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TMUS Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 50 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-21 → 2025-01-29

⚠️ Small sample size (50 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Apr 19, 2007 🔗 www.t-mobile.com
💰 Market Cap: $208.08B 👥 Employees: 70,000
Deutsche Telekom merged its T-Mobile USA unit with prepaid specialist MetroPCS in 2013, and that firm merged with Sprint in 2020, creating the second-largest wireless carrier in the US. T-Mobile now serves 85 million postpaid and 26 million prepaid phone customers, equal to around 30% of the US retail wireless market. The firm entered the fixed-wireless broadband market aggressively in 2021 and now serves 7 million residential and business customers with its wireless network. It also serves nearly 1 million fiber broadband customers through joint ventures with fiber network owners. T-Mobile owns a stake in these firms, which provide wholesale access to their networks. In addition, T-Mobile provides wholesale services to wireless resellers.
📊
50
Total Alerts
🎯
62.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.12%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+1.22%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 62.0%
Avg Gain: +0.12%
Avg Winner: +0.47%
Avg Loser: -0.44%
Best: +2.01%
Worst: -1.47%
Trades: 31/19

15MIN

Win Rate: 58.0%
Avg Gain: +0.07%
Avg Winner: +0.57%
Avg Loser: -0.61%
Best: +2.07%
Worst: -2.69%
Trades: 29/21

30MIN

Win Rate: 52.0%
Avg Gain: +0.10%
Avg Winner: +0.85%
Avg Loser: -0.70%
Best: +2.92%
Worst: -2.84%
Trades: 26/24

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.04%
Avg Winner: +0.83%
Avg Loser: -0.76%
Best: +2.30%
Worst: -2.74%
Trades: 25/25

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +1.23%
Avg Loser: -0.89%
Best: +3.71%
Worst: -2.95%
Trades: 25/25

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +1.22%
Best MFE: +4.03%
Avg Time to MFE: 128 min

On average, TMUS alerts reach +1.22% profit potential within 128 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -0.58%
Worst MAE: -3.22%
Avg Time to MAE: 18 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 0.58%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.1:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.1x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 50 alerts, TMUS typically reaches +1.22% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 1.0% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 50
Gap Up % 54.0%
Avg Gap +0.04%
Best Gap +1.02%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RADIOTELEPHONE COMMUNICATIONS

How TMUS compares to 3 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TMUS: +0.12% Sector: -0.11% +0.23%
EOD Gain
TMUS: +0.17% Sector: +4171.82% -4171.66%
Avg MFE
TMUS: +1.22% Sector: +5.69% -4.47%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TMUS alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-29 09:27:32 $237.14 -0.97% +0.38% +1.07% +1.13% -0.84% +1.80% -1.65% +0.36% LOSS
2025-01-22 09:29:09 $220.0 -0.13% -0.62% -0.53% -0.58% -0.83% +0.39% -0.86% -0.37% LOSS
2025-01-15 09:28:00 $215.99 -0.47% +0.18% +0.37% +0.32% -0.83% +0.73% -0.85% +0.07% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:25:30 $210.67 +0.71% +1.13% +1.60% +1.59% +0.79% +2.26% -0.01% +0.34% WIN
2024-12-23 09:25:52 $219.15 +0.10% +0.03% -0.00% +0.02% +1.15% +1.49% -0.57% +0.34% WIN
2024-12-16 09:27:14 $231.55 +0.38% +0.35% -0.08% +0.26% -0.90% +0.77% +0.13% +0.67% WIN
2024-12-12 09:25:27 $230.75 +0.37% +0.09% +0.35% +0.39% +1.09% +1.38% -0.32% +0.16% WIN
2024-12-11 09:26:37 $233.2 +0.51% +0.56% +0.64% +1.12% +0.49% +1.55% -0.07% -0.00% WIN
2024-12-03 09:29:03 $244.82 +0.08% -0.11% -0.31% -0.38% +0.01% +0.54% +0.06% +0.06% WIN
2024-08-22 09:27:50 $195.17 +0.38% +0.65% +0.69% +0.43% +0.65% +1.01% +0.23% +0.37% WIN
2024-08-02 09:29:57 $189.24 +2.01% +2.07% +2.09% +1.70% -0.25% +2.39% -0.16% -0.13% WIN
2024-04-25 09:26:47 $165.51 -0.61% -0.87% -1.69% -1.99% -0.88% -0.04% -0.34% -0.45% LOSS
2024-03-07 09:27:49 $167.5 +0.34% +0.54% +0.42% +0.16% -1.86% +0.68% +0.14% +0.56% WIN
2023-11-27 09:26:00 $148.86 +0.33% +0.30% -0.09% +0.22% -0.04% +0.40% -0.09% +0.08% WIN
2023-09-21 09:29:00 $142.0 -0.15% -0.13% +0.42% +0.09% -1.42% +0.75% -0.30% -0.05% LOSS
2023-08-21 09:27:00 $135.81 +0.20% +0.22% -0.00% -0.16% -0.19% +0.58% -0.54% - WIN
2023-08-09 09:26:00 $136.77 -0.18% -0.14% -0.01% +0.77% +0.69% +1.16% -0.50% -0.39% LOSS
2023-07-27 09:27:00 $141.5 +0.26% +0.73% +0.06% +0.06% -1.14% +0.74% -0.18% +0.33% WIN
2023-07-14 09:28:00 $138.35 +0.95% +0.74% +0.82% +0.59% +0.96% +1.44% -0.02% +0.45% WIN
2023-06-16 09:28:00 $131.65 -0.25% -0.12% +0.23% -0.20% -0.55% +0.32% -0.44% -0.37% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 62.0% Baseline on TMUS

The 62.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TMUS's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TMUS Strategy →

Why Analyze TMUS with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TMUS. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TMUS historically offers an average upside of +1.22% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TMUS Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 62.0%, TMUS shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TMUS performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.12%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.