FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

SPRO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 45 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-05-03 → 2024-10-30

⚠️ Small sample size (45 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Spero Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Nov 02, 2017 🔗 www.sperotherapeutics.com
💰 Market Cap: $137.5M 👥 Employees: 32
Spero Therapeutics Inc is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical firm. It focuses on identifying, developing, and commercializing novel treatments for MDR (Multi-drug-resistant) bacterial infections and rare diseases. The company's product candidate, tebipenem pivoxil hydrobromide or tebipenem HBr, is designed to be an oral carbapenem-class antibiotic for use in adults to treat MDR Gram-negative infections. It is also developing SPR720, a novel oral antibiotic designed for the treatment of a rare, orphan disease caused by pulmonary non-tuberculous mycobacterial infections, or NTM disease. Besides, it is also focused on SPR206, a next-generation polymyxin investigational product candidate being developed as an IV-administered medicine to treat MDR Gram-negative infections in the hospital.
📊
45
Total Alerts
🎯
46.7%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+0.11%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+7.64%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 35.6%
Avg Gain: -0.37%
Avg Winner: +1.90%
Avg Loser: -2.13%
Best: +10.33%
Worst: -7.74%
Trades: 16/22

15MIN

Win Rate: 35.6%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +4.11%
Avg Loser: -2.70%
Best: +34.67%
Worst: -13.69%
Trades: 16/26

30MIN

Win Rate: 44.4%
Avg Gain: +0.44%
Avg Winner: +4.96%
Avg Loser: -3.44%
Best: +35.33%
Worst: -11.90%
Trades: 20/23

60MIN

Win Rate: 34.1%
Avg Gain: -0.15%
Avg Winner: +5.97%
Avg Loser: -3.56%
Best: +44.67%
Worst: -17.26%
Trades: 15/27

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 46.7%
Avg Gain: +0.11%
Avg Winner: +6.01%
Avg Loser: -5.78%
Best: +24.04%
Worst: -14.29%
Trades: 21/21

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +7.64%
Best MFE: +58.00%
Avg Time to MFE: 100 min

On average, SPRO alerts reach +7.64% profit potential within 100 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.60%
Worst MAE: -13.15%
Avg Time to MAE: 14 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.60%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.94:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.94x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 45 alerts, SPRO typically reaches +7.64% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 6.1% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 45
Gap Up % 20.0%
Avg Gap -0.61%
Best Gap +1.49%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How SPRO compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
SPRO: -0.36% Sector: -0.32% -0.04%
EOD Gain
SPRO: +0.05% Sector: +4480411.22% -4480411.17%
Avg MFE
SPRO: +7.71% Sector: +7.56% +0.15%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical SPRO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-10-30 09:28:39 $1.04 +0.01% +0.48% +4.81% +8.65% +24.04% +25.00% -2.88% - WIN
2023-11-14 09:29:00 $1.15 +2.17% +0.87% -0.31% -1.74% -5.22% +6.96% -0.87% -0.87% WIN
2023-08-30 09:26:00 $1.68 -7.74% -13.69% -11.90% -17.26% -14.29% +5.95% -7.74% -1.19% LOSS
2023-07-31 09:25:00 $1.55 +0.55% +1.61% +3.23% - +5.16% +6.45% -1.29% - WIN
2023-04-04 09:25:00 $1.5 +0.67% +3.00% +0.67% +1.67% +2.67% +3.33% - +0.67% WIN
2023-04-03 09:27:00 $1.44 - +0.71% +1.45% +0.69% +5.56% +9.03% -2.08% -0.69% -
2023-03-31 09:27:00 $1.59 -4.47% +2.52% -6.26% -6.84% -8.80% +3.77% -5.66% -1.26% LOSS
2023-03-30 09:28:00 $1.47 -0.68% -2.72% -0.68% -2.72% -2.04% +0.68% -1.36% +0.68% LOSS
2023-03-13 09:29:00 $1.4 +3.57% - +5.71% +4.29% +2.86% +7.86% - +0.71% WIN
2023-03-10 09:26:00 $1.51 -0.67% -0.66% -3.64% -2.87% -1.99% - -1.32% -0.66% LOSS
2023-03-09 09:27:00 $1.6 -1.25% - +3.75% +1.88% -5.62% +4.38% -1.88% -1.88% LOSS
2023-03-08 09:29:00 $1.7 -4.71% -3.64% -2.65% -5.29% -6.47% +1.18% -1.76% +0.59% LOSS
2022-11-15 09:25:00 $1.93 +2.07% +0.54% - -2.07% -2.59% +2.59% - - WIN
2022-11-09 09:25:00 $1.91 - -0.52% -1.57% -1.57% - +1.04% -2.09% - -
2022-11-08 09:25:00 $2.08 -0.48% -3.37% -5.53% -6.49% -6.25% +3.12% -1.44% -0.96% LOSS
2022-10-27 09:25:00 $1.98 -1.26% -0.51% -0.51% -1.01% -1.01% +2.02% -2.53% -1.01% LOSS
2022-10-20 09:25:00 $1.83 -0.55% +0.55% +0.27% - +2.73% +4.91% -1.09% -0.55% LOSS
2022-10-18 09:25:00 $2.0 - - - -0.01% +2.00% +7.50% -2.50% -0.50% -
2022-10-13 09:25:00 $1.91 +1.33% +0.01% +0.79% +0.52% +4.19% +4.19% -1.05% +0.52% WIN
2022-10-11 09:25:00 $1.92 -0.52% -0.52% -0.52% -1.82% +2.60% +6.25% -2.60% -1.04% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 46.7% Baseline on SPRO

The 46.7% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push SPRO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize SPRO Strategy →

Why Analyze SPRO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for SPRO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, SPRO historically offers an average upside of +7.64% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 SPRO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 46.7%, SPRO shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show SPRO performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.11%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.