRICAL MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES

How SPB compares to 24 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SPB: -0.65% Sector: -0.46% -0.18%
EOD Gain
SPB: +3.35% Sector: +197.82% -194.47%
Avg MFE
SPB: +4.92% Sector: +6.28% -1.36%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SPB alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2023-06-26 09:25:00 $74.53 -0.41% +0.28% +1.41% +1.73% +1.61% +2.44% -0.78% -0.13% LOSS
2023-05-08 09:29:00 $75.54 -1.46% -3.57% -2.01% -2.62% -2.70% +0.36% -0.60% +0.08% LOSS
2022-12-02 09:25:00 $59.99 -0.07% +2.03% +3.58% +7.45% +11.15% +11.95% -1.07% -0.07% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ SPB Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 66.7% win rate, SPB has -0.42% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making SPB profitable.

🔧 Fix SPB Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze SPB with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SPB. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SPB historically offers an average upside of +4.92% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SPB Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 66.7%, SPB shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-3.57%) outweigh average wins (+1.16%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: SPB shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.42%). This suggests SPB is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.