FILTRIX Logo FILTRIX Find Your Edge →

Latest signal:

TMO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 40 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-02 → 2025-01-10

⚠️ Small sample size (40 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Thermo Fisher Scientific, Inc. MEASURING & CONTROLLING DEVICES, NEC (SIC 3829)
📍 NYSE 📅 IPO: Jun 01, 1972 🔗 www.thermofisher.com
💰 Market Cap: $235.19B 👥 Employees: 125,000
Thermo Fisher Scientific sells scientific instruments and laboratory equipment, diagnostics consumables, and life science reagents. The firm operates through four segments as of year-end 2024 (revenue figures include some cross-segment revenue): analytical technologies (17% of sales); specialty diagnostic products (11%); life science solutions (23%); and lab products and services, which includes CRO services (the remainder).
📊
40
Total Alerts
🎯
50.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.08%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.01%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.08%
Avg Winner: +0.68%
Avg Loser: -0.53%
Best: +2.87%
Worst: -2.29%
Trades: 20/20

15MIN

Win Rate: 47.5%
Avg Gain: +0.03%
Avg Winner: +1.02%
Avg Loser: -0.86%
Best: +4.11%
Worst: -2.35%
Trades: 19/21

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.88%
Avg Loser: -1.09%
Best: +4.57%
Worst: -3.81%
Trades: 20/20

60MIN

Win Rate: 45.0%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +0.99%
Avg Loser: -1.05%
Best: +3.89%
Worst: -3.07%
Trades: 18/22

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 45.0%
Avg Gain: -0.13%
Avg Winner: +1.06%
Avg Loser: -1.10%
Best: +3.58%
Worst: -2.77%
Trades: 18/22

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.01%
Best MFE: +4.67%
Avg Time to MFE: 89 min

On average, TMO alerts reach +1.01% profit potential within 89 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.44%
Worst MAE: -3.27%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.44%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.32:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.32x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 40 alerts, TMO typically reaches +1.01% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 0.8% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 40
Gap Up % 42.5%
Avg Gap -0.10%
Best Gap +2.41%

🏭 Sector Comparison: MEASURING & CONTROLLING DEVICES, NEC

How TMO compares to 7 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TMO: +0.08% Sector: -0.52% +0.59%
EOD Gain
TMO: -0.13% Sector: +52.44% -52.57%
Avg MFE
TMO: +1.01% Sector: +6.30% -5.28%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TMO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-10 09:28:28 $546.99 -0.10% +1.63% +0.90% -0.37% -0.86% +1.86% -1.04% -0.96% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:27:46 $526.81 +2.70% +4.11% +4.57% +3.89% +3.58% +4.67% +2.18% +2.41% WIN
2024-12-17 09:25:48 $526.8 +0.15% +0.82% +1.04% +0.81% +0.39% +1.74% -0.59% -0.15% WIN
2024-12-16 09:27:16 $526.9 +0.36% +1.17% +1.10% +1.31% +0.64% +1.49% -0.03% +0.08% WIN
2024-12-05 09:26:58 $528.87 -0.37% -0.90% -1.02% -1.63% -1.51% -0.28% -0.60% -0.31% LOSS
2024-10-03 09:29:45 $611.5 -0.33% -1.34% -1.16% -1.51% -1.73% -0.00% -0.67% -0.27% LOSS
2024-09-05 09:26:24 $611.9 +0.04% -1.28% -1.01% -1.06% -0.82% +0.37% -0.37% -0.14% WIN
2024-06-10 09:27:25 $577.7 +0.47% +0.41% +0.49% +0.11% +0.65% +0.79% -0.20% +0.40% WIN
2024-05-16 09:26:28 $599.02 -0.01% -0.30% -0.73% -0.07% -0.31% +0.18% -0.96% -0.13% LOSS
2024-04-02 09:26:40 $572.82 -0.59% -0.90% -0.77% -0.86% -0.22% -0.08% -0.84% -0.36% LOSS
2024-03-08 09:28:34 $597.24 +0.28% +0.92% +0.80% +0.25% +0.06% +1.10% -0.21% -0.04% WIN
2024-03-07 09:28:24 $594.58 +0.13% -0.16% +0.17% +0.05% +0.52% +0.73% -0.35% +0.07% WIN
2023-12-18 09:27:00 $518.03 +0.72% +0.58% +0.28% -0.41% +0.11% +1.13% +0.60% +0.60% WIN
2023-12-08 09:29:00 $494.1 +0.16% +0.12% -0.05% -0.06% -0.88% +0.32% -0.63% -0.26% WIN
2023-12-07 09:29:00 $496.21 -0.37% -0.25% -0.15% +0.34% -0.43% +0.42% -0.79% -0.34% LOSS
2023-10-25 09:26:00 $435.66 -0.41% -1.75% -3.81% -3.07% -0.57% +0.73% -3.27% -2.91% LOSS
2023-10-02 09:27:00 $505.49 -0.76% -1.05% -1.03% -1.81% -1.92% +0.30% -0.49% -0.48% LOSS
2023-09-20 09:27:00 $506.25 +0.70% +0.60% +0.62% +0.58% -0.27% +1.12% +0.80% +1.01% WIN
2023-09-19 09:25:00 $507.73 -0.61% -0.05% +0.17% -0.34% +0.20% +0.33% -0.87% -0.49% LOSS
2023-07-26 09:28:00 $555.0 +1.20% +1.48% +0.63% +1.82% +3.50% +3.60% -0.02% -0.01% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 50.0% Baseline on TMO

The 50.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TMO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TMO Strategy →

Why Analyze TMO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TMO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TMO historically offers an average upside of +1.01% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TMO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 50.0%, TMO shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TMO performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.08%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.