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SPIR Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 16 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-19 → 2025-02-12

⚠️ Small sample size (16 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Aug 17, 2021 🔗 www.spire.com
💰 Market Cap: $430.0M 👥 Employees: 447
Spire Global Inc is a provider of space-based data, analytics, and Space Services, offering datasets and powerful insights about Earth from the ultimate vantage point of space so that organizations can make decisions with confidence, accuracy, and speed. It generates revenue from four solutions: Maritime, Aviation, Weather, and Space Services. It offers the following three data solutions to customers; Maritime-precise space-based data used for accurate ship monitoring, ship safety, and route optimization, Aviation-precise space-based data used for accurate aircraft monitoring, aircraft safety, and route optimization, and Weather-precise space-based data used for accurate weather forecasting.
📊
16
Total Alerts
🎯
68.8%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.53%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+9.04%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 56.2%
Avg Gain: +0.97%
Avg Winner: +3.32%
Avg Loser: -2.06%
Best: +9.25%
Worst: -4.67%
Trades: 9/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 56.2%
Avg Gain: +0.89%
Avg Winner: +4.37%
Avg Loser: -3.59%
Best: +22.78%
Worst: -9.00%
Trades: 9/7

30MIN

Win Rate: 68.8%
Avg Gain: +0.53%
Avg Winner: +4.17%
Avg Loser: -7.48%
Best: +16.42%
Worst: -13.94%
Trades: 11/5

60MIN

Win Rate: 37.5%
Avg Gain: -0.42%
Avg Winner: +6.78%
Avg Loser: -4.74%
Best: +13.68%
Worst: -13.95%
Trades: 6/10

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 68.8%
Avg Gain: +205.18%
Avg Winner: +302.42%
Avg Loser: -10.94%
Best: +686.52%
Worst: -25.75%
Trades: 11/4

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +9.04%
Best MFE: +36.43%
Avg Time to MFE: 76 min

On average, SPIR alerts reach +9.04% profit potential within 76 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.08%
Worst MAE: -6.08%
Avg Time to MAE: 4 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.08%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

4.34:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 4.34x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 16 alerts, SPIR typically reaches +9.04% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 7.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 16
Gap Up % 43.8%
Avg Gap -0.04%
Best Gap +2.93%

🏭 Sector Comparison: COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES, NEC

How SPIR compares to 12 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SPIR: +0.97% Sector: -0.36% +1.33%
EOD Gain
SPIR: +205.18% Sector: +404.57% -199.39%
Avg MFE
SPIR: +9.04% Sector: +6.49% +2.55%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SPIR alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-12 09:26:40 $10.08 -4.67% +1.41% +1.20% -1.59% +0.40% +7.33% -5.75% -1.74% LOSS
2024-11-13 09:29:48 $13.62 +9.25% +3.23% +1.03% +6.02% -1.25% +13.29% -2.20% +1.25% WIN
2024-08-15 09:25:32 $6.58 +0.61% +0.14% +9.57% +13.68% +2.58% +20.06% -4.86% -0.46% WIN
2024-05-16 09:28:26 $8.51 +4.41% +1.06% +2.82% +1.65% +16.45% +20.92% -2.82% -0.12% WIN
2024-03-21 09:25:11 $15.34 -2.35% -9.00% -13.19% -13.95% -25.75% +0.26% -2.54% -0.98% LOSS
2024-03-19 09:28:45 $14.22 +4.50% +22.78% +16.42% +11.46% +12.59% +36.43% -0.42% +0.46% WIN
2023-10-05 09:28:00 $4.82 -0.83% -3.39% -3.43% -5.19% -11.20% +0.25% -0.41% -0.21% LOSS
2023-06-26 09:27:00 $0.52 -2.93% -1.46% -13.94% -11.81% +548.23% +0.19% -4.58% -1.46% LOSS
2023-06-08 09:25:00 $0.73 -0.00% -1.33% +0.08% -3.45% +684.55% +2.48% -2.73% -2.03% LOSS
2022-07-13 09:25:00 $1.22 +1.64% -0.82% +2.05% -0.41% - +2.05% -0.82% -0.82% WIN
2022-06-23 09:25:00 $1.48 -2.70% -4.05% -3.38% -1.35% +683.78% +3.72% -6.08% -2.03% LOSS
2022-04-22 09:25:00 $1.78 +2.65% +1.70% +0.56% -0.56% +686.52% +6.18% -0.01% +0.56% WIN
2022-03-10 09:25:00 $2.16 +0.46% -5.09% -3.47% -6.71% -5.56% +1.85% +1.85% +1.85% WIN
2022-02-02 09:25:00 $2.39 +3.77% +4.60% +5.13% +4.18% +12.97% +13.39% - +2.93% WIN
2022-02-01 09:25:00 $2.61 -0.96% +0.76% +1.15% -2.33% +675.48% +4.98% -1.92% +0.38% LOSS
2022-01-19 09:25:00 $2.31 +2.60% +3.68% +5.84% +3.68% +3.03% +11.26% - +1.73% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 68.8% Baseline on SPIR

The 68.8% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SPIR's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SPIR Strategy →

Why Analyze SPIR with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SPIR. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SPIR historically offers an average upside of +9.04% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SPIR Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 68.8%, SPIR shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SPIR performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.53%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.