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TTD Stock Analysis

Data source: Trade-Ideas Alerts | 76 alerts analyzed | Backtest period: 2022-01-04 → 2025-02-14

⚠️ Small sample size (76 alerts). Statistics may have high variance. Interpret with caution.

🏢 Company Profile

📍 NASDAQ 📅 IPO: Sep 21, 2016 🔗 www.thetradedesk.com
💰 Market Cap: $17.68B 👥 Employees: 3,522
The Trade Desk provides a self-service platform that helps advertisers and ad agencies programmatically find and purchase digital ad inventory (display, video, audio, and social) on devices like computers, smartphones, and connected TVs. It uses data in an iterative manner to optimize the performance of ad impressions purchased. The firm's platform is referred to as a demand-side platform in the digital ad industry, and it generates revenue from fees based on a percentage of what its clients spend on advertising.
📊
76
Total Alerts
🎯
57.9%
Win Rate (5MIN)
💰
+0.36%
Avg Gain (5MIN)
🚀
+4.37%
Avg MFE (Max Potential)

📈 Performance by Timeframe

5MIN

Win Rate: 57.9%
Avg Gain: +0.36%
Avg Winner: +1.33%
Avg Loser: -0.98%
Best: +4.27%
Worst: -4.77%
Trades: 44/32

15MIN

Win Rate: 57.9%
Avg Gain: +0.48%
Avg Winner: +2.03%
Avg Loser: -1.64%
Best: +6.45%
Worst: -5.50%
Trades: 44/32

30MIN

Win Rate: 53.9%
Avg Gain: +0.19%
Avg Winner: +2.48%
Avg Loser: -2.48%
Best: +9.68%
Worst: -10.49%
Trades: 41/35

60MIN

Win Rate: 56.6%
Avg Gain: +0.36%
Avg Winner: +3.11%
Avg Loser: -3.32%
Best: +12.12%
Worst: -10.73%
Trades: 43/32

EOD (End of Day)

Win Rate: 47.4%
Avg Gain: +0.87%
Avg Winner: +5.34%
Avg Loser: -3.15%
Best: +21.06%
Worst: -15.88%
Trades: 36/40

🚀 Max Favorable / Adverse Excursion (MFE/MAE)

Institutional-grade metrics showing the maximum profit potential and risk for each alert.

📈 MFE (Max Profit Potential)

Average MFE: +4.37%
Best MFE: +21.65%
Avg Time to MFE: 112 min

On average, TTD alerts reach +4.37% profit potential within 112 minutes.

📉 MAE (Max Drawdown Risk)

Average MAE: -1.24%
Worst MAE: -7.44%
Avg Time to MAE: 6 min

Before reaching MFE, expect an average drawdown of 1.24%.

⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio

3.51:1

Excellent risk/reward - potential gain is 3.51x the typical drawdown.

💡 Trading Insight: Based on 76 alerts, TTD typically reaches +4.37% profit before pulling back. Consider setting profit targets around 3.5% to capture most of the move.

🌅 Premarket Gap Analysis (9:25 → 9:30)

Total Gaps Analyzed 76
Gap Up % 56.6%
Avg Gap +0.09%
Best Gap +3.11%

🏭 Sector Comparison: SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.

How TTD compares to 40 other tickers in the same sector.

5-Min Gain
TTD: +0.36% Sector: -0.08% +0.44%
EOD Gain
TTD: +0.87% Sector: +7112.19% -7111.32%
Avg MFE
TTD: +4.37% Sector: +3.14% +1.23%

📋 Last 20 Alerts

Historical TTD alerts with performance metrics calculated from 1-minute price data. Each row shows the actual price movement at different timeframes after the alert.

Date Time Price 5min 15min 30min 60min EOD MFE MAE Gap Result
2025-02-14 09:26:14 $82.28 +0.97% +1.34% -0.26% -0.13% -2.58% +1.62% -1.49% +0.33% WIN
2025-02-13 09:28:06 $84.99 -2.31% -0.65% -1.09% -3.15% -3.61% +0.24% -0.22% +0.12% LOSS
2024-11-08 09:29:27 $115.75 +3.43% +2.99% +3.47% +4.03% +8.10% +9.68% +0.22% +0.31% WIN
2024-08-09 09:25:07 $90.23 +2.45% +3.67% +5.63% +7.15% +10.05% +10.33% -0.31% -0.18% WIN
2024-08-05 09:27:08 $76.61 +2.52% +3.29% +5.35% +5.03% +8.63% +10.56% -0.08% +0.93% WIN
2024-04-24 09:25:44 $83.44 +0.02% +1.90% +0.85% -0.08% +0.42% +2.38% -0.29% +1.27% WIN
2024-02-20 09:29:21 $85.43 +0.43% -1.85% -2.31% -4.07% -3.36% +1.21% -0.28% +0.21% WIN
2024-02-16 09:29:47 $89.42 +2.23% +0.03% -3.21% -2.15% -0.55% +5.12% -2.37% +0.09% WIN
2023-12-12 09:29:00 $71.65 -1.16% -1.90% -1.19% -1.36% -0.42% +0.46% +0.46% +0.14% LOSS
2023-11-15 09:29:00 $68.06 -1.54% -1.22% -0.73% +0.09% -0.01% +1.75% -2.15% +0.13% LOSS
2023-11-14 09:28:00 $65.98 +1.49% +2.30% +1.84% +1.71% +2.50% +3.64% -0.42% +0.02% WIN
2023-11-13 09:26:00 $64.42 +0.32% -0.89% -3.37% -3.82% -1.49% +0.90% -0.81% -0.42% WIN
2023-11-10 09:29:00 $61.7 +0.65% -0.32% +2.32% +0.18% +3.74% +6.32% -2.38% -0.06% WIN
2023-11-02 09:26:00 $74.68 +0.27% +0.45% +0.59% +0.78% +1.34% +1.94% -0.46% +0.43% WIN
2023-10-26 09:27:00 $70.26 -0.06% -1.34% -4.28% -5.37% -5.75% +0.94% -0.17% +0.70% LOSS
2023-10-16 09:29:00 $77.8 +1.63% -0.33% +0.30% +2.03% +3.95% +4.67% -1.22% -0.08% WIN
2023-08-10 09:29:00 $79.47 -1.28% -0.47% +0.92% +0.05% -2.99% +2.55% -3.25% -0.44% LOSS
2023-07-28 09:27:00 $88.65 -0.12% +0.77% +0.28% +0.14% +2.03% +2.48% -0.61% +0.42% LOSS
2023-07-20 09:28:00 $86.87 +0.12% -0.46% -0.43% -1.14% -2.84% +0.54% -0.21% +0.03% WIN
2023-07-18 09:26:00 $90.26 +0.13% -1.40% -2.02% -3.31% -1.92% +1.04% -0.03% +0.16% WIN

Table Metrics Explained:

  • 5min/15min/30min/60min/EOD: Price change at each timeframe (calculated from real minute-by-minute data)
  • MFE: Maximum Favorable Excursion - highest profit potential reached during the day
  • MAE: Maximum Adverse Excursion - worst drawdown experienced before reaching MFE
  • Gap: Premarket price gap from 9:25 AM to 9:30 AM market open
  • Result: WIN if 5min change > 0%, LOSS otherwise

🚀 Beat the 57.9% Baseline on TTD

The 57.9% win rate is just the raw starting point. Launch the app to apply filters (Volume, RSI, Time) and see if you can push TTD's performance to 75%+.

Optimize TTD Strategy →

Why Analyze TTD with FILTRIX?

🛡️ Realistic Entry Simulation

We don't inflate stats. Our analysis tracks only the first alert of the day for TTD. This simulates a true "Gap & Go" entry at pre-market hours (9:25-9:30 AM), avoiding the trap of chasing a stock that has already extended.

💰 Max Potential (MFE) Analysis

How much is left in the move? On winning days, TTD historically offers an average upside of +4.37% intraday. Our data helps you distinguish between a quick scalp and a runner.

📊 TTD Momentum Personality

With a baseline win rate of 57.9%, TTD shows neutral behavior, suggesting the need for additional volume confirmation.

⏱️ Optimized Exit Timing

Don't guess when to sell. Our backtests show TTD performs best on the 5MIN timeframe (Avg Gain: +0.36%), signaling that gains often fade later in the session.