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TRIP Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 16 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-02-17 → 2024-12-19

⚠️ Small sample size (16 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Dec 07, 2011 🔗 www.tripadvisor.com
💰 Market Cap: $1.55B 👥 Employees: 2,909
Tripadvisor is the world's leading travel metasearch company. Its platform offers 1 billion reviews and information on several million accommodations, restaurants, experiences, airlines, and cruises. In 2024, 52% of revenue came from the company's core Brand Tripadvisor segment, which includes hotel revenue generated through advertising on its metasearch platform. Viator, its experiences brand, was 46% of revenue in 2024, and TheFork, its dining brand, represented 10% of sales (about 8% of revenue were intersegment, which are eliminated from consolidated revenue).
📊
16
Total Alerts
🎯
56.2%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
-0.08%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+4.17%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 56.2%
Avg Gain: -0.08%
Avg Winner: +1.64%
Avg Loser: -2.30%
Best: +5.11%
Worst: -6.81%
Trades: 9/7

15MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: -0.12%
Avg Winner: +2.33%
Avg Loser: -2.56%
Best: +5.00%
Worst: -6.21%
Trades: 8/8

30MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.05%
Avg Winner: +2.20%
Avg Loser: -2.09%
Best: +4.96%
Worst: -5.84%
Trades: 8/8

60MIN

Win Rate: 50.0%
Avg Gain: +0.15%
Avg Winner: +2.71%
Avg Loser: -2.41%
Best: +7.62%
Worst: -4.81%
Trades: 8/8

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 56.2%
Avg Gain: +0.17%
Avg Winner: +3.53%
Avg Loser: -4.16%
Best: +6.98%
Worst: -7.42%
Trades: 9/7

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.17%
Best MFE: +8.58%
Avg Time to MFE: 94 min

On average, TRIP alerts reach +4.17% profit potential within 94 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -2.37%
Worst MAE: -9.15%
Avg Time to MAE: 10 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 2.37%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

1.76:1

Good risk/reward - favorable for momentum trading.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 16 alerts, TRIP typically reaches +4.17% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 16
Gap Up % 25.0%
Avg Gap -0.45%
Best Gap +1.34%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

How TRIP compares to 40 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TRIP: -0.08% Sector: -0.08% -0.01%
EOD Gain
TRIP: +0.17% Sector: +7112.19% -7112.03%
Avg MFE
TRIP: +4.17% Sector: +3.14% +1.03%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TRIP alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2024-12-19 09:29:24 $14.38 +0.30% +0.28% -0.07% -0.95% -3.41% +1.46% -3.13% +0.07% WIN
2024-08-07 09:27:30 $14.7 +1.53% +1.29% -1.46% -2.72% -7.42% +3.33% -3.33% -3.33% WIN
2024-05-08 09:28:34 $17.48 -6.81% -4.52% -0.01% +2.61% +3.89% +7.24% -9.15% -0.40% LOSS
2024-02-15 09:26:59 $27.0 +1.07% -0.74% +0.89% -2.30% +2.44% +4.44% -3.31% - WIN
2024-02-13 09:26:19 $24.76 +1.37% +4.60% +4.94% +2.14% +2.83% +7.71% -0.59% +0.40% WIN
2023-12-14 09:27:00 $19.27 +0.52% +0.21% +0.52% +0.60% -0.10% +1.97% -1.45% -0.73% WIN
2023-11-07 09:26:00 $17.53 +0.26% -3.25% -4.62% -3.05% +2.00% +4.42% -4.85% - WIN
2023-05-04 09:29:00 $14.81 +3.31% +5.00% +3.58% +4.86% +5.54% +8.58% -2.87% -0.61% WIN
2023-02-16 09:25:00 $24.1 -0.91% -2.16% -2.53% -3.54% -6.35% +0.46% +0.33% -1.02% LOSS
2023-02-15 09:27:00 $27.05 -3.47% -6.21% -5.84% -4.81% -6.84% +0.92% -1.40% -0.43% LOSS
2023-02-08 09:28:00 $25.97 -0.46% -0.48% -0.15% -1.31% -3.39% +0.69% -0.85% -0.12% LOSS
2022-11-25 09:25:00 $19.64 -0.81% +0.46% +1.07% +1.12% +0.97% +1.63% -0.94% -0.61% LOSS
2022-11-09 09:25:00 $19.54 -1.38% -1.23% +0.08% +2.10% +1.89% +5.22% -2.56% -0.56% LOSS
2022-11-08 09:25:00 $18.7 -2.25% -1.93% -2.03% +0.64% +5.24% +6.90% -3.74% -1.55% LOSS
2022-06-10 09:25:00 $22.47 +1.34% +2.31% +1.56% -0.58% -1.60% +3.25% +0.27% +1.34% WIN
2022-02-17 09:25:00 $26.64 +5.11% +4.47% +4.96% +7.62% +6.98% +8.52% -0.34% +0.38% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

⚠️ TRIP Shows Negative Expectancy

Despite a 56.2% win rate, TRIP has -0.08% average expectancy because losses outweigh wins. Use the app to find filters that improve the win size or reduce loss size, making TRIP profitable.

🔧 Fix TRIP Risk/Reward →

Why Analyze TRIP with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TRIP. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TRIP historically offers an average upside of +4.17% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TRIP Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 56.2%, TRIP shows negative expectancy despite winning more often - average losses (-2.30%) outweigh average wins (+1.64%). This suggests the need for tighter stops or better entry timing.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

⚠️ Caution Advised: TRIP shows negative expectancy across all tested intraday timeframes (Best: 5MIN at -0.08%). This suggests TRIP is prone to fading after the open, making it a potential candidate for short-selling or quick scalps only.