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STAG Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 4 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-05-02 → 2024-07-19

⚠️ Small sample size (4 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Apr 15, 2011 🔗 www.stagindustrial.com
💰 Market Cap: $6.84B 👥 Employees: 91
Stag Industrial Inc is a real estate investment trust that is involved in the acquisition and operation of both single- and multi-tenant properties, although the majority of the portfolio is single-tenant industrial properties throughout the United States. The vast majority of the company's real estate portfolio is comprised of warehouse and distribution buildings. Stag Industrial derives nearly all of its income in the form of rental income from its portfolio of warehouse and distribution properties. The company generates the majority of its rental revenue from its facilities located in Midwestern and Eastern U.S. cities. Stag Industrial's customers include air freight and logistics, automotive, and industrial equipment companies in terms of overall revenue.
📊
4
Total Alerts
🎯
75.0%
Win Rate (30MIN)
💰
+0.13%
Avg Gain (30MIN)
🚀
+0.97%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 25.0%
Avg Gain: -0.01%
Avg Winner: +0.56%
Avg Loser: -0.19%
Best: +0.56%
Worst: -0.36%
Trades: 1/3

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.27%
Avg Winner: +0.28%
Avg Loser: -0.83%
Best: +0.38%
Worst: -1.21%
Trades: 2/2

30MIN

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: +0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.26%
Avg Loser: -0.25%
Best: +0.32%
Worst: -0.25%
Trades: 3/1

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.34%
Avg Loser: -1.08%
Best: +0.52%
Worst: -1.08%
Trades: 2/1

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 75.0%
Avg Gain: -0.24%
Avg Winner: +0.58%
Avg Loser: -2.70%
Best: +1.30%
Worst: -2.70%
Trades: 3/1

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +0.97%
Best MFE: +1.30%
Avg Time to MFE: 179 min

On average, STAG alerts reach +0.97% profit potential within 179 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.76%
Worst MAE: -1.63%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.76%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.27:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 4 alerts, STAG typically reaches +0.97% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 4
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap +0.01%
Best Gap +0.32%

🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS

How STAG compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
STAG: -0.01% Sector: -0.14% +0.13%
EOD Gain
STAG: -0.24% Sector: +296893.71% -296893.95%
Avg MFE
STAG: +0.97% Sector: +2.11% -1.15%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical STAG alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-07-19 09:26:34 $39.1 -0.36% +0.38% +0.32% +0.15% +0.10% +0.67% -0.36% - LOSS
2024-05-16 09:29:17 $36.29 -0.14% -0.44% -0.25% +0.52% +0.33% +0.83% -0.55% - LOSS
2024-03-11 09:29:23 $37.65 +0.56% +0.19% +0.24% - +1.30% +1.30% -0.50% +0.32% WIN
2023-05-02 09:29:00 $35.52 -0.08% -1.21% +0.23% -1.08% -2.70% +1.07% -1.63% -0.28% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on STAG

The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push STAG's performance to 75%+.

Optimize STAG Strategy →

Why Analyze STAG with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for STAG. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, STAG historically offers an average upside of +0.97% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 STAG Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, STAG shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show STAG performs best on the 30MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.13%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.