Latest signal:
STWD Stock Analysis
Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 16 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-24 → 2024-10-01
⚠️ Small sample size (16 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.
🏢 Company Profile
📈 Performance by Timeframe
5MIN
15MIN
30MIN
60MIN
EOD (End of Day)
🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)
Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.
📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)
On average, STWD alerts reach +1.47% profit potential within 105 minutes.
📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)
Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.56%.
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio
Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.62x the typical drawdown.
💡 Trading Insight: Based on 16 alerts, STWD typically reaches +1.47% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.2% to capture most of the move.
🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)
🏭 Sector Comparison: REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
How STWD compares to 118 other tickers in the same sector.
📋 Last 20 Alerts
Historical STWD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.
| Date | Time | Price | 5min | 15min | 30min | 60min | EOD | MFE | MAE | Gap | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-01 | 09:28:48 | $20.3 | -0.39% | -0.89% | -1.31% | -1.65% | -1.33% | +0.20% | -0.10% | - | LOSS |
| 2024-09-04 | 09:26:52 | $19.71 | +0.08% | -0.13% | +0.25% | +0.18% | -0.15% | +0.56% | -0.20% | -0.10% | WIN |
| 2024-05-24 | 09:28:14 | $18.9 | +0.95% | +1.16% | +0.61% | +0.69% | +0.21% | +1.69% | -0.05% | +0.37% | WIN |
| 2024-03-08 | 09:25:34 | $20.45 | +0.20% | +0.98% | +0.54% | +0.44% | -0.34% | +1.05% | -0.20% | +0.05% | WIN |
| 2023-12-04 | 09:26:00 | $20.52 | +0.15% | +0.39% | +0.71% | +0.80% | +1.22% | +1.39% | -0.34% | +0.15% | WIN |
| 2023-11-14 | 09:27:00 | $19.61 | +0.81% | +1.07% | +0.82% | +1.48% | +2.75% | +2.91% | -1.73% | +0.26% | WIN |
| 2023-09-22 | 09:26:00 | $19.92 | +1.10% | +0.28% | +0.10% | +0.80% | -0.10% | +1.66% | - | +1.51% | WIN |
| 2023-09-05 | 09:28:00 | $20.78 | -0.87% | -1.13% | -0.94% | -0.60% | -1.40% | -0.14% | -1.25% | -1.16% | LOSS |
| 2023-07-11 | 09:26:00 | $20.35 | +0.37% | - | +0.05% | +0.81% | +0.34% | +0.93% | -0.29% | +0.34% | WIN |
| 2023-06-23 | 09:28:00 | $18.13 | +1.10% | +1.21% | +1.19% | +1.54% | +1.65% | +3.14% | - | +0.77% | WIN |
| 2023-06-22 | 09:26:00 | $18.9 | -0.90% | -1.90% | -0.71% | +0.53% | -2.38% | +0.87% | -2.48% | -1.59% | LOSS |
| 2023-03-20 | 09:27:00 | $16.8 | +0.36% | +0.71% | +1.31% | +1.85% | +1.19% | +2.74% | -0.36% | -0.36% | WIN |
| 2023-03-15 | 09:26:00 | $17.88 | -1.17% | -1.03% | -2.07% | -1.76% | -1.90% | +0.17% | +0.11% | -0.06% | LOSS |
| 2022-08-31 | 09:25:00 | $22.97 | -0.26% | -0.13% | +0.13% | +0.35% | -0.17% | +1.18% | -0.79% | -0.13% | LOSS |
| 2022-06-13 | 09:25:00 | $21.92 | -0.70% | -1.69% | -2.28% | -2.78% | -4.33% | +0.32% | -1.00% | +0.18% | LOSS |
| 2022-02-24 | 09:25:00 | $22.52 | -0.20% | +1.24% | +2.18% | +2.80% | +4.26% | +4.88% | -0.31% | -0.09% | LOSS |
Table Metrics Explained:
- 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
- MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
- MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
- Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
- Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise
🚀 Beat the 75.0% Baseline on STWD
The 75.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push STWD's performance to 75%+.
Optimize STWD Strategy →Why Analyze STWD with FILTRIX?
🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation
We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for STWD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.
💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis
How much is left in the move? On winning days, STWD historically offers an average upside of +1.47% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.
📊 STWD Momentum Personality
With a baseline win rate of 75.0%, STWD shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.
⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing
Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show STWD performs best on the 60MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.34%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.