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TPST Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 80 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-04-28 → 2025-02-10

⚠️ Small sample size (80 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

Tempest Therapeutics, Inc. Common Stock PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS (SIC 2834)
📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Jun 28, 2021 🔗 www.tempesttx.com
💰 Market Cap: $14.7M 👥 Employees: 5
Tempest Therapeutics Inc is a late-stage develpment biotechnology company developing small molecule therapeutics to treat cancer through mechanisms that directly kill tumor cells and activate tumor-specific immunity. Its clinical-stage therapeutic product candidates are TPST-1120 and TPST-1495 which are clinical-stage molecules designed to inhibit their respective targets.
📊
80
Total Alerts
🎯
82.5%
Win Rate (EOD)
💰
+736.70%
Avg Gain (EOD)
🚀
+15.29%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 42.5%
Avg Gain: -0.54%
Avg Winner: +1.93%
Avg Loser: -2.66%
Best: +8.38%
Worst: -11.24%
Trades: 34/41

15MIN

Win Rate: 38.0%
Avg Gain: -0.57%
Avg Winner: +3.92%
Avg Loser: -3.46%
Best: +14.95%
Worst: -23.62%
Trades: 30/47

30MIN

Win Rate: 34.2%
Avg Gain: -1.33%
Avg Winner: +5.02%
Avg Loser: -4.72%
Best: +25.20%
Worst: -29.13%
Trades: 27/51

60MIN

Win Rate: 31.2%
Avg Gain: -1.03%
Avg Winner: +8.53%
Avg Loser: -5.37%
Best: +62.42%
Worst: -27.67%
Trades: 25/55

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 82.5%
Avg Gain: +736.70%
Avg Winner: +895.77%
Avg Loser: -13.19%
Best: +2152.44%
Worst: -34.77%
Trades: 66/14

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +15.29%
Best MFE: +461.08%
Avg Time to MFE: 131 min

On average, TPST alerts reach +15.29% profit potential within 131 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -3.84%
Worst MAE: -27.63%
Avg Time to MAE: 13 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 3.84%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.99:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.99x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 80 alerts, TPST typically reaches +15.29% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 12.2% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 80
Gap Up % 28.7%
Avg Gap -0.42%
Best Gap +4.93%

🏭 Sector Comparison: PHARMACEUTICAL PREPARATIONS

How TPST compares to 381 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TPST: -0.45% Sector: -0.32% -0.13%
EOD Gain
TPST: +741.20% Sector: +4480411.22% -4479670.02%
Avg MFE
TPST: +9.65% Sector: +7.56% +2.09%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TPST alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-10 09:26:40 $0.94 +0.96% -3.85% -3.29% -4.27% +1114.76% +2.02% -1.17% -1.17% WIN
2025-01-08 09:29:59 $0.91 -2.41% -2.96% -4.44% -5.14% +8.07% +11.84% -6.80% +0.88% LOSS
2025-01-07 09:28:03 $0.97 +1.03% +1.55% +4.12% -2.00% +1166.76% +5.15% -1.03% -0.30% WIN
2025-01-06 09:29:18 $1.02 +1.47% -2.67% -3.04% -4.26% +1109.76% +2.94% -1.96% -0.98% WIN
2024-12-30 09:27:51 $0.82 -3.65% -0.98% -1.65% -2.43% +2.21% +6.59% -4.10% -0.01% LOSS
2024-12-24 09:27:23 $0.85 +0.54% +0.81% -2.00% -1.00% +1210.40% +4.56% -3.53% +0.25% WIN
2024-12-23 09:25:35 $0.73 +0.70% +1.84% +5.06% +4.92% +1408.26% +17.58% -1.33% +0.59% WIN
2024-12-20 09:27:30 $0.71 +0.39% - +0.93% +2.61% +0.23% +6.20% -1.24% +1.41% WIN
2024-12-19 09:26:08 $0.73 -0.81% -2.05% -1.28% -2.78% +1187.48% +3.00% -3.80% -0.95% LOSS
2024-12-17 09:27:48 $0.82 -1.18% -0.59% -1.21% -2.41% +1152.44% +0.84% -2.44% -0.43% LOSS
2024-12-09 09:26:20 $0.92 - +2.83% +3.25% -0.01% +1192.51% +4.06% -0.27% +0.92% -
2024-12-04 09:26:29 $0.91 -2.24% -4.75% -4.86% -4.68% +1148.57% -0.01% -0.01% -2.20% LOSS
2024-12-03 09:26:34 $0.98 -0.49% -2.65% -4.07% -5.87% +1059.26% +1.01% -0.01% - LOSS
2024-11-14 09:27:15 $0.97 - +3.09% +3.92% +4.33% +1200.13% +6.19% -0.05% +0.01% -
2024-11-13 09:28:56 $0.94 +3.18% +3.97% +4.62% +7.46% +2.83% +10.63% -0.40% -0.40% WIN
2024-11-12 09:25:29 $1.1 -0.09% - +0.88% -0.09% +1176.36% +5.45% -0.91% - LOSS
2024-11-11 09:28:35 $1.11 -0.90% -3.41% -5.41% -4.51% +1188.29% +1.80% -6.31% - LOSS
2024-11-07 09:29:41 $1.05 +0.95% +0.95% - +0.48% +1212.38% +4.76% -1.43% - WIN
2024-11-06 09:29:47 $1.0 +2.00% -1.98% -4.01% -2.57% +1252.00% +4.00% -4.81% - WIN
2024-11-05 09:29:18 $0.97 -2.05% -1.56% -0.10% +2.74% +1240.21% +5.15% -2.99% -0.01% LOSS

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 82.5% Baseline on TPST

The 82.5% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TPST's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TPST Strategy →

Why Analyze TPST with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TPST. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TPST historically offers an average upside of +15.29% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TPST Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 82.5%, TPST shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TPST performs best on the EOD (End of Day) timeframe (Avg Gain: +736.70%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.