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TSCO Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 2 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2023-10-26 → 2025-01-30

⚠️ Small sample size (2 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Feb 17, 1994 🔗 www.tractorsupply.com
💰 Market Cap: $28.90B 👥 Employees: 52,000
Tractor Supply is the largest operator of retail farm and ranch stores in the United States. The company targets recreational farmers and ranchers and has little exposure to commercial and industrial farm operations. Currently, the company operates 2,364 of its namesake banners in 49 states, along with 206 Petsense by Tractor Supply stores. Stores are generally concentrated in rural communities rather than urban and suburban areas. In fiscal 2024, revenue consisted primarily of livestock, equine & agriculture (26%), companion animal (25%), and seasonal & recreation (23%).
📊
2
Total Alerts
🎯
100.0%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+1.42%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+2.91%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +1.42%
Avg Winner: +1.42%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +2.73%
Worst: +0.10%
Trades: 2/0

15MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.95%
Avg Winner: +0.95%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.77%
Worst: +0.13%
Trades: 2/0

30MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.33%
Avg Winner: +0.33%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.38%
Worst: +0.28%
Trades: 2/0

60MIN

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.91%
Avg Winner: +0.91%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +1.50%
Worst: +0.31%
Trades: 2/0

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 100.0%
Avg Gain: +0.45%
Avg Winner: +0.45%
Avg Loser: +0.00%
Best: +0.53%
Worst: +0.37%
Trades: 2/0

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +2.91%
Best MFE: +3.33%
Avg Time to MFE: 10 min

On average, TSCO alerts reach +2.91% profit potential within 10 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.29%
Worst MAE: -1.49%
Avg Time to MAE: 2 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.29%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

2.25:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 2.25x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 2 alerts, TSCO typically reaches +2.91% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 2.3% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 2
Gap Up % 0.0%
Avg Gap -0.20%
Best Gap -0.09%

🏭 Sector Comparison: RETAIL-BUILDING MATERIALS, HARDWARE, GARDEN SUPPLY

How TSCO compares to 5 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TSCO: +1.42% Sector: -0.41% +1.82%
EOD Gain
TSCO: +0.45% Sector: -4.25% +4.70%
Avg MFE
TSCO: +2.91% Sector: +2.35% +0.56%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TSCO alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-01-30 09:28:00 $54.09 +0.10% +1.77% +0.28% +0.31% +0.37% +2.48% -1.09% -0.09% WIN
2023-10-26 09:28:00 $187.8 +2.73% +0.13% +0.38% +1.50% +0.53% +3.33% -1.49% -0.30% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 100.0% Baseline on TSCO

The 100.0% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TSCO's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TSCO Strategy →

Why Analyze TSCO with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TSCO. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TSCO historically offers an average upside of +2.91% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TSCO Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 100.0%, TSCO shows strong follow-through, making it a prime candidate for momentum strategies.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TSCO performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +1.42%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.