Latest signal:
SPG Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 14 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-08 → 2024-12-12
⚠️ Small sample size (14 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, SPG alerts reach +0.85% profit potential within 71 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.55%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 14 alerts, SPG typically reaches +0.85% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.7% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
How SPG compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical SPG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-12 | 09:27:42 | $176.65 | +0.31% | +0.27% | +0.54% | +0.94% | +0.31% | +1.81% | -0.07% | -0.01% | WIN |
| 2024-09-03 | 09:29:15 | $164.03 | +0.91% | +0.55% | +0.46% | +0.14% | -0.07% | +1.07% | -0.10% | +0.01% | WIN |
| 2024-08-12 | 09:29:02 | $158.61 | -0.42% | -0.71% | -1.33% | -1.93% | -3.47% | +0.67% | -0.78% | -0.64% | LOSS |
| 2024-07-24 | 09:27:11 | $157.44 | -0.76% | -0.69% | -1.80% | -2.15% | -4.80% | -0.28% | -0.98% | -0.30% | LOSS |
| 2024-06-26 | 09:28:58 | $147.87 | +0.09% | +0.02% | -0.20% | -0.24% | -0.19% | +0.58% | -0.59% | -0.58% | WIN |
| 2024-06-25 | 09:27:19 | $150.4 | -0.53% | -0.48% | -0.90% | -1.11% | -1.68% | +0.11% | -0.91% | -0.05% | LOSS |
| 2024-06-03 | 09:25:46 | $151.0 | +0.26% | +0.44% | +0.15% | +0.54% | +0.40% | +0.82% | -0.21% | +0.23% | WIN |
| 2024-05-21 | 09:28:37 | $147.74 | -1.07% | -0.85% | -0.60% | -0.29% | +0.16% | +0.27% | -1.20% | -1.04% | LOSS |
| 2024-05-16 | 09:29:40 | $150.5 | +0.24% | +0.03% | -0.01% | -0.64% | -1.22% | +0.65% | -0.17% | -0.17% | WIN |
| 2024-05-13 | 09:29:44 | $147.8 | +0.34% | +0.26% | +0.24% | -0.24% | -0.56% | +0.62% | +0.24% | +0.24% | WIN |
| 2024-05-10 | 09:25:41 | $150.0 | -0.38% | -0.25% | -0.44% | -0.68% | -1.52% | - | -0.37% | -0.19% | LOSS |
| 2024-04-25 | 09:28:43 | $139.44 | +1.54% | +1.21% | +1.10% | +1.41% | +2.36% | +3.07% | +0.82% | +1.29% | WIN |
| 2024-03-08 | 09:27:27 | $151.0 | -0.54% | +0.23% | -0.03% | +0.45% | -0.03% | +0.60% | -0.60% | -0.32% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-08 | 09:25:00 | $141.81 | -2.52% | -0.18% | +1.36% | -0.12% | +0.16% | +1.97% | -2.85% | -1.41% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
⚠️ SPG Shows Negative Expectancy
Despite a 57.1% win rate, SPG has -0.01% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making SPG profitable.
🔧 Fix SPG Risk/Reward →Why Analyze SPG with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SPG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, SPG historically offers an average upside of +0.85% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 SPG Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 57.1%, SPG shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-0.52%) outweigh average wins (+0.38%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
⚠️ Caution Advised: SPG shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 15MIN at -0.01%). This suggests SPG is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.